paulpressey25 wrote:I'd probably trade Middleton for Beal because Beal is younger, has done it "longer" so to speak and came in with the big time pedigree. I don't have any worries Beal would ever regress and not fit a $16mm a year contract.
Again that's my concern with Middleton. He just hasn't done this long-enough to where you know he's a lock to repeat his second half performance over the next four seasons.
Actually they both have played the same amount of years - Both missed a lot games rookie year, but looking at last two they have both been pretty consistent. Beal avg closer to 35 minutes while Mids about 30. Here is the tale of the tape:
AGE/LONGEVITY: Beal is only 22 months younger- when you consider Beal's game rellies more on athleticism he will probably have a shorter career. Of the 3 years Beal has been in the NBA-he has missed 57 games = 28% Mids rookie year he didn't play much as a 2nd rounder, the last two years he ONLY missed 5 games or 2.4% the last 2 years Beal missed 18%
SHOOTING Both good shooters -
Middleton's #'s better. (2014) TS% Beal 52% / Mids 56.3%
SIZE Beal 6'5" 207 / Mids 6'7" 225 =
edge MiddletonREBOUNDING Beal - steady avg here averages about 34 minutes (last 2 years) 3.8/ Mids (same Period) 4 less minutes 4.0/
TRB% 6.4% Beal Mids 8.4% =
Edge MiddletonTurnovers/possession (2014) Beal .117 Mids .108 =
Advantage MidsAST % (% ass made while on floor) Beal 15% Mids 12.7% =
Advantage BealVI (Versatility Index) Beal 6.7 Mids 6.8 = call it even
DWS (Defensive wins Shares) -Beal 2.4 Mids 3.5 = Advantage Mids - he is a better defender.
The thing that is hard to get out of your head is that Beal came in to the NBA as a much heralded frosh and picked #3. While Mids came in as a "Who dat?" and picked #39, but when you look at the stats you can certainly make a strong case for Mids being better.