AtheJ415 wrote:Mr Puddles wrote:bwgood77 wrote:
I understand you think there is a clear top 5, but I think there is a big drop off either after 1, 2 or 3. But definitely after 3. So from my perspective, 4-7 isn't THAT much difference, unless Bender slides. But if he does, there may be a reason, so it might not matter then either (from my perspective).
I'm not sure what McD's tiers will look like, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if there is a tier that is like 4-7 with not a whole lot of separation. And chances are, no PF in that group, unless you put Ellenson in there.
Agree, that's the way I look at it as well. I feel that after top 2 the next few picks are a dice shoot. Of the remaining players, Bender is probably at the top of the list due to potential as well as him being a PF - but I wouldn't go as far as calling him the consensus #3, at least not in the way that Simmons and Ingram are. Maybe things will change over the next few months, but as it stands right now the #3 pick really doesn't have that much more value than the #7 IMO.
Anyway, assuming the Suns go 2-22 over their next 22 games, the Lakers would have to go 7-13 over their remaining 20 for us to over take them, so I think it's safe to say it this point that baring a miracle we'll have the bottom #3 seed.
All drafts are crap shoots. You can get Jimmy Butler late, Kawhi Leonard late lottery, or Deandre Jordan in the 2nd round. You still want your team to have the opportunity to select the guy they want. Better picks matter in all situations.
Normally, yes. But it's been said that if OKC had the #1 pick the year they took Durant, they would have taken Oden, and the #2 pick the year they took Westbrook, they would have taken Beasley, so you never know.