jayu70 wrote:My point is the value of the trade cannot yet be determined...Trying to determine perceived value without games played or see a return on the investment that's looking at it in a vacuum.
jayu70 wrote:On one hand you are saying we'll see what happens with THJr but you are also saying definitively we got scammed and you agreed with the Knicks fan that we overpaid - the actual value of the trade has yet to be determined.
Everything you've said above is correct. The total value of the trade can more accurately be ascertained years after the fact.
But there be
other theories in determining market value.
A number of these are above my paygrade, but I'll explain it simply this way.
I believe a negotiated transaction can be evaluated immediately based on the current market value. I think we could have gotten THJ for less. This sentiment is echoed by opposing GMs (off the record), analysts, pundits, Knicks fans, etc.
If we pay a first rounder straight up for an underwhelming SG, and every other potential buyer scoffs at the amount paid....that's the market indicating you paid too much.
You are correct when you mention that the media doesn't decide who wins a trade. No doubt. But what we've seen from a number of beat writers and insiders is them
echoing what consensus there is among GMs and other Front Office persons.
Joey, our visitor from the Knicks board, sums it up concisely:
JoeypopsNY wrote:So yes the Hawks did give up to much value for him. He had a bad year and could have been had for less.
If THJ goes on to have a long and prosperous Hawks career...
GREAT. We'll have done well in the trade. (Particularly if no one drafted at 19 or later turns into a NBA caliber player.
But none of that changes the fact that AT THE TIME OF THE TRANSACTION we paid more than anything NYK could have possibly hoped to get elsewhere.We had numerous options at #15 in the draft.
Wilcox said the Hawks had eight or nine offers for the 15th pick. Once the Thunder selected Murray State point guard Cameron Payne at No. 14, the Hawks decided to move back and then eventually acquire Hardaway.
We had numerous options at #19 in the draft.
Budenholzer said the Hawks were never close to moving up in the draft but got several offers once they traded down to the 19th pick.
HEREI'm not sure a more experienced GM couldn't have gotten more by playing multiple teams against each other, having so many options on the table.