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Official Draft Thread 2015-16

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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#581 » by BfB » Mon Dec 14, 2015 3:46 am

Duke4life831 wrote:
BfB wrote:
Duke4life831 wrote:
Completely different players at this stage of their careers. Tatum is the most skilled 17 year old I have ever seen at his height. I think he is going to dominate college ball. When it comes to NBA, not to sure. He isnt the greatest athlete and especially at the 3, you need to be pretty damn athletic. But maybe he will be skilled enough where he can make up for it


Man, we are in a strange place here with Ingrim and Tatum...

I've watched Tatum in person at least a dozen times, front and center. The kid personifies "smooth athlete". He's plenty explosive when he wants/needs to be. That's the way Paul George played most of the time before really becoming agressive - he used his skill much more than his power early on.

Tatum may lack the max vert of George, but to me their total packages are negligibly different - their scoring prowess comes from their ability to shoot, intelligence/instincts settingmup their moves, and the body control/balance necessary to get off great shots on tough set ups.

Ingrim has ungodly length and I certainly need to watch him more as I am way more familiar with Tatum's game, but I see Tatum as having superior basketball skills/athleticism package at this point and an easily projectable 235 frame, which would make him a terror as a 3.

Ingrim is still a money J away from being that uber-player, I have no such concerns with Tatum...that's just me though.


I should've worded it a little different. I think Tatum moves extremely well for his size, so I agree with the smoothness part, I do question his explosion though. Now this is from watching games on TV and online. So if in person you think different, I'd side with your opinion. You can definitely get a better feel for that stuff in person. As a Duke fan, I've been a massive Tatum fan for a long time, he was the most wanted recruit for me ever. I think his skill level is just off the charts, so I won't be disappointed if I an wrong about his explosiveness.

When it comes to Ingram he's a sneaky athlete. I think cause his frame it doesn't look as impressive, I don't know. But the kid has a surprisingly quick first step for his size and in the open floor the kid can run. His handles are good for his size but gets caught dribbling to high sometimes. And I agree if he gets his jumper down he has scary potential. He has great touch around the rim. I do question if his jumper ever does become consistent (around 60% FT shooter). If I was a GM and I was picking between Tatum and Ingram, I'm choosing Tatum with no hesitation.


I think there is plenty to work with on Ingrim's jumper mechanics. He's lazy with the mechanics - hip/shoulder alignment, armslot, and most frequently wrist snap/follow through. When he keeps these tight he looks like a shooter, but too often he just kind of goes up loose and lets the ball kinda float oit of his hand without getting tight soin on it.

For him, its more a question of if he's willing to put in the effort and attention to detail. He seems like a good kid from talking to him. He's from a small town, so its understandable if he's a bit laxidasical at this stage. Does he have it in him to turn into a grinder or does he want to just be chill and let things comemin their own time - thats really the only question I have as to whether he'll get to his top game.
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Re: RE: Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#582 » by BfB » Mon Dec 14, 2015 3:58 am

jmr07019 wrote:
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peachbucket wrote:
It doesn't take a mathematician to know his max vertical is well over 40 inches from that video. If that's not a great vert then you must be living on the moon :)


Ughh...this is what is so frustrating - stop looking at his hand. I doubt his feet are even 30 inches off the ground there - you can't put a yard stick between the soles of his feet and the ground - your vert is measured from your arm raised flat footer to where you can touch on the jump - he's long, he can get 12 feet up, but thats not his vert.

Aside from that I was talking about explosiveness, which is "burst" not vert or reach. Terminology counts boys and girls.


You're wrong accept it and move on. His standing reach is 9'2''. The top of the backboard is 13'. His vert is above 40" and vertical is ALWAYS associated with explosion.


Nah, not going to do that. I gave you my definition of "explosive" - its the quickness of the action. I don't give a **** what his vert is, that was not my primary point. To gain the lane and rip through he needs either speed or strength to gain the edge and use those strides to use that vert. Not sure whats so hard to understand about that. He's a great talent, but he's not flawless. He needs that jumper. He's not going to get into the lane frequently by getting 3-5 big ass strides strait line, like that fun Youtube video. Playing in the lane in the NBA is about your forst step and your last step - can you get away from your primary defender? Can you make an explosive cut latterally around the help defender? Are you able to stop quickly with shorter strides to negotiate space when on the move?

To do that consistently you have to get at least halfway past your primary defender and have the strength to "put him in jail" to consistently attack the basket - if you don't accept that, I don't know what to tell you. Your primary defender typically makes physical body contact to try to "bump" you off line and mess up your balance. This is where core strength comes in - bery hard for a player with a stretched out center of gravity to do - KG, TMAC, KD - all players who still use touch more often than power even after gaining the core strength necessary to jostle in the lane.

Maybe he has a 40+ inch vert, whoop titty fart...

Ingrim's long strides are only a weapon when he has a free lane to the basket. Nobody makes a living as a scorer on straight line dashes to the hoop from 30 feet. 90% of the time your "stride" plays are going to come off of defenders "selling out" to run you off the three point line. Increasing the volume of those looks will come down to being a viable threat from the perimeter.

If Ingrim is attacking from the elbows or in most PnR actions he will have to learn to manipulate stride length, mix speeds, and improve leg strength to stop quickly and/or mix in more controlled east/west latteral moves in order to get off clean looks.

I watched him closely last year in a practice/scrimmage environment as well as 3 games this year at Duke. He is lethal in space. Whether in transition or taking advantage of a help defensive breakdown, when he turns the corner and can take two or more massive strides you get to see "the tomahawk" in all its jaw-dropping glory....but you just aren't living off of that with any consistency at the NBA level.

His best moments when i've watched him have come when he is hitting shots and drawing defenders off balance. When he has just been trying to get to the hoop vs a set defense he hasn't done much, which is not surprising considering he is not fleet of foot and most defensers have lower centers of gravity and are able to cut him off if they are only focused on his drive.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#583 » by robbie84 » Mon Dec 14, 2015 12:38 pm

Caris Levert

His foot is the obvious gamble, but he could be a Sullinger type steal (or better).

Listed at 6'7" or 6'8" (but Michigan says he's not 6'8" yet) Wingspan isn't officially listed but it's easily 7 feet.
17.4 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 steal and shooting 43% from three point land, after shooting 38% all of last season.

-Awesome defender. Doesn't have huge steal numbers, but with incredible length and hard work, he's a nightmare for opposing guards and small forwards. To guard NBA SF's he'll need to put on some weight, but he's already put on 15 pounds of muscle this season. Has semi-wide shoulders/frame- a kind of 'thickness' in his mid section to complement his legnth and shouldn't have too much problem adding some bulk/strength.

-Shoots the 3 ball very well with a quick release and beautiful form/rigidity in his stroke.

- Has an NBA level handle and driving ability to get past NBA defenders. Uses crossovers, pick and roll's and hesitations and then finishes with his 7 foot wingspan around the basket.


Warning: has had foot surgery, explaining why he is projected in the mid/late first round rather than a top 10 pick. He's also 21 but has missed a lot of time with the foot injuries. Needs to add more weight and get up to about 220 pounds to be an NBA SF but could play PG or SG in the NBA at 200 pounds.

This guy reminds me of Evan Turner but with a legit three point shot.

Anyone else like this guy for a gamble on his foot with our own pick around #20-#25?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1JmQZBUYb_w

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lxtrKOmHS2I

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mij0gthvtFk
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#584 » by BfB » Mon Dec 14, 2015 1:43 pm

robbie84 wrote:Caris Levert

His foot is the obvious gamble, but he could be a Sullinger type steal (or better).

Listed at 6'7" or 6'8" (but Michigan says he's not 6'8" yet) Wingspan isn't officially listed but it's easily 7 feet.
17.4 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 steal and shooting 43% from three point land, after shooting 38% all of last season.

-Awesome defender. Doesn't have huge steal numbers, but with incredible length and hard work, he's a nightmare for opposing guards and small forwards. To guard NBA SF's he'll need to put on some weight, but he's already put on 15 pounds of muscle this season. Has semi-wide shoulders/frame- a kind of 'thickness' in his mid section to complement his legnth and shouldn't have too much problem adding some bulk/strength.

-Shoots the 3 ball very well with a quick release and beautiful form/rigidity in his stroke.

- Has an NBA level handle and driving ability to get past NBA defenders. Uses crossovers, pick and roll's and hesitations and then finishes with his 7 foot wingspan around the basket.


Warning: has had foot surgery, explaining why he is projected in the mid/late first round rather than a top 10 pick. He's also 21 but has missed a lot of time with the foot injuries. Needs to add more weight and get up to about 220 pounds to be an NBA SF but could play PG or SG in the NBA at 200 pounds.

This guy reminds me of Evan Turner but with a legit three point shot.

Anyone else like this guy for a gamble on his foot with our own pick around #20-#25?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1JmQZBUYb_w

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lxtrKOmHS2I

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mij0gthvtFk


Ya, he's real solid all around. The injury history is a real concern though. For where he's slotted its a great risk/reward proposition.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#585 » by pfm » Mon Dec 14, 2015 1:49 pm

I was hoping Levert would come out last year and we could gamble on him with one of those late 1st/early 2nd picks. He's a really good player who can do a lot of things. We ended up with Hunter though who does some similar things.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#586 » by TommyPointGawd » Mon Dec 14, 2015 1:52 pm

I am probably not as locked in as some of you in this thread, but I have made a point to watch as many of the top prospects games as possible. As for Simmons you have to love is tools, his IQ, and his physical gifts. But the major flaw he has is obvious to me. He is definitely not soft but he has no heart in my opinion. He plays with no fire. I would like to see the kid get upset. He fouled out on a few questionable calls and no real emotion from the guy. You watch guys with 1/10th of his talent going all out and he is just in coast mode.

I realize he has a lot to lose so he may just be trying to stay healthy. But I also do not like this mentality. He seems for than ok with losing.

Also he never uses his left hand.


That said yes I still want him in green.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#587 » by 24istheLAW » Tue Dec 15, 2015 3:54 am

pfm wrote:I was hoping Levert would come out last year and we could gamble on him with one of those late 1st/early 2nd picks. He's a really good player who can do a lot of things. We ended up with Hunter though who does some similar things.


I want to get excited about Hunter but his slightness of build is just so hard to get around. The skill on the ball is real for a player who isn't a point guard. The length is legit. The shot is good enough and he's creative. I just have a hard time getting excited about the luxuries of his skillset if he can't finish through contact or bang.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#588 » by BfB » Tue Dec 15, 2015 4:10 am

24istheLAW wrote:
pfm wrote:I was hoping Levert would come out last year and we could gamble on him with one of those late 1st/early 2nd picks. He's a really good player who can do a lot of things. We ended up with Hunter though who does some similar things.


I want to get excited about Hunter but his slightness of build is just so hard to get around. The skill on the ball is real for a player who isn't a point guard. The length is legit. The shot is good enough and he's creative. I just have a hard time getting excited about the luxuries of his skillset if he can't finish through contact or bang.


Worrying about core strength is almost always unnecessary. In 3-4 seasons Hunter will be 25lbs heavier - guys who work always put on weight. He'll be fine.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#589 » by 24istheLAW » Tue Dec 15, 2015 4:18 am

BfB wrote:
24istheLAW wrote:
pfm wrote:I was hoping Levert would come out last year and we could gamble on him with one of those late 1st/early 2nd picks. He's a really good player who can do a lot of things. We ended up with Hunter though who does some similar things.


I want to get excited about Hunter but his slightness of build is just so hard to get around. The skill on the ball is real for a player who isn't a point guard. The length is legit. The shot is good enough and he's creative. I just have a hard time getting excited about the luxuries of his skillset if he can't finish through contact or bang.


Worrying about core strength is almost always unnecessary. In 3-4 seasons Hunter will be 25lbs heavier - guys who work always put on weight. He'll be fine.


I hope that happens. I'll take your word on the 25 lbs part. He certainly seems to have the initiative.

The thing with RJ is he can already do a lot of impressive things and the key is more to raise his "floor" on the court rather than add any fundamental skills to his toolkit.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#590 » by Gomes3PC » Tue Dec 15, 2015 3:33 pm

LeVert would be a great pickup with the Mavs pick or our own pick if we're in that 16-22 range. Denzel Valentine is another good choice, tough all-around player, plays like a bit of an a-hole on the court similar to Draymond. Limited athletically but his size helps counteract that.

Also like Nigel Hayes - he's overexposed right now trying to be the man for Wisconsin, but as a role player at the next level he does a lot of good things and is very coachable. More than anything, when we get to these picks in the 15-30 range, you need to find guys who fit what you want to do and are able to be coached.

Other interesting players currently outside the DX Top 15

Ivan Rabb - has been super efficient as a freshman, very good length and bounce, nice midrange game that could stretch to 3s, top-10 recruit (something Ainge tracks closely)

Domantas Sabonis - super skilled, smooth athlete, great bloodlines. Lefty also means he causes matchup issues. Hits glass hard for his bulk

Chinanu Onuaku - broad-shouldered, legit center. Great touch like his brother Arinze, and bigger defensive impact

Jake Layman - great length and super athletic, better shooter than his 3PT% shows this year, can also make plays for others, tough on D

Deyonta Davis - probably a year away but a strong finish and he could be one of the fastest risers in the class. One of the keys as to why MSU is undefeated right now. Fantastic shotblocker, rebounder and touch at rim. Zero game outside the paint yet
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#591 » by Curmudgeon » Tue Dec 15, 2015 4:10 pm

Ainge has three first rounders and four second rounders. Unless he can do some major consolidation, he will need to take a couple of draft and stash players. I like European players much more than Ainge does, but he should take a hard look at guys like Timothe Luwawu in the second half of the first round and Vezenkov and Hernangomez in the second round.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#592 » by Gomes3PC » Tue Dec 15, 2015 4:58 pm

Ainge has never used a pick before #45 for a guy he stashes internationally. Not saying he won't do it this year, just doesn't seem to be his MO. I think he's more likely to move up with a two-for-one trade or trade the Mavs/C's pick for a future 1st that he thinks could wind up in the lotto.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#593 » by 165bows » Tue Dec 15, 2015 7:15 pm

Gomes3PC wrote:Ainge has never used a pick before #45 for a guy he stashes internationally. Not saying he won't do it this year, just doesn't seem to be his MO. I think he's more likely to move up with a two-for-one trade or trade the Mavs/C's pick for a future 1st that he thinks could wind up in the lotto.


Will be interesting to see what the handful of picks 10-50 this team has will be worth. Will teams look at paying 12-15M for some of these mediocre vets and put a high value on getting an extra guy on a rookie scale?

The way the Celtics and 76ers have been hording picks for this year's somewhat adequate looking draft, makes me think they are betting that's the case. I was going to start a thread on the subject of the increased value of these picks due to rising salaries, but still fleshing out the details. There have been some good articles but still waiting for a really good breakdown with the amount of available money compared to the crappy FA class. Good blogger material still sitting there, IMO.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#594 » by 165bows » Tue Dec 15, 2015 7:17 pm

Curmudgeon wrote:Ainge has three first rounders and four second rounders. Unless he can do some major consolidation, he will need to take a couple of draft and stash players. I like European players much more than Ainge does, but he should take a hard look at guys like Timothe Luwawu in the second half of the first round and Vezenkov and Hernangomez in the second round.


I believe five second rounders. Philly, Min (record dependent), Mia, Cle, and best of DAL/MEM.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#595 » by No-Man » Wed Dec 16, 2015 8:30 am

Ingram will fit like a globe in Boston if you can catch him with Brooklyn's pick, actually Simmons and Bender will also fit well, and I think Rabb too, even Brown, so everyone from my top5 could make sense.
That is something that you have certainly going well for you guys.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#596 » by No-Man » Wed Dec 16, 2015 8:33 am

Deyonta Davis looks a bit Davis-lite, doubt he comes out, MSU is likely bringing in a monster recruiting class headlined by Josh Jackson and Miles Bridges, and he is still raw.
Swanigan is another guy that I guess will stay, but man, he looks like Anthony Bennett physically but actually can play, really good passer, has length, core strength and instincts for rebounding plus a 7'3 wingspan, the reach of a C and can hit the jumper.
Still needs seasoning and maturing his game, but he really looks like a Draymond type out there, super young too, 97' kid.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#597 » by 165bows » Wed Dec 16, 2015 11:44 am

Fischella wrote:Deyonta Davis looks a bit Davis-lite, doubt he comes out, MSU is likely bringing in a monster recruiting class headlined by Josh Jackson and Miles Bridges, and he is still raw.
Swanigan is another guy that I guess will stay, but man, he looks like Anthony Bennett physically but actually can play, really good passer, has length, core strength and instincts for rebounding plus a 7'3 wingspan, the reach of a C and can hit the jumper.
Still needs seasoning and maturing his game, but he really looks like a Draymond type out there, super young too, 97' kid.

Davis caught my eye a little bit as well.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#598 » by Gomes3PC » Wed Dec 16, 2015 6:18 pm

One other guy I left off - Amidah Brimah. He's a future role player but that role (running the floor, blocking shots, finishing at rim) is one this team really needs.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#599 » by ddb » Wed Dec 16, 2015 6:42 pm

3 straight dominate games from Ingram now. He's getting better and better. I could picture Ainge sitting in his office drooling over this kid and convincing himself that he'd take Ingram #1 over Simmons.
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Re: Official Draft Thread 2015-16 

Post#600 » by jmr07019 » Wed Dec 16, 2015 10:16 pm

The 3 games ddb referenced

[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZHjlR7QTWbs[/youtube]

[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wE7K_3n69EE[/youtube]

[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MxzLEbT9_NE[/youtube]
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