Official HEAT 2015-16 Regular Season Thread - Vol. I

[Heat_Fan_87]

we have the leagues easiest schedule thru the first 20 games, we play 14 of them at home and 1 back to back. if we start slow, making the playoffs could be a long shot.

[heat4life]

Out the gate, let's go!

[cyclix]

LEGGO!

[IggieCC]

[heat4life]

[cyclix]

You guys think we should experiment with a Chalmers-Wade-Deng-Bosh-Whiteside starting lineup, and have Dragic come off the bench to play with Green and the 2nd unit if we revisit preseason performance in the RS with current starting unit?

[heat4life]

You guys think we should experiment with a Chalmers-Wade-Deng-Bosh-Whiteside starting lineup, and have Dragic come off the bench to play with Green and the 2nd unit if we revisit preseason performance in the RS with current starting unit?

No way. Starting lineup needs time together. Dragic, Deng and Bosh need to hit their 3's at a 35% pace at least in order for that lineup to be successful. I wouldn't mess with the 2nd unit since it is clicking like it's supposed to.

What's interesting is that our lack of shooting just made Chalmers a needed piece.

[cyclix]

You guys think we should experiment with a Chalmers-Wade-Deng-Bosh-Whiteside starting lineup, and have Dragic come off the bench to play with Green and the 2nd unit if we revisit preseason performance in the RS with current starting unit?

No way. Starting lineup needs time together. Dragic, Deng and Bosh need to hit their 3's at a 35% pace at least in order for that lineup to be successful. I wouldn't mess with the 2nd unit since it is clicking like it's supposed to.

What's interesting is that our lack of shooting just made Chalmers a needed piece.

...if we revisit preseason performance in the RS with current starting unit?

[QUIZ]

You guys think we should experiment with a Chalmers-Wade-Deng-Bosh-Whiteside starting lineup, and have Dragic come off the bench to play with Green and the 2nd unit if we revisit preseason performance in the RS with current starting unit?

No, you can stagger rotations without changing the starting lineup. Dragic doesn't need to come off of the bench to play with Green and the other bench guys. He can start and still play with them.

[BigDaddyPR]

Lets get it!!!!!

[cyclix]

You guys think we should experiment with a Chalmers-Wade-Deng-Bosh-Whiteside starting lineup, and have Dragic come off the bench to play with Green and the 2nd unit if we revisit preseason performance in the RS with current starting unit?

No, you can stagger rotations without changing the starting lineup. Dragic doesn't need to come off of the bench to play with Green and the other bench guys. He can start and still play with them.

So that would mean Dragic would have to play all 12 minutes in the first quarter while the rest of starters sit out by the 4 minute mark.

But, if the current projected lineup turns out to be a disaster it would make sense for the staff to make lineup changes at some point?

[cyclix]

You guys think we should experiment with a Chalmers-Wade-Deng-Bosh-Whiteside starting lineup, and have Dragic come off the bench to play with Green and the 2nd unit if we revisit preseason performance in the RS with current starting unit?

No, you can stagger rotations without changing the starting lineup. Dragic doesn't need to come off of the bench to play with Green and the other bench guys. He can start and still play with them.

So that would mean Dragic would have to play all 12 minutes in the first quarter while the rest of starters sit out by the 4 minute mark.

But, if the current projected lineup turns out to become a disaster it would make sense for the staff to make lineup changes at some point?

[IggieCC]

[Mars]

Power Rankings: What’s Cooking?

Marc Stein | ESPN.com
October 26, 2015

The NBA's 70th season starts Tuesday night, and your trusty NBA Power Rankings Committee of One is ready for season No. 14 in charge of ESPN's weekly sorting of the Association.

And this, of course, is the first of 25 consecutive Mondays that we'll serve up a 1-to-30 ladder pinpointing where teams stand, weighing what's happening in the short term against each team's big-picture outlook ... with the usual dash of unpredictable whim tossed in.

2015-16 Power Rankings: Preseason

1. Golden State
2. Cleveland
3. San Antonio
4. Oklahoma City
5. Houston
6. LA Clippers
7. Memphis
8. Atlanta
9. HEAT
10. Chicago

Link

[Mars]

Barkley, Kenny Smith like Heat

Barry Jackson | Miami Herald
October 26, 2015

### I asked Charles Barkley and Kenny Smith what they think of the Heat, two days before the season opener.

Barkley: "Miami is the fourth best team if everything works out together [behind Cleveland, Chicago and Milwaukee]. Pat Riley has done a good job retooling that team. The big key is Hassan Whiteside. Whiteside is the key. That's a lot of pressure to put on a young kid for them to get over the hump. Those three top teams in the East are really good. Miami is in that fourth spot. Erik Spoelstra has done a good job down there. Dwyane Wade is going to play pretty solid. Goran Dragic is an All-Star. Chris Bosh is going to do what he does. Whiteside is the key."

Kenny Smith: "They have eight guys who have started at some time. For me, that's a big upside for them and Gerald Green and the rookie Justise Winslow can give you a lot of energy. Talent wise, they're underrated and forgotten about. They are probably the second-most talented team in the Eastern Conference."

Link

[eddieheatfan]

Power Rankings: What’s Cooking?

Marc Stein | ESPN.com
October 26, 2015

The NBA's 70th season starts Tuesday night, and your trusty NBA Power Rankings Committee of One is ready for season No. 14 in charge of ESPN's weekly sorting of the Association.

And this, of course, is the first of 25 consecutive Mondays that we'll serve up a 1-to-30 ladder pinpointing where teams stand, weighing what's happening in the short term against each team's big-picture outlook ... with the usual dash of unpredictable whim tossed in.

2015-16 Power Rankings: Preseason

1. Golden State
2. Cleveland
3. San Antonio
4. Oklahoma City
5. Houston
6. LA Clippers
7. Memphis
8. Atlanta
9. HEAT
10. Chicago

Link

that's not a bad projection which would make us like what? 4th seed in the east or something...

[QUIZ]

Power Rankings: What’s Cooking?

Marc Stein | ESPN.com
October 26, 2015

The NBA's 70th season starts Tuesday night, and your trusty NBA Power Rankings Committee of One is ready for season No. 14 in charge of ESPN's weekly sorting of the Association.

And this, of course, is the first of 25 consecutive Mondays that we'll serve up a 1-to-30 ladder pinpointing where teams stand, weighing what's happening in the short term against each team's big-picture outlook ... with the usual dash of unpredictable whim tossed in.

2015-16 Power Rankings: Preseason

1. Golden State
2. Cleveland
3. San Antonio
4. Oklahoma City
5. Houston
6. LA Clippers
7. Memphis
8. Atlanta
9. HEAT
10. Chicago

Link

that's not a bad projection which would make us like what? 4th seed in the east or something...

3rd behind Cleveland and Atlanta but ahead of the Bulls.

[QUIZ]

Out the gate, let's go!

Spoiler:

I miss Henry Walker.

[dolphinatik]

Efficiency Differential Formula=(Offensive Efficiency)-(Defensive Efficiency)

Efficiency Differential- The numerical gap between a team's offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency. The differential represents what each team did for the entire season and a team’s efficiency differential is a better predictor of future success.

from the wiretap

The Oklahoma City Thunder led the NBA in efficiency differential during the preseason with a mark of +12.5.

During the 14-15 preseason, the Golden State Warriors had the league's best mark with +11.0, which became a first indicator of their jump as title contenders.

Here's the full rankings from the 15-16 preseason:

1. Thunder: 12.5
2. Celtics: 11.6
3. Grizzlies: 11.5
4. Wizards: 10.4
5. Hornets: 10.0
6. Pistons: 7.1
7. Raptors: 5.6
8. Pacers: 4.7
9. Knicks: 4.0
10. Suns: 3.9
11. Nuggets: 3.5
12. Kings: 3.3
13. Magic: 2.8
14. Blazers: 1.8
15. Jazz: 0.4
16. Heat: 0.0
17. Hawks: -0.7
18. Rockets: -0.7
19. Nets: -1.0
20. Warriors: -1.3
21. Spurs: -1.9
22. Lakers: -2.1
23. Bucks: -3.4
24. Bulls: -3.6
25. Pelicans: -3.6
26. Clippers: -4.2
27. Cavaliers: -6.5
28. 76ers: -8.6
29. Mavericks: -10.7
30. Wolves: -11.0

Who knows is Donovan will have success in OKC but things are changing. Even though its pre-season I still found it interesting that OKC and the Celtics are leading this metric considering they have two relatively new highly regarded coaches. It will be interesting to see how the teams on this list perform during the regular season compared to this list. Its also interesting that we are status quo on this metric which implies dont expect different results this season. I did wish that we got Donovan but it is what it is. For those curious we were 19th at -.09 in differential last year while GSW, NO, UT, POT, PHX, Bos, CLE led that stat. I wonder where we finish this year in this stat.

[QUIZ]

Efficiency Differential Formula=(Offensive Efficiency)-(Defensive Efficiency)

Efficiency Differential- The numerical gap between a team's offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency. The differential represents what each team did for the entire season and a team’s efficiency differential is a better predictor of future success.

from the wiretap

The Oklahoma City Thunder led the NBA in efficiency differential during the preseason with a mark of +12.5.

During the 14-15 preseason, the Golden State Warriors had the league's best mark with +11.0, which became a first indicator of their jump as title contenders.

Here's the full rankings from the 15-16 preseason:

1. Thunder: 12.5
2. Celtics: 11.6
3. Grizzlies: 11.5
4. Wizards: 10.4
5. Hornets: 10.0
6. Pistons: 7.1
7. Raptors: 5.6
8. Pacers: 4.7
9. Knicks: 4.0
10. Suns: 3.9
11. Nuggets: 3.5
12. Kings: 3.3
13. Magic: 2.8
14. Blazers: 1.8
15. Jazz: 0.4
16. Heat: 0.0
17. Hawks: -0.7
18. Rockets: -0.7
19. Nets: -1.0
20. Warriors: -1.3
21. Spurs: -1.9
22. Lakers: -2.1
23. Bucks: -3.4
24. Bulls: -3.6
25. Pelicans: -3.6
26. Clippers: -4.2
27. Cavaliers: -6.5
28. 76ers: -8.6
29. Mavericks: -10.7
30. Wolves: -11.0

Who knows is Donovan will have success in OKC but things are changing. Even though its pre-season I still found it interesting that OKC and the Celtics are leading this metric considering they have two relatively new highly regarded coaches. It will be interesting to see how the teams on this list perform during the regular season compared to this list. Its also interesting that we are status quo on this metric which implies dont expect different results this season. I did wish that we got Donovan but it is what it is. For those curious we were 19th at -.09 in differential last year while GSW, NO, UT, POT, PHX, Bos, CLE led that stat. I wonder where we finish this year in this stat.

Eh, of course the team with the largest gap between their offensive and defensive efficiency will end up being one of the best if not the best team. The stat basically shows how big the the difference is between your teams offensive production per 100 possessions vs how many points they allow their opponent per 100 possessions.

With that said thats a hindsight stat, anyone can look back at the season once its over and deduce that much. OKC and Celtics leading this list doesn't mean anything other than the fact that they're playing well during the preseason.

I mean look at the bottom of that list the Clippers and Cavs two of the best teams in the league are ranked number 26 and 27 respectively, the Spurs are ranked 21, the Warriors are 20, the Rockets are ranked 18... They won't be ranked that low come seasons end I can guarantee that much.