Brapman wrote:Many people do get a lot better, but "most" is overestimating that. I also am repeating the argument that Simmons shooting with his non-dominant hand is a neurological weakness for him...crazy_me_87 wrote: I think people forget we are judging a 19yo Kid here... a Freshman...Kawhi Leonard shot 25% on 2 attemps from three in college... Draymond Green had no 3pt Shot until his 3rd college year..!Jason Kidd only became Jason Kidd once he turned 30.. Most people get ALOT better in shooting once they have a few years in the NBA.. hell even a guy like Rondo shoots over 30% from three now...
Right, whether or not you're sold on Simmons, all of us should make a serious effort to be realistic about his and other guys' potential flaws.
Some players dramatically improve their shooting but many fail to improve much at all. Citing either extreme as evidence for a guy failing or succeeding isn't convincing, and it makes for another dull post where you're plugging up your ears and humming to yourself. If a guy absolutely cannot do something right now (like Simmons' shooting, or some raw big man's skill game), you don't have any choice but to factor that in to your projection of him. That doesn't mean you can't imagine him hitting shot at some point, it means that you have to give at least a chance (maybe 40-50% for Simmons?) that he won't be making shots consistently enough to be a threat for 4-5 years in the NBA. That has to go in your projection if there's going to be some semblance of fairness.
(Also, crazy me, I don't get the argument about J Kidd--are you saying it's no problem as long Simmons develops an average shot when he's 30? Seems like the team drafting him won't be happy they have to wait a decade+ for average! Also, Kidd's peak clearly started when he was about 25, and he wasn't a markedly better shooter when he was 25 vs 35 years old (save two years when he was on the best Mavs' teams, he was a 33-37% shooter almost every year of his entire career).)
