Peaks Project: #1

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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#81 » by RayBan-Sematra » Mon Sep 7, 2015 7:27 am

RSCD3_ wrote:RBS are you in this project?


Not currently.
I have been super busy recently and mentally I am burned out.
I find it hard to gather my thoughts and formulate good posts when I am tired like this.

I know you frequently compare Shaq to other bigs but curious why ( assumedly ) you would have peak Shaq over Jordan.


I can try and explain though now is not a good time for it.
Anyway.

A big part of why I rank Shaq higher is rebounding & defense.
Peak Jordan might have been an equal or even slightly superior offensive anchor but I don't think his defensive impact in the early 90's was close to what Shaq could/did give you at his Peak (2000).

Same gos for any version of Lebron. I cringe when I see some people semi-insinuating that Lebron might have had the kind of defensive impact Shaq was having in 2000. He never even came close in my opinion.
That isn't a knock on MJ or Bron its just that no wing or guard is ever gonna come close to having the defensive impact of a legit DPOY C (which Shaq was in 2000).

Consider that O'neal dragged a pretty mediocre cast to 67 wins out West and made them the best defensive team despite Kobe missing 16 games and not starting in another 4 upon his return.
LAL's defense actually improved during Bryant's absence and really outside of Kobe that team didn't exactly have any great defenders.

Harper & Green were "ok defenders" (per my memory) but both were already 36 years old and well past their physical Primes.
They also only played 23-25mpg.
Rice wasn't a good defender and he was the only guy outside of Shaq/Kobe playing 30+ mpg.

Then you factor in Shaq's ultra elite rebounding and yeah I do think his overall impact was greater then Jordan's.
He gave you similar offensive value + dominant rebounding + DPOY caliber defense at the C position.

He also had many unique intangibles like the black hole effect he had on defenses and the high level of defensive attention he drew off the ball.
As his defender you couldn't give him any breathing room or he'd immediately react & get open for an easy catch & finish or an alley-oop.
Even if you had defenders in the paint if you gave him room to "take off" he could just dunk over them.

He was just so deadly and unstoppable. Like a man among boys or a cheat code.
Being the most unstoppable & consistent scorer ever from the field is not without its advantages.
Opposing teams around the league were stockpiling bigs just to foul him with because he was so unstoppable.
They were basically waving the white flag at him.

I don't think there is any player I would take over 00 or 01 Shaq.
Absolute Peak MJ is really the only guy I wouldn't mind seeing ranked ahead of him currently.
There is no way I would take any version of Lebron over Peak Shaq. No.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#82 » by mysticOscar » Mon Sep 7, 2015 7:38 am

RayBan-Sematra wrote:
RSCD3_ wrote:RBS are you in this project?


Not currently.
I have been super busy recently and mentally I am burned out.
I find it hard to gather my thoughts and formulate good posts when I am tired like this.

I know you frequently compare Shaq to other bigs but curious why ( assumedly ) you would have peak Shaq over Jordan.


I can try and explain though now is not a good time for it.
Anyway.

A big part of why I rank Shaq higher is rebounding & defense.
Peak Jordan might have been an equal or even slightly superior offensive anchor but I don't think his defensive impact in the early 90's was close to what Shaq could/did give you at his Peak (2000).

Same gos for any version of Lebron. I cringe when I see some people semi-insinuating that Lebron might have had the kind of defensive impact Shaq was having in 2000. He never even came close in my opinion.
That isn't a knock on MJ or Bron its just that no wing or guard is ever gonna come close to having the defensive impact of a legit DPOY C (which Shaq was in 2000).

Consider that O'neal dragged a pretty mediocre cast to 67 wins out West and made them the best defensive team despite Kobe missing 16 games and not starting in another 4 upon his return.
LAL's defense actually improved during Bryant's absence and really outside of Kobe that team didn't exactly have any great defenders.

Harper & Green were "ok defenders" (per my memory) but both were already 36 years old and well past their physical Primes.
They also only played 23-25mpg.
Rice wasn't a good defender and he was the only guy outside of Shaq/Kobe playing 30+ mpg.

Then you factor in Shaq's ultra elite rebounding and yeah I do think his overall impact was greater then Jordan's.
He gave you similar offensive value + dominant rebounding + DPOY caliber impact at the C position.

He also had many unique intangibles like the black hole effect he had on defenses and the high level of defensive attention he drew off the ball.
As his defender you couldn't give him any breathing room or he'd immediately react & get open for an easy catch & finish or an alley-oop.
Even if you had defenders in the paint if you gave him room to "take off" he could just dunk over them.

He was just so deadly and unstoppable. Like a man among boys or a cheat code.
Being the most unstoppable & consistent scorer ever from the field is not without its advantages.
Opposing teams around the league were stockpiling bigs just to foul him with because he was so unstoppable.
They were basically waving the white flag at him.

I don't think there is any player I would take over 00 or 01 Shaq.
Absolute Peak MJ is really the only guy I wouldn't mind seeing ranked ahead of him currently.
There is no way I would take any version of Lebron over Peak Shaq. No.


I remember that span of 3 years from Shaq...man he was definately unstoppable. It almost seemed unfair. I don't if it's true...but some people theorise the league got rid of illegal defense (able to double off the ball) in 01/02 in some way to curb Shaqs dominance.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#83 » by drza » Mon Sep 7, 2015 8:29 am

Clyde Frazier wrote:Just checking in. Some good discussion so far. Busy today, so will be submitting my vote tomorrow.

Question: is the hesitancy to put kareem in the top 3 due to the fact that he peaked in the early 70s (or late 70s), or do you genuinely feel he just doesn't belong? I think he's deserving, but will do some more research before making a final decision.


My first impression thought to this question is that I genuinely question whether his peak belongs, in large part because his biggest statistical dominance came in a time when the league logically would have been the most watered down in it's history (with expansion doubling the size of the league at the same time that the ABA was splitting the talent pool). Among the all-history crew that was playing at that time, Kareem had a similar (if less publicized) decrease in production post-merger as Dr. J did. This gives me pause.

But what gives me bigger pause is the WOWY data that El Gee compiled. It suggested that Kareem, in his 77 and 78 years that some consider his peak, was having a huge impact on his team's winning...but a much lesser impact than Bill Walton. This has led me to question on multiple occasions whether Kareem was playing GOAT-level ball at his peak, or whether he was playing outstanding ball but on a tier below the GOATs.

TL;DR: I'm not convinced that Kareem, at his best, was the most impactful player of his generation. As such, I have trouble seeing him as the best peak of all-time.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#84 » by drza » Mon Sep 7, 2015 8:50 am

Quotatious wrote:So, we're finally underway... :D

It's between '91 Jordan and '09 LeBron for me. It's extremely close and I won't vote just yet. As a Jordan fan, I'm naturally skewed towards him, but I want to give James a fair shake. I'm also considering '88-'90 (especially '89 and '90) Jordan, but I'll probably end up going with '91, because that's when he had his best playoff run, and improved his off-ball game.

Like someone alluded to in another thread - we mostly agree that bigmen are naturally more valuable defensively than guards/fowards, because they control the paint and can take away some of the highest percentage shots - shots at rim or 5-10 feet away from the basket, but isn't it also like guards/forwards are naturally more valuable offensively? I mean - sure, bigmen take more high percentage shots because they play closer to the hoop, but on the other hand, they have to depend on guards/forwards to feed the ball to them. Personally, I believe that's the case, and because great offense beats great defense (because an offensive player takes an action according to his own will, while a defensive player can only react to the moves offensive player makes - the offensive player basically dictates how the game will be played).

Because of this theory, I think that Jordan and James are a little more valuable than O'Neal, Chamberlain, Olajuwon etc.

Oh, and one more thing - I can't really see peak Shaq over LeBron. We have a lot of numbers for both guys (not just boxscore, but also RAPM), and LeBron beats Shaq in vast majority of those stats. Same with MJ and Shaq (except we don't have RAPM for late 80s/early 90s MJ).

This is not to say that I think Shaq has "no case at all" - no, I believe he has a case, but right now, I don't feel like I could be convinced by anyone that Shaq > Jordan and LeBron.


Re: underlined - This is a good point. Both LeBron and (what most consider to be) peak Shaq played in the databall era and we have +/- studies that cover the pertinent parts of both careers. I like to use Doc MJ's standard deviation approach to compare RAPM across years (cliff notes: he measured how many standard deviations from the mean each player's RAPM was in each year from 1998* - 2012, used APM studies to estimate how that would translate each RAPM value to a common APM scale, then used it to put every RAPM score from 98 - 2012 on a common scale that approximates an APM score). He had some difficulty with incomplete data for 1998, 2001 and 2002. But in the other years of that period, a nice (though arbitrary) line for "legendary level" is +10. Only 6 players have hit that mark in that time window: LeBron (twice), Shaq (once), KG (3 times), Wade (once), Dirk (twice), and Duncan (once).

Shaq (2000) and LeBron (2009) are both in that club, though LeBron's (+12.34) is more impressive than Shaq's (+10.7). LeBron in 2010 was even better still, with the highest such mark in the study (+13.74). So for those that concentrated more on the box scores, this is the +/- portion of the data that supports your argument.

With that said, the question I'd ponder here is whether (with both the box score and the +/- data) that Shaq and LeBron (and Jordan, Wilt, and whoever else is considered here) are so far in the outlier that individual differences in their stats might be less important in ranking them vs. questions about how they make their impact, the portability of that impact, and the scarcity of it. For instance, 2000 Shaq and 2009 LeBron both led the NBA in every composite boxscore stat (PER, WS, VORP, BPM) and the major +/- stats as well by margins that made them huge outliers. I don't know that the fractions of difference, which in many cases are determined more by differences in the marginal NBA of the time than anything, would be convincing.

However...Dr. Spaceman's argument about how peak Shaq destroyed defensive game plans (in conjunction with my memory of the period) was pretty compelling to me.

Similarly, someone had a quote about impact = goodness + fit, or something like that, with the thought that 2013 LeBron may have been better than 2009 LeBron but because 09 LeBron had better fit he looked better. To me, that brings to mind the question of scarcity. There are more great perimeter offensive players that need the ball to be maximized than there are behemoth's that could control the game from the paint. Thus, it feels to me that 2000 Shaq would be more valuable to more teams than 2009 LeBron. How much do I factor that in?

re: italicized. This is a very common sentiment on these boards and an adage often quoted in general (e.g. great offense beats great defense). I've never been convinced. It seems to me that outlier defense is a rarer commodity than outlier offense, that it's more additive to great teams, and that it's overall impact that's most important as opposed to a whether that impact is more offensive or defensive in bent. Many (most?) don't agree with me, and would lean more towards your opinion, but I don't agree and I've never seen a particularly good case made for why that should be a default truism.

Just some random middle-of-the-night thoughts as I try to ease into this project...
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#85 » by drza » Mon Sep 7, 2015 9:04 am

I think '64 or '65 Russell at least deserves a mention here. The defensive dominance of the Celtics in those years was unprecedented ( here's ElGee's old blog post that showed this through an estimate of team defensive rating: https://elgee35.wordpress.com/2010/12/31/bill-russells-defensive-impact/ ), and both the sentiment of the time and the available research credits the vast lion share of that defensive impact to Russell. If Wilt is able to be mentioned for his work in that same generation, I think it fair that Russell should also be considered.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#86 » by SactoKingsFan » Mon Sep 7, 2015 9:14 am

1st ballot selection: 91 Michael Jordan

I also considered 09 and 13 LeBron, 00 Shaq and 67 Wilt, but I ended up going with 91 Jordan as the top peak season for several reasons. 91 Jordan stands out as the supreme all-around season due to his GOAT level scoring and overall offensive skill-set, elite perimeter defense, super high BBIQ and arguably the top combination of RS+PS performance in league history.  Can't really poke any holes in 91 Jordan's game, except maybe his 3PT shooting, but he upped his volume (2.1 3PA per 100) and shot 38.5 % from 3 during the playoffs.


2nd ballot selection: 13 LeBron James

13 LeBron and 00 Shaq are really close and nearly tied at #2 after Jordan, but I ended up giving LeBron the overall edge due to his more diverse and flexible offensive game and overall skill-set. As previously mentioned, I prefer 13 LeBron over his 09 physical peak since 13 LeBron was close enough to his physical peak and had a much more polished and versatile offensive game. I can see the case for LeBron peaking in 12 due to his defense, but 13 LeBron was nearly as good on defense and had a clearly superior offensive game with a reliable jumper during RS and PS.  I think 13 LeBron with his global impact, extremely diverse skill-set, defensive versatility and RS+PS performances is as close to peak Jordan as it gets.


3rd ballot selection: 00 Shaquille O'Neal

00 Shaq was a nearly unstoppable offensive force, dialed in on defense (legit DPOY candidate) and had a great playoff run which included one of the most dominant Finals performances (38 PTS, 16.7 REB, 3.7 BLK+STL, 57.6 TS). 00 Shaq's only flaws were his poor FT shooting and less than impressive pick and roll defense.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#87 » by RayBan-Sematra » Mon Sep 7, 2015 9:33 am

SKF_85 wrote:I ended up giving LeBron the overall edge due to his more diverse and flexible offensive game and overall skill-set.


This is where I disagree.
Peak wise or Prime wise I would always prefer Jordan & Shaq over Lebron as my teams offensive anchor.
They are more unstoppable and portable against various defenses.

Certain defenses over the years have had success in really limiting Lebron by preventing his penetration and forcing him to take jumpers.
Look at how Lebron struggled over the first 5! games of the 2013 Finals.
-----(21.6 ppg on 49%TS)-----
He also padded his stats in some of those games (so his actual stats when the games were competitive were even worse).
Can you imagine that older Spurs team making Peak Jordan or Shaq struggle like that?

Even a team like the 11 Mavericks who were hardly considered a defensive juggernaut managed to stifle Lebron through a smart strategy.

The point is against an average opponent all three guys are fine choices but against certain tougher defensive teams I would feel much more comfortable having Shaq & Jordan anchoring my offense instead of Lebron.

So Peak wise I consider both Jordan & Shaq better offensive anchors then Lebron was.
Stats alone don't always tell the whole story.
Certainly Lebron's 09 offensive stats rival anything but that doesn't mean I think he was the GOAT offensive anchor.
Gotta take into account larger samples, competition strength, portability and many other things.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#88 » by ceiling raiser » Mon Sep 7, 2015 9:49 am

Gregoire wrote:
fpliii wrote:Guys I'm considering here (in no particular order):

00 Shaq
77 Kareem
93 Hakeem
92 Jordan
Maybe a LeBron season (13?)

Perhaps the Admiral will end up on my ballot too. I have a feeling Spaceman will make a great case for him sooner than later.

Note: As I said in the announcement thread, consistent with how I've felt in the last few months in general, I don't really feel comfortable ranking players pre-Kareem. Just not enough footage available for me to cast judgment. So by excluding a bunch of 60s greats from my ballots I am not trying to disrespect them. Rather, I'm trying to put together a list I'm confident in (from a perspective that I'd draft these player seasons in a certain order with a gun to my head, leaving no room to guess incorrectly), and based on the limited tape available, that won't be the case if I include those legends.


Why no Wilt 67? IMO he is clearly top-5 peaks, maybe top-3.

I don't rank guys before Kareem anymore. Not enough footage available for me to form an opinion. This means I can't call my list a GOAT list, but I wouldn't feel comfortable ranking them.
Now that's the difference between first and last place.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#89 » by Gregoire » Mon Sep 7, 2015 9:53 am

PCProductions wrote:I'm really interested in 2000 Shaq's defense. This here to me is the kicker. If we can conclude that Shaq was DPOY material here on top of his legendary offensive production, then it feels necessary to vote for him as #1.


I dont think its a tie-braker. Both Lebron and Jordan in 91 were DPOY material as well. Even if Shaq had better case for DPOY in 2000 than Jordan in 1991 or 1990 its because of competition: in early 90s Rodman, Robinson, Ewing and Hakeem played. All of them I take over Shaq 00.
Heej wrote:
These no calls on LeBron are crazy. A lot of stars got foul calls to protect them.
falcolombardi wrote:
Come playoffs 18 lebron beats any version of jordan
AEnigma wrote:
Jordan is not as smart a help defender as Kidd
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#90 » by Gregoire » Mon Sep 7, 2015 10:49 am

drza wrote:
re: italicized. This is a very common sentiment on these boards and an adage often quoted in general (e.g. great offense beats great defense). I've never been convinced. It seems to me that outlier defense is a rarer commodity than outlier offense, that it's more additive to great teams, and that it's overall impact that's most important as opposed to a whether that impact is more offensive or defensive in bent. Many (most?) don't agree with me, and would lean more towards your opinion, but I don't agree and I've never seen a particularly good case made for why that should be a default truism.

Just some random middle-of-the-night thoughts as I try to ease into this project...


I think best explanation is: offense sets defense. Being offensive player you could in every possesion dictate where play would go. Being defensive player you need to adjust and are influenced by offensive set, so if you have weaknesses (and every player had), offense could benefit from it easier.
Heej wrote:
These no calls on LeBron are crazy. A lot of stars got foul calls to protect them.
falcolombardi wrote:
Come playoffs 18 lebron beats any version of jordan
AEnigma wrote:
Jordan is not as smart a help defender as Kidd
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#91 » by Joao Saraiva » Mon Sep 7, 2015 11:51 am

The discussion of the 09 ECF is something that I think many people should have understood right now. But apparently...

There was a clear mismatch with Dwight vs Big Z, Wallace or Varejao. At that point none of them could even compete with the level of athleticism showed by Howard. Could Mike Brown have done something about it? Yeah foul, foul, foul. That was the only way.

Then there was another mismatch: Lewis vs Varejao or Ben Wallace. Cleveland needed to go small to contest his shot in the perimeter. Look at Lewis' ts% (almost 65%) and his 3 PT % (close to 50%). That duo absolutely killed the Cavs in those series. Mike Brown failed big time to make the right adjusment here.

LeBron played a fantastic series in every single department. Mo Williams went cold (kind of expected) but the Cavs still did well on offense. It was their D and lack of adjusment by Brown that got them knocked out.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#92 » by Jim Naismith » Mon Sep 7, 2015 12:05 pm

Joao Saraiva wrote:LeBron played a fantastic series in every single department. Mo Williams went cold (kind of expected) but the Cavs still did well on offense. It was their D and lack of adjusment by Brown that got them knocked out.


This speaks to the built-in limitations of good perimeter defenders such as LeBron.

The Cavs were 2009's #1 defense (according to opponent ppg), and yet their D was a source of their downfall.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#93 » by Joao Saraiva » Mon Sep 7, 2015 12:06 pm

RayBan-Sematra wrote:
RSCD3_ wrote:RBS are you in this project?


Not currently.
I have been super busy recently and mentally I am burned out.
I find it hard to gather my thoughts and formulate good posts when I am tired like this.

I know you frequently compare Shaq to other bigs but curious why ( assumedly ) you would have peak Shaq over Jordan.


I can try and explain though now is not a good time for it.
Anyway.

A big part of why I rank Shaq higher is rebounding & defense.
Peak Jordan might have been an equal or even slightly superior offensive anchor but I don't think his defensive impact in the early 90's was close to what Shaq could/did give you at his Peak (2000).

Same gos for any version of Lebron. I cringe when I see some people semi-insinuating that Lebron might have had the kind of defensive impact Shaq was having in 2000. He never even came close in my opinion.
That isn't a knock on MJ or Bron its just that no wing or guard is ever gonna come close to having the defensive impact of a legit DPOY C (which Shaq was in 2000).

Consider that O'neal dragged a pretty mediocre cast to 67 wins out West and made them the best defensive team despite Kobe missing 16 games and not starting in another 4 upon his return.
LAL's defense actually improved during Bryant's absence and really outside of Kobe that team didn't exactly have any great defenders.

Harper & Green were "ok defenders" (per my memory) but both were already 36 years old and well past their physical Primes.
They also only played 23-25mpg.
Rice wasn't a good defender and he was the only guy outside of Shaq/Kobe playing 30+ mpg.

Then you factor in Shaq's ultra elite rebounding and yeah I do think his overall impact was greater then Jordan's.
He gave you similar offensive value + dominant rebounding + DPOY caliber defense at the C position.

He also had many unique intangibles like the black hole effect he had on defenses and the high level of defensive attention he drew off the ball.
As his defender you couldn't give him any breathing room or he'd immediately react & get open for an easy catch & finish or an alley-oop.
Even if you had defenders in the paint if you gave him room to "take off" he could just dunk over them.

He was just so deadly and unstoppable. Like a man among boys or a cheat code.
Being the most unstoppable & consistent scorer ever from the field is not without its advantages.
Opposing teams around the league were stockpiling bigs just to foul him with because he was so unstoppable.
They were basically waving the white flag at him.

I don't think there is any player I would take over 00 or 01 Shaq.
Absolute Peak MJ is really the only guy I wouldn't mind seeing ranked ahead of him currently.
There is no way I would take any version of Lebron over Peak Shaq. No.


You certainly like Shaq but you go way too far to make a point going his way.

So LeBron or MJ can't have the same impact on D as a C. So far so good, but there is a need to adjust per position.

That's like saying: Shaq was never half the ball handler LeBron or MJ were. Yeah he wasn't, and I mean, he shouldn't. It's dangerous to evaluate players of diferent positions without any kind of context.

MJ and LeBron were both elite defenders at their position. Both very quick, both rotating well, Jordan a better gambler, LeBron a better transition defender (probably GOAT in that regard). I don't consider LeBron's peak 12 or 13, but many people do. So here is another one: how many teams had a SF protecting the middle of their D and winning a championship? I think no other did that.

LeBron and Jordan were elite at their positions, and Shaq, while very good and a fantastic rim protector, still had some problems with his pick&roll defense.

Another thing: LeBron and MJ have more APG than Shaq. Maybe it's just natural with the position, don't you think? Or should we say Shaq was not a good passer? (he actually was, fantastic passer out of the post, but by your logic he could have never been at the level of LeBron or MJ in the playmaking department).

Evaluating players requires adjustment per position. I won't hurt CP3 (for example) for not protecting the rim because that can't be his job, and I certainly won't hurt Tim Duncan for not shooting 3 pointers (again, not his job).






Now that this is out of the question, you want to create a myth about the 00 LAL team not having a good enough supporting cast. This is not even close to being true. That team was very good in every single department, and please don't come with PPG averages to justify that. The things that make a supporting cast strong are: they can provide you impact in a ton of areas. They can defend, spread the floor, create shots, provide diferent types of solutions, etc. And the Lakers had it all. Cleveland 09 didn't, or even Heat 12 or 13.

Rim protection - Shaq
Shot creators - Shaq, Kobe
Spreading the floor - Fisher, Kobe, Horry, Rice, Fox
Man to man post defenders - Shaq, Green
Great perimeter defenders - Horry, Kobe, Harper, Fox
Great coaching - PJ
Ability to make diferent lineups - switch Harper and Fisher and you get totally diferent things. Fox as a great defender at SF, Rice as an elite floor spacer. Green providing a bigger lineup, that can be even bigger with Horry at SF. Horry providing the stretch PF. There is every possible solution.

There is no single area where the Lakers are flawed.

If you look into the 09 Cavs they lack rim protection and elite shot creation besides LeBron. If you look into the Heat squads they lack rim protectors and have rebounding issues. Their coaching (specially Cle 09) is not even close to the Lakers 00. Everything counts.

I'm sorry but the cast argument is just as false as it gets. The 00 Lakers was a much better team than the 09 Cavs, 12 or 13 Heat.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#94 » by RayBan-Sematra » Mon Sep 7, 2015 1:10 pm

Joao Saraiva wrote:So LeBron or MJ can't have the same impact on D as a C. So far so good, but there is a need to adjust per position.


Not sure there is really a need here.
Do we adjust for position when we say that KG had a much greater defensive value then Kobe?

MJ and LeBron were both elite defenders at their position.


I never said otherwise.

Now that this is out of the question, you want to create a myth about the 00 LAL team not having a good enough supporting cast.


Good enough? I never said it wasn't "good enough" I said it was a mediocre cast which it was.

Kobe was just gaining his footing as a star and he was still very inconsistent.
Plus he missed a bunch of games in the reg-season and was completely ineffective for most of the Finals.
The rest of the starters were pretty mediocre and the bench was extremely thin, unproductive and inefficient.

Colts18 did a comparison of Shaq's 00 cast, Hakeem's 94 cast and Duncan's 03 cast.
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Shaq's overall cast was the least productive and the least efficient out of the three.
People see "Kobe" and they assume it was this great cast but no. Kobe was still young, inconsistent and oft injured.
The rest of the cast was really not very good.

The 00 Lakers was a much better team than the 09 Cavs, 12 or 13 Heat.


I wouldn't agree with that.
None of those casts were "much worse" and one or two may have been better.

Lets examine what Shaq actually had.

Kobe : 21 / 4.4-apg on 52%TS. Solid 2nd option but still very inconsistent. Injured/useless for most of the Finals.
In the 11 games LAL won (pre-Finals) Kobe performed at an All-Star level in 6 of them. 6/11.

Rice (starter)
13ppg on 53%TS. Quality roleplayer. Added spacing.

Harper (starter)(36 years old)
9 / 3-apg on 49%TS.

Green (starter) (36 years old) (19mpg)
4 / 4-rpg on 45%TS
______________________________

Fisher (bench guy)
Played 15mpg. Averaged 4.9-ppg.
I thought he was an ok roleplayer.

Horry (major bench player)
7.6 / 5-rpg on 51%TS (29% 3PT)
"Ok" roleplayer.

Shaw (bench guy)
5 / 3-apg on 52%TS
Decent roleplayer. Had good chemistry with Shaq.

Fox (bench guy)
4ppg / 1.7-rpg. Played solid defense. (14mpg)
Shot well on extremely low volume.

***********************

Sorry but that cast was pretty weak. Extremely weak for a team that is trying to contend in a decent WC.
Yeah they had some "decent" defenders and "ok" spacing but that alone doesn't make it a good cast.
These guys were largely unproductive, inefficient & inconsistent.

Shaq hitched that team to his back.
No more so then in the Finals where Kobe was all but irrelevant outside of G4 and even in that game he forced the OT by sucking during regulation.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#95 » by 70sFan » Mon Sep 7, 2015 1:13 pm

It interesting that Shaq gets so many votes while Wilt almost none. What separates them? Shaq had better volume scoring numbers, but every other category goes to Wilt. Better rebounder (decent margin), more assists, less foul prone. There is nothing bad with taking Shaq over Wilt, but I'm curious why.
If volume scoring is such a imoortant thing, you could take Wilt 1964 season. He is still better rebounder, has better defensive stats and just as good volume scorer. His team is also much worse than 2000 Lakers.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#96 » by MyUniBroDavis » Mon Sep 7, 2015 1:14 pm

70sFan wrote:It interesting that Shaq gets so many votes while Wilt almost none. What separates them? Shaq had better volume scoring numbers, but every other category goes to Wilt. Better rebounder (decent margin), more assists, less foul prone. There is nothing bad with taking Shaq over Wilt, but I'm curious why.
If volume scoring is such a imoortant thing, you could take Wilt 1964 season. He is still better rebounder, has better defensive stats and just as good volume scorer. His team is also much worse than 2000 Lakers.



Its an impact vs non-impact thing. Im pretty sure that Quotatious and Tsherkin have more details.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#97 » by Gregoire » Mon Sep 7, 2015 1:16 pm

70sFan wrote:It interesting that Shaq gets so many votes while Wilt almost none. What separates them? Shaq had better volume scoring numbers, but every other category goes to Wilt. Better rebounder (decent margin), more assists, less foul prone. There is nothing bad with taking Shaq over Wilt, but I'm curious why.
If volume scoring is such a imoortant thing, you could take Wilt 1964 season. He is still better rebounder, has better defensive stats and just as good volume scorer. His team is also much worse than 2000 Lakers.


Shaq, Kareem and Wilt - are runners-up for my 3rd spot here. I choosed Shaq, but honestly didnt separate him from Kareem so much: as offensive anchors they are pretty close (scoring and passing almost even), defense basically tie, rebounding too.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#98 » by RayBan-Sematra » Mon Sep 7, 2015 1:26 pm

70sFan wrote:Better rebounder (decent margin)


Hard to say how big the margin would be. Pretty hypothetical.
Peak Shaq was over 20% TRB while playing nearly 44-mpg.
That is highly elite territory.

Wilt played in a completely different era.
In his last 3 years when TRB% was charted he was at 19.4% in the reg-season and 21.1% in the playoffs.
So those numbers aren't considerably better then what Shaq did in the modern era.

Anyway the point is we can't assume that he'd be "far better" Peak for Peak in that respect.
The actual difference might be pretty small.
Many things have changed over the years.

more assists


Because of his role.

Wilt 1964 season.


He didn't play so well in elimination that year.
29ppg on 51%TS against Boston.
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#99 » by 70sFan » Mon Sep 7, 2015 2:06 pm

RayBan-Sematra wrote:
70sFan wrote:Better rebounder (decent margin)


Hard to say how big the margin would be. Pretty hypothetical.
Peak Shaq was over 20% TRB while playing nearly 44-mpg.
That is highly elite territory.

Wilt played in a completely different era.
In his last 3 years when TRB% was charted he was at 19.4% in the reg-season and 21.1% in the playoffs.
So those numbers aren't considerably better then what Shaq did in the modern era.

Anyway the point is we can't assume that he'd be "far better" Peak for Peak in that respect.
The actual difference might be pretty small.
Many things have changed over the years.

more assists


Because of his role.

Wilt 1964 season.


He didn't play so well in elimination that year.
29ppg on 51%TS against Boston.[/quot]

Here you have TRB% numbers from players before 1969:
http://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=344&t=955514
As you can see, while difference isn't amazingly big (Shaq was a great rebounder, so gap can't be big), Wilt was still better rebounder.
Of course his role on offense was different than Shaq. I said only that Wilt have advantage in raw assists numbers. Still, don't you think that 2 triple double series (one of them vs GOAT defender) at center position is impressive? He had amaizng both assists and scoring (FG% also) numbers in first 2 series.
Also, 1964 Celtics is GOAT defensive team. Shaq faced 2004 Pistons, Spurs and Hakeem Rockets, but none of this teams were even close in defense to Russell 1964 Celtics. Also, Shaq had very good 2nd option in this series while Wilt played with bad offensive cast in 1964. 29 ppg. on 51 TS% is still amazing performace (Hakeem in 1995 was worse on offense for example).
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Re: Peaks Project: #1 

Post#100 » by theonlyclutch » Mon Sep 7, 2015 2:09 pm

Before I make a ballot vote, I would need some more thoughts on these questions:
-How much did hack-a-shaq affect 00 Shaq's offensive utility in general? He shot 13 FTs a game on 45.6% in the playoffs, I can't imagine these would be efficient offensive possessions for the Lakers, and might be a good way to slow him down...
-How did '09 Lebron's role on defense change from '13 Lebron's, and how effective were each at their roles?
-How was the playmaking role split between Pippen and Jordan on the '91 Bulls, and how did it differ from '89 and '90?
theonlyclutch's AT FGA-limited team - The Malevolent Eight

PG: 2008 Chauncey Billups/ 2013 Kyle Lowry
SG: 2005 Manu Ginobili/2012 James Harden
SF: 1982 Julius Erving
PF: 2013 Matt Bonner/ 2010 Amir Johnson
C: 1977 Kareem Abdul Jabaar

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