Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers

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Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#1 » by Laimbeer » Thu Jan 28, 2016 7:07 pm

Years and dollars

Whiteside
Jefferson
Noah
Ezeli
Zaza
Hibbert
Mozgov
Comments to rationalize bad contracts -
1) It's less than the MLE
2) He can be traded later
3) It's only __% of the cap
4) The cap is going up
5) It's only __ years
6) He's a good mentor/locker room guy
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#2 » by Texas Chuck » Thu Jan 28, 2016 7:17 pm

Whiteside likely gets a 4 year max---I'd be leery of that, but I bet he does.
Jefferson likely takes a 1 year deal for around $10M from a team left with cap space when the better options are picked over
Noah likely takes a 1 year deal for around the same. He might have to give a team an option year to get 8 figures at this point.
Ezeli -- he's restricted so a team will have to go big if they want him. So I'd say he either gets offered like 4/$60M or he signs no offer sheet and returns to GSW on the QO if they can't work out something smaller--say 3/$36M with the final year being a PO
Zaza -- 2/$25M? Maybe 3/$35? Good solid player, but he's careering on a veteran team with a genius coach.
Hibbert -- 1/$5M maybe? Can't see a team giving many years or much money at this point. Maybe he does a little better?
Mozgov -- 3/$36M Some team is going to be willing to take a chance on this guy.
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#3 » by Mykhyn » Thu Jan 28, 2016 7:26 pm

Whiteside- Max from a lot of teams

Jefferson 12mil~ Not sure who really wants him tho. Someone will panic

Noah 12mil~ I think Noahs next contract will either be a steal or a catastrophe. I'd take the risk. I kind of hope he becomes a Pelican.

Ezeli- Hard choice. Restricted, not world breaking and on a team with a lot of salary already. Someone has to overpay for him to leave but I'm not sure he's worth overpaying for. Almost expect QO

Zaza-4/40? I think Dallas retains him as long as it stays semi reasonable.

Hibbert- I think someone like Boston should try to lock him up on a 4 year 20mil ish offer. He's a guy that could be a home run if you can get him there mentally. He's a legit spot big worst case scenario.

Mozgov- League is moving away from the style he plays. I see a short term 1-2 year 8-12mil a year contract.
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#4 » by giberish » Thu Jan 28, 2016 9:15 pm

On one hand, they'll be several craploads of cap space available around the league, so contracts look to be huge.
One the other hand, center is - IMO - by far the deepest position around the league for decent enough rotation players at this time (perhaps because a lot of guys who would have been big PF's are also centers now). So teams with spare cap space and roster holes probably won't have a hole at center.

Whiteside : 4yr/25% MAX
Jefferson : 2yr / $15M
Noah : 2yr / $20M
Ezeli : 4yr / $50M (obviously not unrestricted)
Zaza: 3yr / $40M (been a quality starter the last 2 years, not just in Dallas)
Hibbert 2yr / $15M
Mozgov 3yr / $40M

Other UFA centers:

Howard : 4yr / $100M (less then he could get but still looks ugly down the line)
Biyombo : 3yr / $20M
Mahimi : 3yr / $20M

Several more RFAs : Zeller, Deadman, Leonard, Boban
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#5 » by hcsilla » Thu Jan 28, 2016 9:24 pm

Deserves it or not Hibbert will get at least 8 mil. per year.
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#6 » by sipclip » Thu Jan 28, 2016 9:30 pm

Jefferson and Noah will each get at least a 3yr 36mil offer. With as much cap space as teams will have they should have plenty of suitors.
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#7 » by sonictecture » Thu Jan 28, 2016 9:45 pm

Laimbeer wrote:Years and dollars

Whiteside
Jefferson
Noah
Ezeli
Zaza
Hibbert
Mozgov

Whiteside
I could see Miami offering a 5 year max if they can under the cba as a talent value resign. 4 year max otherwise, there still a lot of decision makers who value the center position and every team will have money.

Jefferson
I think he'll get some one year offers, but I also think a team out there might offer him less money $7M at 3 years. I think he'll go anywhere that offers him the most money.

Noah
I think he gets a 4 year max if teams believe he is healthy. I could envision him getting a max offer, failing a physical and signing for less years and less money.

Ezeli
4yr/ 48M. The question I have is whether he gets from GSW or someone else.

Zaza
3 yr 36M. He's 32 next month, so this is might be his last chance at a good contract. No rebuilding teams will go after him.

Hibbert
I think he takes a minimum or near minimum deal with the Spurs or another contending team who thinks he might add to their defense off the bench as a situational player.

Mozgov
4 yr / 48M He'll be thirty by next season, but is attractive enough to a team in the middle area to spend on.
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#8 » by sonictecture » Thu Jan 28, 2016 9:46 pm

hcsilla wrote:Deserves it or not Hibbert will get at least 8 mil. per year.

From whom? I don't see it.
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#9 » by Scoot McGroot » Thu Jan 28, 2016 10:12 pm

sonictecture wrote:
hcsilla wrote:Deserves it or not Hibbert will get at least 8 mil. per year.

From whom? I don't see it.


I rarely do, but I agree with hcsilla in this case. There will be a ton of cap space unused, and many teams will feel they just HAVE to spend it. Ultimately, it will only be a one year deal, or maybe a 2 year deal but with a TEAM controlled 2nd year, but I just imagine he's going to get something higher than the MLE, and likely in the $7-10m range.
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#10 » by winter_mute_13 » Thu Jan 28, 2016 10:19 pm

giberish wrote:Mahimi : 3yr / $20M


I think he'll get more than that ($10m+ annual range), but I hope you're right!
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#11 » by gom » Thu Jan 28, 2016 10:35 pm

sonictecture wrote:I could see Miami offering a 5 year max if they can under the cba as a talent value resign. 4 year max otherwise, there still a lot of decision makers who value the center position and every team will have money.


Is this an exception to 33?

http://www.cbafaq.com/salarycap.htm#Q33
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#12 » by Smitty731 » Thu Jan 28, 2016 10:36 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:Whiteside likely gets a 4 year max---I'd be leery of that, but I bet he does.
Jefferson likely takes a 1 year deal for around $10M from a team left with cap space when the better options are picked over
Noah likely takes a 1 year deal for around the same. He might have to give a team an option year to get 8 figures at this point.
Ezeli -- he's restricted so a team will have to go big if they want him. So I'd say he either gets offered like 4/$60M or he signs no offer sheet and returns to GSW on the QO if they can't work out something smaller--say 3/$36M with the final year being a PO
Zaza -- 2/$25M? Maybe 3/$35? Good solid player, but he's careering on a veteran team with a genius coach.
Hibbert -- 1/$5M maybe? Can't see a team giving many years or much money at this point. Maybe he does a little better?
Mozgov -- 3/$36M Some team is going to be willing to take a chance on this guy.


I agree on all but Hibbert. Bigs always gets paid. There is a reason so many have awful contracts. Someone will throw him $10 million a year for 1 or 2 years.

And remember, far more money this summer than there are players to spend it on.
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#13 » by gom » Thu Jan 28, 2016 10:45 pm

Whiteside - 4 year max: (he'll be 27 next season)
$20,956,974 $21,900,037 $22,885,539 $23,915,388 Total = $89,657,938

Jefferson - 2/25 (he'll be 32 next season)

Noah - 2/25 (he'll be 31 next season)

Ezeli -- 4/50 (he'll be 27 next season)

Zaza -- 3/36 (he'll be 32 next season) <-- I think this is a bargain deal, fwiw.

Hibbert -- 2/15 (he'll be 30 next season)

Mozgov -- 3/36 (he'll be 30 next season)

I think most players will want player options in their 2nd year, because of the salary cap jump.
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#14 » by sonictecture » Thu Jan 28, 2016 10:53 pm

Smitty731 wrote:
Texas Chuck wrote:Whiteside likely gets a 4 year max---I'd be leery of that, but I bet he does.
Jefferson likely takes a 1 year deal for around $10M from a team left with cap space when the better options are picked over
Noah likely takes a 1 year deal for around the same. He might have to give a team an option year to get 8 figures at this point.
Ezeli -- he's restricted so a team will have to go big if they want him. So I'd say he either gets offered like 4/$60M or he signs no offer sheet and returns to GSW on the QO if they can't work out something smaller--say 3/$36M with the final year being a PO
Zaza -- 2/$25M? Maybe 3/$35? Good solid player, but he's careering on a veteran team with a genius coach.
Hibbert -- 1/$5M maybe? Can't see a team giving many years or much money at this point. Maybe he does a little better?
Mozgov -- 3/$36M Some team is going to be willing to take a chance on this guy.


I agree on all but Hibbert. Bigs always gets paid. There is a reason so many have awful contracts. Someone will throw him $10 million a year for 1 or 2 years.

And remember, far more money this summer than there are players to spend it on.

Would you agree that Hibbert would only get 10M from a team that wants him to be a starter?

If so, what team would want Hibbert to start for them?
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#15 » by aramada » Thu Jan 28, 2016 11:23 pm

Everyone gets the max
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#16 » by patman52 » Fri Jan 29, 2016 12:30 am

I think Whiteside gets the Max and I hope Ezeli gets 4 and 55 from Ainge.
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#17 » by Texas Chuck » Fri Jan 29, 2016 12:44 am

patman52 wrote:I hope Ezeli gets 4 and 55 from Ainge.


patman52 wrote:14 mill a year for Lopez is too rich for the celts


Hey curious on what you like so much better about Ezeli?
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#18 » by sportscrazy » Fri Jan 29, 2016 1:13 am

When taking into account that every one gets overpaid every off-season and tons of teams have cap space plus the cap increase and the top of the market drying up fast then teams turning towards stubbornly outbidding themselves for middle tier talents, I think all of these guys get lots and lots of money and a lot more than any one here thinks they're worth. We will all be amazed by the contracts this summer I bet.
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#19 » by gom » Fri Jan 29, 2016 2:06 am

sportscrazy wrote:When taking into account that every one gets overpaid every off-season and tons of teams have cap space plus the cap increase and the top of the market drying up fast then teams turning towards stubbornly outbidding themselves for middle tier talents, I think all of these guys get lots and lots of money and a lot more than any one here thinks they're worth. We will all be amazed by the contracts this summer I bet.


Before I posted I adjusted my estimates for six of the players by 25%. The cap is changing by 27% though.
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Re: Predict the contracts of these unrestricted centers 

Post#20 » by Smitty731 » Fri Jan 29, 2016 2:19 am

sonictecture wrote:
Smitty731 wrote:
Texas Chuck wrote:Whiteside likely gets a 4 year max---I'd be leery of that, but I bet he does.
Jefferson likely takes a 1 year deal for around $10M from a team left with cap space when the better options are picked over
Noah likely takes a 1 year deal for around the same. He might have to give a team an option year to get 8 figures at this point.
Ezeli -- he's restricted so a team will have to go big if they want him. So I'd say he either gets offered like 4/$60M or he signs no offer sheet and returns to GSW on the QO if they can't work out something smaller--say 3/$36M with the final year being a PO
Zaza -- 2/$25M? Maybe 3/$35? Good solid player, but he's careering on a veteran team with a genius coach.
Hibbert -- 1/$5M maybe? Can't see a team giving many years or much money at this point. Maybe he does a little better?
Mozgov -- 3/$36M Some team is going to be willing to take a chance on this guy.


I agree on all but Hibbert. Bigs always gets paid. There is a reason so many have awful contracts. Someone will throw him $10 million a year for 1 or 2 years.

And remember, far more money this summer than there are players to spend it on.

Would you agree that Hibbert would only get 10M from a team that wants him to be a starter?

If so, what team would want Hibbert to start for them?


No because starting this summer, $10 million will be a fine salary for a backup big. Especially one who can handle starter's minutes if necessary.

Hibbert isn't a bad player. He just needs to be in a spot where he can focus on playing defense and protecting the rim. There will always be a market for a guy like that. And, again, bigs always get paid. Always.

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