Temuhjan wrote:gom wrote:You should look at the other teams' schedules too. We all play a lot of the same opponents. The timing is just different. Over these 8 games, I predict 2-6, but then 7-3 to finish the year.
Here are the remaining opponents for all the teams fighting for the 7th and 8th slot:
Boston: Brooklyn, Charlotte, Cleveland (2), Detroit (2), Indianapolis (2), LA Clippers, Miami, Milwaukee (2), New York, OKC, Orlando, Philadelphia, San Antonio, Toronto (2)
Brooklyn: Atlanta (2), Boston, Charlotte, Chicago, Cleveland (2), Indiana (2), LA Lakers, Milwaukee (2), Minnesota, New York, Orlando, Philadelphia, Portland, Toronto, Washington
Charlotte: Atlanta (2), Boston, Brooklyn, Chicago (2), Detroit (2), Houston, Indianapolis, LA Clippers, Miami, Minnesota, Philadelphia, Sacramento, Toronto (2), Utah, Washington
Detroit: Atlanta, Boston (2), Charlotte (2), Chicago (2), Cleveland, Indianapolis, Memphis, Miami (2), New York, Orlando, Philadelphia, Portland, Toronto, Utah
Indiana: Boston (2), Brooklyn (2), Charlotte, Chicago, Cleveland, Dallas, Detroit, Houston, Memphis, Miami, Milwaukee, OKC, New York, Toronto, Washington (2)
Miami: Atlanta, Boston, Charlotte, Chicago, Cleveland (2), Denver, Detroit (2), Indianapolis, Milwaukee, OKC, Orlando, Philadelphia, Portland, San Antonio, Toronto (2)
Thanks for the legwork. It seems we have a slightly easier schedule than Charlotte.
Indiana got away with a relatively "lite" schedule and should finish 7th.
It really is a toss-up and none of these teams are out of it - not even Detroit. Indiana, Miami, and Charlotte have the best chance and the games that are most important are the ones between each of us. Brooklyn will also need to react. Remember they have nothing to gain by missing the playoffs. Their games with Indiana and Charlotte are going to be toughly fought.
Let's make an experiment. Assume Boston, Brooklyn, Miami, Charlotte, Detroit, Indiana, and Milwaukee have just about the same chance to lock up a playoff position. Now let's see how they can interact with each other and the other teams they face. I left Milwaukee out of the projections because I assume they will get at least 8th seed.
Boston starts from a little behind, plays 4 teams in top 4 in the East (Cleveland twice and Toronto twice), along with OKC, Clippers, and San Antonio (SEVEN tough teams). They also have games with New York, Philadelphia, and Orlando that should not be difficult. The other 9 games are against teams from 6,7,8 in the East or one of the teams that fights for them. Nine games they can affect the outcome. Boston is the spoiler that can slip in from outside.
Brooklyn are even worse ranked now, but their schedule is really not bad. Sure, they get EIGHT tough games: Atlanta twice, Cleveland twice, Portland, Toronto, Chicago, and Washington which are all very challenging. They also have 6 games with Milwaukee and others that are directly competing. The rest of their schedule looks easy: 5 games against bottom feeders Philly, Orlando, New York, Minnesota, and Lakers. Do not count Brooklyn out and if they start killing off competitors they can still slip in.
Charlotte have NINE tough ones: Atlanta twice, Chicago twice, Houston, the Clippers, Toronto twice, and Washington. Then they have 6 games with their competitors and easier games with Utah, Sacramento (in California - big difference), and Minnesota. These last 3 should be easy, but Utah is feasting at the moment and even Minnesota seem better since we played them.
I like Detroit's schedule the most. Atlanta, Chicago twice, Cleveland, Memphis, Portland, and Toronto are SEVEN tough ones. They play 7 games with competitors (and none with the Bucks). Utah, Philly, Orlando, and New York should all be easily winnable games, but Detroit isn't winning right now. They played well against GS but didn't have the will to kill.
Indiana plays 8 games against teams that it competes with for the bottom 3 (6/7/8) slots. They have NINE tough games against Chicago, Cleveland, Dallas, Houston, Memphis, OKC, Toronto, and Washington twice. The only game they can sleep through is the Knicks.
Miami's schedule has 6 games against direct competitors, along with NINE tough games against Atlanta, Chicago, Cleveland (2), OKC, Portland, San Antonio, and Toronto (2). The remaining games against Denver, Orlando, Philadelphia are all easier but must win games. The game in Philadelphia is the last game of the year and we lost it last year. In any case, though, we have 3 easier games.
In short, it's anybody's race.