ezzzp wrote:Of course thats what you meant

Now I'm confused. Is there a language barrier here? My statements are pretty straightforward.
If Chandler opts out and signs with another team for a 1+1 that costs him his Bird Rights...now that is stupid as it costs him millions. So I'm guessing Chandler does care.
Sure, like I said,
if he has an under-the-table guarantee from Cuban that he'll get a 5-year max next season, then it would be smart to opt-in. That's fine when you're a young superstar like Kawhi, but it's pretty risky if you're a tier below that. What if you get injured? What if Cuban changes his mind or plays hardball? Then you have to sign elsewhere and you lost the $7M for 2016-2017.
We've seen that some players are willing to give up some money long-term for the security of an already-enormous payday. It wasn't "stupid" for Anthony Davis to sign a 5-year extension last summer. He simply decided that was the best way to go. We can't ascribe perfect economic efficiency to people staring at a hundred million dollars.
Not only that but that 1+1 maneuver is only slightly less risky than just opting in with Dallas, big deal he ensures one more year...but loses millions (you know those bolded red numbers you thought were funny - go take a glance and see what the difference is).
I've looked at your bolded numbers. And I saw that you were comparing apples to oranges to grapes. If Parsons takes a 4 year max with another team now, what would he earn in 20-21 and 21-22, the last two years of your 6-year hypothetical scenario that might not even happen? What would the cap be at that point? What if he could make $80 million in those two years? Then he's made a little bit more than your scenario. Maybe he wouldn't since he's a sub-superstar and he'll be 31 by then. But barring injury, it's not like he'll be out on the street.
Again, compare apples to apples. Remember that the only
100% guaranteed deal is the 4/98 he could take this year by opting out. He could get that if he wanted it. It's right there. One hundred million dollars, with plenty of productive years left after that. Opting in or signing a 1+1 adds different kinds of risk.