Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers?

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Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers?

Poll ended at Fri Oct 23, 2015 11:10 pm

Yes
44
46%
No
37
39%
I'm somewhere in the middle
14
15%
 
Total votes: 95

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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#241 » by Patsfan1081 » Sun Nov 15, 2015 10:19 am

basketballwacko2 wrote:
Clyde Frazier wrote:I'm sure this has been discussed on this board before, but the below article got me thinking about it again:

http://www.si.com/thecauldron/2015/10/16/philadelphia-76ers-sam-hinkie-joel-embiid-brett-brown-process

I tend to agree that the article borders on "negative diatribe", but posting it anyway as a jumping off point for discussion.

What are your thoughts on hinkie's rebuild plan? I'll come back later with more to say, but I tend to call it an "extreme tanking rebuild", which I don't entirely agree with. My main feeling is that he's made moves that have hindered actual team building and development, and now we're going into year 3 without much of a team in place.

Basically, I have no problem with building through the draft and acquiring assets, but it's the "extreme" or "rigid" nature of which hinkie's doing it that I question. Thoughts? Please vote in the poll as well.



The Sixers have a lot of picks and some young players but it's got to be tough on Sixer fans to endure all these loses year after year. If they were my team I'd want to see them start winning some games soon or I'd get impatient.


I think this is where the arguement is. I believe if you have a really good front office you will get back to the top some day. I don't believe there is a right or wrong way to rebuild. The question is will you do a full rebuild and putt up with the losing or will you build up assets slowly and wait for the big move to come along. There's risk to both ways.
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#242 » by HartfordWhalers » Sun Nov 15, 2015 2:27 pm

Patsfan1081 wrote:The only grudge I have with the Sixers is they are doing a disearvice to Noel/Okafor in not sourounding them with the correct tools to improve their game. Look at Minny, KG is a great influence on KAT and Rubio is huge for Wiggings and KAT's developement. Sixers had all the ammo to go out and trade for a Tyrus Jones or even Cameron Payne, even if they didn't think they were the pg of the future. You don't have to bring in a player the calibure of KG, but not having one or two vets to teach the bigs the riggers of the nba will hurt them in the long run. I'm not saying to go waste money on a aging vet on his last leg, but even signing a guy that's been in the league three or four years that has gone against the leagues elite bigs.


What? How would those rookie pg's promote 'improving the game of Noel/Okafor' compared to McConnell or Marshall? Basically they would be stop gaps if not pgs of the future, and the Sixers have those already, why squander assets. (Also easily trading up to the lottery isn't really easy or cheap at all. Tyus cost Minnesota 3 2nds including the 31st and the 36th pick so the cost is very steep to get into the 20 range.)

In terms of bigs, Noel's month to month progressions showed dramatic improvement last year. It might not be what people think the learning process is (there seems a lot of preconceived notions that are pretty unshakable here), but if anyone is actually looking under the hood the Sixers are doing everything they can to improve the games of their players and it appears to be working very well.
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#243 » by Smitty731 » Sun Nov 15, 2015 3:02 pm

HartfordWhalers wrote:
Patsfan1081 wrote:The only grudge I have with the Sixers is they are doing a disearvice to Noel/Okafor in not sourounding them with the correct tools to improve their game. Look at Minny, KG is a great influence on KAT and Rubio is huge for Wiggings and KAT's developement. Sixers had all the ammo to go out and trade for a Tyrus Jones or even Cameron Payne, even if they didn't think they were the pg of the future. You don't have to bring in a player the calibure of KG, but not having one or two vets to teach the bigs the riggers of the nba will hurt them in the long run. I'm not saying to go waste money on a aging vet on his last leg, but even signing a guy that's been in the league three or four years that has gone against the leagues elite bigs.


What? How would those rookie pg's promote 'improving the game of Noel/Okafor' compared to McConnell or Marshall? Basically they would be stop gaps if not pgs of the future, and the Sixers have those already, why squander assets. (Also easily trading up to the lottery isn't really easy or cheap at all. Tyus cost Minnesota 3 2nds including the 31st and the 36th pick so the cost is very steep to get into the 20 range.)

In terms of bigs, Noel's month to month progressions showed dramatic improvement last year. It might not be what people think the learning process is (there seems a lot of preconceived notions that are pretty unshakable here), but if anyone is actually looking under the hood the Sixers are doing everything they can to improve the games of their players and it appears to be working very well.


Spot on. Jones or Payne aren't going to help Noel of Okafor anymore than the PGs the 76ers have right now. Well, maybe more than Canaan, but Brown already said he's doing playing PG. :)

Maybe long term those guys are better. But right now they aren't.

My issue with Philadelphia is actually not right now, it is about another year or so forward. And it is the same issue as Boston. All those picks are wonderful. If you do something with them. If you just hold on to them, roll them over in to more picks, or god forbid, actually exercise all of them, then you failed. No team has room for all those players, or all those young players.

The 76ers and Celtics both have to start turning that stash in to something. Either consolidating those picks in to better picks (probably easier for Boston than Philly to some extent, as Philly projects to be high already) or in to veterans who can help now. If you keep rolling it over, that isn't success.
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#244 » by HartfordWhalers » Sun Nov 15, 2015 3:21 pm

Smitty731 wrote:
HartfordWhalers wrote:
Patsfan1081 wrote:The only grudge I have with the Sixers is they are doing a disearvice to Noel/Okafor in not sourounding them with the correct tools to improve their game. Look at Minny, KG is a great influence on KAT and Rubio is huge for Wiggings and KAT's developement. Sixers had all the ammo to go out and trade for a Tyrus Jones or even Cameron Payne, even if they didn't think they were the pg of the future. You don't have to bring in a player the calibure of KG, but not having one or two vets to teach the bigs the riggers of the nba will hurt them in the long run. I'm not saying to go waste money on a aging vet on his last leg, but even signing a guy that's been in the league three or four years that has gone against the leagues elite bigs.


What? How would those rookie pg's promote 'improving the game of Noel/Okafor' compared to McConnell or Marshall? Basically they would be stop gaps if not pgs of the future, and the Sixers have those already, why squander assets. (Also easily trading up to the lottery isn't really easy or cheap at all. Tyus cost Minnesota 3 2nds including the 31st and the 36th pick so the cost is very steep to get into the 20 range.)

In terms of bigs, Noel's month to month progressions showed dramatic improvement last year. It might not be what people think the learning process is (there seems a lot of preconceived notions that are pretty unshakable here), but if anyone is actually looking under the hood the Sixers are doing everything they can to improve the games of their players and it appears to be working very well.


Spot on. Jones or Payne aren't going to help Noel of Okafor anymore than the PGs the 76ers have right now. Well, maybe more than Canaan, but Brown already said he's doing playing PG. :)

Maybe long term those guys are better. But right now they aren't.

My issue with Philadelphia is actually not right now, it is about another year or so forward. And it is the same issue as Boston. All those picks are wonderful. If you do something with them. If you just hold on to them, roll them over in to more picks, or god forbid, actually exercise all of them, then you failed. No team has room for all those players, or all those young players.

The 76ers and Celtics both have to start turning that stash in to something. Either consolidating those picks in to better picks (probably easier for Boston than Philly to some extent, as Philly projects to be high already) or in to veterans who can help now. If you keep rolling it over, that isn't success.


Boston has that problem. I'm not sold Philly does to be honest.

Here is what they have giving the question mark guys the benefit of the doubt pretty much everywhere, but writing off the guys that all reason and sense says to:

Open / Marshall / McConnell
Open / Open / Stauskas
Open / Covington / Grant
Noel / Saric / Holmes
Okafor / Embid / Wood

In some sort of ideal scenario you have 4 1st rounders plugging those holes, and nabbing 2 starters with 2 top 5 picks (Lakers pick is going to be dicey but if it converts it looks amazing). Covington still starting would be great, but obviously there are some real prize sf's.
Add on the chance that Wood or McConnell doesn't stick around, that Marshall never recovers his athleticism (what he had), or that Saric tries to come over off rookie scale and not for another year, and Philly has a spot for everyone including the Denver 2nd even.

I think Philly adds at least 3 players in the draft next summer, gets them all of their core under rookie control and gives a salary cap window for adding vets dropping the roster spots that go to Jakarr, Hollis, Landry, Canaan, and Wroten.
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#245 » by HartfordWhalers » Sun Nov 15, 2015 7:10 pm

In hindsight, change everything I have ever said.

Waiters wants to play for the Sixers so something has gone terribly amiss.
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#246 » by Kings2013 » Sun Nov 15, 2015 7:15 pm

I'm less fearful of those swaps than before the season if possible. Next draft will be crucial for them though
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#247 » by HartfordWhalers » Sun Nov 15, 2015 7:25 pm

Kings2013 wrote:I'm less fearful of those swaps than before the season if possible. Next draft will be crucial for them though


Really? Everyone expected Philly to be what they are so far, while it sure sounded like this wasn't the start SAC fans envisioned...
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#248 » by Dr Positivity » Sun Nov 15, 2015 7:27 pm

The issue for the Sixers is their plan relies on the assumption they are great at drafting. If they just C grade at drafting they are utterly ****

Looking at their picks

2013 - Noel and MCW. I don't love this draft for them right now. MCW is a flawed but talented player they gave up on a year and a half in. Noel was solid as a rookie but has played bad so far this year like MCW did to start last season.
2014 - They are at risk to blow a #3 pick if Embiid's career never happens. Saric is coming over.
2015 - Okafor putting up numbers so far but not in a winning way. He has negative win shares right now. Will he end up a better pick than say Porzingis or Mudiay?

The reason PHI is 0-10 is so far this season they are getting nothing from the 2013 picks (MCW - traded, Noel - replacement level production this season) or 2014 ones (Embiid - injured, Saric - not playing). No wonder the process looks slow
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#249 » by HartfordWhalers » Sun Nov 15, 2015 7:34 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:The issue for the Sixers is their plan relies on the assumption they are great at drafting. If they just C grade at drafting they are utterly ****

Looking at their picks

2013 - Noel and MCW. I don't love this draft for them right now. MCW is a flawed but talented player they gave up on a year and a half in. Noel was solid as a rookie but has played bad so far this year like MCW did to start last season.


Seriously? MCW was traded for a pick that looks like gold compared to an 11th pick in a weak draft, and Noel has looked extremely good, coming in what 3rd in the ROY race which isn't so shabby for a 6th pick.

Thinking that draft was bad for Philly seems crazy...
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#250 » by Dr Positivity » Sun Nov 15, 2015 7:36 pm

Noel had an impressive rookie season. This year he is not helping the Sixers win. He is 3rd last in the league in Win Shares at -0.3.
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#251 » by HartfordWhalers » Sun Nov 15, 2015 7:38 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:Noel had an impressive rookie season. This year he is not helping the Sixers win. He is 3rd last in the league in Win Shares at -0.3.


Well, I wouldn't throw out 78 games and 2311 minutes for an 8 game sample of 258 minutes, but thats just the way I roll.
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Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#252 » by CoreyGallagher » Sun Nov 15, 2015 8:09 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:Noel had an impressive rookie season. This year he is not helping the Sixers win. He is 3rd last in the league in Win Shares at -0.3.

We're the only winless team and WS is correlative to team wins.
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#253 » by Hedda Gambler » Sun Nov 15, 2015 8:12 pm

The strategy is definitely interesting. What i am curious about, is what happens if Noel, Okafor & co turn out to be just OK. WHat happens if the strategy does not give Philly their stair, just a bunch of OK players that turn them into a treadmill team?
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#254 » by Dr Positivity » Sun Nov 15, 2015 10:16 pm

CoreyGallagher wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:Noel had an impressive rookie season. This year he is not helping the Sixers win. He is 3rd last in the league in Win Shares at -0.3.

We're the only winless team and WS is correlative to team wins.


Yes and no. Noel is at -0.6 OWS and 0.3 DWS. His defensive win shares would be better if the Sixers were playing D like last year. His offensive win shares are mostly his own individual stats.

Win Shares is not gospel but Noel is at .43 TS% with a high turnover rate while using a lot of possessions. His ORTG is 80 which is below MCW's 88 for the Sixers last year which was godawful in its own right. Stauskas currently is at 88 feeling like every shot he takes is a brick. 95 is around replacement level efficiency in my opinion or D League efficiency as I've heard it called. 103-105 is average. Noel at 80 using a lot of possessions is why his win shares is negative. When taking into account poor floor spacing effects Noel is having an atrocious offensive year and may not be more than replacement value overall when taking into account his good D.

Not writing him off or anything since 8 games is pretty small but right now his play is part of the problem imo. I was higher on the Sixers than most coming into this year cause I thought Noel and Covington would both be good players. Right now Noel is bad and Covington isn't playing
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#255 » by Texas Chuck » Sun Nov 15, 2015 11:34 pm

see my sig for what I think about Dr. P's take itt
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#256 » by Chinook » Sun Nov 15, 2015 11:50 pm

HartfordWhalers wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:The issue for the Sixers is their plan relies on the assumption they are great at drafting. If they just C grade at drafting they are utterly ****

Looking at their picks

2013 - Noel and MCW. I don't love this draft for them right now. MCW is a flawed but talented player they gave up on a year and a half in. Noel was solid as a rookie but has played bad so far this year like MCW did to start last season.


Seriously? MCW was traded for a pick that looks like gold compared to an 11th pick in a weak draft, and Noel has looked extremely good, coming in what 3rd in the ROY race which isn't so shabby for a 6th pick.

Thinking that draft was bad for Philly seems crazy...


I feel like you were so keen to be offended that you missed his point. Philly looks bad right now because they are CURRENTLY getting nothing out of their picks. That MCW was traded for great value doesn't help the team this year. And if that pick is another Embiid or Saric, it may not even help for a few years, or ever. Philly is at the mercy of their draft prowess, and so far they don't have enough to show they're good at drafting.

I don't claim to watch the Sixers much nowadays. I didn't even watch them much when I was in Philly. But from what I've seen, the culture over there is souring more and more with each loss. Brown looks fed up, Noel had a pretty notable reaction the other day.

The question I would ask about the 76ers is this: Does Hinkie really have a plan, or does he just have a philosophy? Those are two different things. It's not a plan to trade away decent young players for picks and to draft delayed-gratification prospects. I thought they were going with length and defense which they were going to teach to shoot, but then they trade away two of their lengthy guys before they really had a chance to teach them to shoot.

Just seems more and more to me that they are just shuffling papers and waiting on a miracle, while other teams are picking up foundational pieces while not going through this much strife.
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#257 » by Mykhyn » Mon Nov 16, 2015 12:23 am

2 potential top picks this year will fit nicely. Then try to sign Barnes or someone in FA and have a real line up to trot out next year
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#258 » by HartfordWhalers » Mon Nov 16, 2015 12:30 am

Chinook wrote:
HartfordWhalers wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:The issue for the Sixers is their plan relies on the assumption they are great at drafting. If they just C grade at drafting they are utterly ****

Looking at their picks

2013 - Noel and MCW. I don't love this draft for them right now. MCW is a flawed but talented player they gave up on a year and a half in. Noel was solid as a rookie but has played bad so far this year like MCW did to start last season.


Seriously? MCW was traded for a pick that looks like gold compared to an 11th pick in a weak draft, and Noel has looked extremely good, coming in what 3rd in the ROY race which isn't so shabby for a 6th pick.

Thinking that draft was bad for Philly seems crazy...


I feel like you were so keen to be offended that you missed his point. Philly looks bad right now because they are CURRENTLY getting nothing out of their picks. That MCW was traded for great value doesn't help the team this year. And if that pick is another Embiid or Saric, it may not even help for a few years, or ever. Philly is at the mercy of their draft prowess, and so far they don't have enough to show they're good at drafting.

I don't claim to watch the Sixers much nowadays. I didn't even watch them much when I was in Philly. But from what I've seen, the culture over there is souring more and more with each loss. Brown looks fed up, Noel had a pretty notable reaction the other day.

The question I would ask about the 76ers is this: Does Hinkie really have a plan, or does he just have a philosophy? Those are two different things. It's not a plan to trade away decent young players for picks and to draft delayed-gratification prospects. I thought they were going with length and defense which they were going to teach to shoot, but then they trade away two of their lengthy guys before they really had a chance to teach them to shoot.

Just seems more and more to me that they are just shuffling papers and waiting on a miracle, while other teams are picking up foundational pieces while not going through this much strife.


I'm pretty sure I responded to exactly what he said. I just think what he said was crazytown.
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#259 » by BullyKing » Mon Nov 16, 2015 1:02 am

Chinook wrote:
HartfordWhalers wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:The issue for the Sixers is their plan relies on the assumption they are great at drafting. If they just C grade at drafting they are utterly ****

Looking at their picks

2013 - Noel and MCW. I don't love this draft for them right now. MCW is a flawed but talented player they gave up on a year and a half in. Noel was solid as a rookie but has played bad so far this year like MCW did to start last season.


Seriously? MCW was traded for a pick that looks like gold compared to an 11th pick in a weak draft, and Noel has looked extremely good, coming in what 3rd in the ROY race which isn't so shabby for a 6th pick.

Thinking that draft was bad for Philly seems crazy...


I feel like you were so keen to be offended that you missed his point. Philly looks bad right now because they are CURRENTLY getting nothing out of their picks.


No, he started by saying that the plan won't work if the Sixers are only at a "C" at drafting and then cited what HW quoted. Unless we're no longer going to assume that there is a logical connection between a sentence and the sentence that follows it, it seems pretty clear he was using the drafting of Noel and MCW as evidence of potentially bad drafting.

And, as has been discussed repeatedly, is there anyone that they could have drafted over MCW, at 11 in a terrible draft, other than Gobert and maybe Giannis that would make any difference right now? Hell, forget after MCW, other than Noel and Olapido, is there anyone they could have drafted before MCW that could have made a difference?
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the plan is to get as good as quickly as possible....I fully believe we could have been a borderline playoff team last year by adding young veterans....using or draft picks and cap space.....can I specifically tell you who? no.
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Re: Do you agree with hinkie's rebuild plan for the sixers? 

Post#260 » by CoreyGallagher » Mon Nov 16, 2015 1:24 am

Dr Positivity wrote:
CoreyGallagher wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:Noel had an impressive rookie season. This year he is not helping the Sixers win. He is 3rd last in the league in Win Shares at -0.3.

We're the only winless team and WS is correlative to team wins.


Yes and no. Noel is at -0.6 OWS and 0.3 DWS. His defensive win shares would be better if the Sixers were playing D like last year. His offensive win shares are mostly his own individual stats.

Per Basketball Reference-
In my system, one win is equivalent to one Win Share.

Wins are directly referenced in the formula to calculate WS.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/about/ws.html

Players that have negative win share have performed poorly, I wasn't denying that, however the affect of team wins relative to win share is only positive so it skews league rankings, which is what I was referring to. There is occasional error and players can play above and below their team win threshold, however the intention is that the roster will divvy up win shares' among the players themselves according to varying factors that will cumulatively be about the number of wins the team has.
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