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Alex Len and his future

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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#381 » by ImNotMcDiSwear » Fri Mar 25, 2016 3:04 pm

After significant reflection and soul-searching, I have finally come around to the consensus: we should have taken Noel over Len. I know, I know, it hurts me too. More than most.

Mental toughness. That's his issue. He has no f*** you in him.

I'd try to re-sign him for around $10 mil per. Could he do better? Maybe. Not sure. The only thing he's really great at is rebounding. I guess I'd be willing to go as high as $12, considering that guys like Towns are never going to have an easy time scoring on him. That's pretty valuable since our two squads will likely peak at the same time.

Really hoping he finishes the season strong. WHY CAN'T HE HIT THAT HOOK?? No touch around the rim. :(
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#382 » by kennydorglas » Fri Mar 25, 2016 5:11 pm

Yeah, he's just so awkward trying to work in the post. Pretty much like Howard.

I think our best guess is to hope his long2 can become some 3's in the future (36% with heavy volume for a big - 73% FT%).

We just need to accept what he is... a faceup big who can crash the boards... if he adds range, he'll be interesting.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#383 » by saintEscaton » Fri Mar 25, 2016 6:27 pm

We should eventually look for an upgrade at C, can't settle on Len as a starter. Poetl/Stone don't project to be much better as pros. so lets give him another year to see whether he can put it together, the bar has defintely been lowered
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#384 » by ImNotMcDiSwear » Fri Mar 25, 2016 7:02 pm

saintEscaton wrote:We should eventually look for an upgrade at C, can't settle on Len as a starter. Poetl/Stone don't project to be much better as pros. so lets give him another year to see whether he can put it together, the bar has defintely been lowered


I think Len is one of the best young C's in the league. The issue is that the position is dying. Noel is not a true C, but what he is - a hybrid big - is now the direction the league is going. I don't think there will be a better true C coming our way, but I think there's a good chance Len plays the part of Bogut in the future, and that the majority of center minutes will eventually go to someone more like a Bender, who can guard multiple positions and stretch the floor. So I agree with you in a sense, but only in a sense.

If Len were killer in the post, this would be otherwise. But then, if you acquire someone like Okafor, you'll have problems on defense. We've got so much young offensive talent that we should probably prioritize defense going forward, so I don't think Okafor's a particularly good fit for us (but then again, with all our shooting, maybe he'd be a good fit - hard to say). Maybe Chriss or Davis with their shotblocking, or Bender with his all-around talents, would be good fits.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#385 » by saintEscaton » Sat Mar 26, 2016 12:56 am

cosmofizzo wrote:
saintEscaton wrote:We should eventually look for an upgrade at C, can't settle on Len as a starter. Poetl/Stone don't project to be much better as pros. so lets give him another year to see whether he can put it together, the bar has defintely been lowered


I think Len is one of the best young C's in the league. The issue is that the position is dying. Noel is not a true C, but what he is - a hybrid big - is now the direction the league is going. I don't think there will be a better true C coming our way, but I think there's a good chance Len plays the part of Bogut in the future, and that the majority of center minutes will eventually go to someone more like a Bender, who can guard multiple positions and stretch the floor. So I agree with you in a sense, but only in a sense.

If Len were killer in the post, this would be otherwise. But then, if you acquire someone like Okafor, you'll have problems on defense. We've got so much young offensive talent that we should probably prioritize defense going forward, so I don't think Okafor's a particularly good fit for us (but then again, with all our shooting, maybe he'd be a good fit - hard to say). Maybe Chriss or Davis with their shotblocking, or Bender with his all-around talents, would be good fits.


I mean Len would probably be the 4th-5th center taken in a redraft of 2013. Not only behind Gobert/Noel but also Dieng/Adams/Olynk. I would place him alongside Cody Zeller, Nurkic and Lovuergnue although he maybe marginally better because he shows out on occasion
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#386 » by ImNotMcDiSwear » Sat Mar 26, 2016 1:12 am

I'd take Len over any of those other guys. Gobert isn't thaat far ahead.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#387 » by GMATCallahan » Sat Mar 26, 2016 2:27 am

cosmofizzo wrote:I think Len is one of the best young C's in the league. The issue is that the position is dying. Noel is not a true C, but what he is - a hybrid big - is now the direction the league is going. I don't think there will be a better true C coming our way, but I think there's a good chance Len plays the part of Bogut in the future, and that the majority of center minutes will eventually go to someone more like a Bender, who can guard multiple positions and stretch the floor. So I agree with you in a sense, but only in a sense.

If Len were killer in the post, this would be otherwise. But then, if you acquire someone like Okafor, you'll have problems on defense. We've got so much young offensive talent that we should probably prioritize defense going forward, so I don't think Okafor's a particularly good fit for us (but then again, with all our shooting, maybe he'd be a good fit - hard to say). Maybe Chriss or Davis with their shotblocking, or Bender with his all-around talents, would be good fits.


Although I understand where you are coming from with that statement, I do not believe that the Suns are in a position where they can worry about specialization right now. Phoenix's "young offensive talent" does not necessarily amount to anything: you can throw Eric Bledsoe, Brandon Knight, Devin Booker, Archie Goodwin, and T.J. Warren out there and there is, frankly, little reason to believe that that collection of "offensive talent" will necessarily translate into an above-average offense (in terms of points scored per possession), let alone an elite offense. Some or all of those players could enhance an offense in the right situation with the right offensive cornerstone, but that situation or cornerstone is not in place.

I am not suggesting that Phoenix should give up on Len at all, just that the Suns are not in a position where they can say, "Our offense is so great everywhere else that we should just focus on defense at center." Phoenix has a lot of work to do offensively ... a lot.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#388 » by Mulhollanddrive » Sat Mar 26, 2016 4:31 am

I'd still give him time.

Perhaps he's not going to shoot 15 times a game like Watson is doing for his development.

Maybe his end product is a 13 / 12 / 2 type player, and 4th option on offense like a Drummond or Jordan.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#389 » by nevetsov » Sat Mar 26, 2016 10:51 am

Lopez is only now having a solid season. How long has he been in the league? We were saying the exact same kinds of things about him after his 3rd season. Only he hadn't shown any of the flashes Len has, and he was an appalling rebounder and average shot blocker.

Give him time, Len is probably already a top 5 Suns centre of all time. We should be thankful we actually have big defensive bodies these days (albeit a decade or two too late).
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#390 » by ImNotMcDiSwear » Sat Mar 26, 2016 2:43 pm

nevetsov wrote:Lopez is only now having a solid season. How long has he been in the league? We were saying the exact same kinds of things about him after his 3rd season. Only he hadn't shown any of the flashes Len has, and he was an appalling rebounder and average shot blocker.

Give him time, Len is probably already a top 5 Suns centre of all time. We should be thankful we actually have big defensive bodies these days (albeit a decade or two too late).


Defensively and on the boards, Alex is very good. That would make him valuable even if he never overcomes his current offensive struggles.

Hopefully, all of this is just a big lesson for him:

- Take that hook shot instead of reflexively pivoting into the defender. They'll stay down and stuff you or you'll throw it off the backboard. Work on your counter only after you establish your primary move.
- Work on your off hand. You need to be able to use your primary move on both sides. It also messes up your drive game, because you can't go left, so there's no spinning back right, and if you drive right, you gotta spin back left, but since you have no left, you pivot right into your defender.
- Your shot mechanics are inconsistent. I can tell when you release it whether it's going in. When you fade back, you miss every time. So stop it.

There's a lot to work on. He's shown no shortage of work ethic, so it's strange that he's yet to develop these skills.

Curious to see what his extension looks like.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#391 » by JMac1 » Sat Mar 26, 2016 3:08 pm

I'll still take Len over Gobert the lane clogger, and Noel the offensive of gimp. The problem with Len (moreso the coaching) is, Len is a semi-stretch C/PF and trying to feed him in the post makes him looks pathetic. He needs to keep working on his elbow J (alas David West/Kurt Thomas) and setting in as a defensive stalworth and rebounder. Sure, when he has a huge advantage and can be effective in the post just dunking or shooting over someone, feed him, but don't come down throwing him the ball in the post alas Shaq circa 2000. Like it was mentioned, the guys shoots 73% from the line. If Len does that, we have just eliminated one position of need.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#392 » by jcsunsfan » Sat Mar 26, 2016 4:18 pm

saintEscaton wrote:We should eventually look for an upgrade at C, can't settle on Len as a starter. Poetl/Stone don't project to be much better as pros. so lets give him another year to see whether he can put it together, the bar has defintely been lowered


Stone is not impressive at all.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#393 » by GMATCallahan » Sun Mar 27, 2016 3:13 am

nevetsov wrote:Lopez is only now having a solid season. How long has he been in the league? We were saying the exact same kinds of things about him after his 3rd season. Only he hadn't shown any of the flashes Len has, and he was an appalling rebounder and average shot blocker.

Give him time, Len is probably already a top 5 Suns centre of all time. We should be thankful we actually have big defensive bodies these days (albeit a decade or two too late).


I would not go that far ... maybe top five from the last fifteen seasons.

I do not know that he would have greatly helped the Suns from ten or twenty years ago, either—Len is too raw and inconsistent and still learning how to play. You could not have had a guy with his youth and inexperience out there with Charles Barkley and Kevin Johnson, hesitating on wide-open jumpers that he could otherwise hit and awkwardly forcing shots in traffic at other times. That kind of player would have generally been sitting on the end of the bench on those teams. (Of course, Barkley and Johnson would have made the game easier for Len, too.) Mike D'Antoni would have frowned upon that kind of thing, also, and he would not have played Len with Amar'e Stoudemire too often.

But I concur that the potential for Len to be something greater is there, if he puts his reasonable array of skills and attributes into a more consistent, efficient, cohesive package. I would be curious to see where he is at age twenty-five or twenty-six.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#394 » by ImNotMcDiSwear » Sun Mar 27, 2016 3:18 am

Over the last couple games, Alex has been much more aggressive going for blocks. Good to see the return of that part of his game. He had been focusing on the boards; now, he's starting to find some balance.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#395 » by garrick » Sun Mar 27, 2016 4:11 am

cosmofizzo wrote:After significant reflection and soul-searching, I have finally come around to the consensus: we should have taken Noel over Len. I know, I know, it hurts me too. More than most.

Mental toughness. That's his issue. He has no f*** you in him.

I'd try to re-sign him for around $10 mil per. Could he do better? Maybe. Not sure. The only thing he's really great at is rebounding. I guess I'd be willing to go as high as $12, considering that guys like Towns are never going to have an easy time scoring on him. That's pretty valuable since our two squads will likely peak at the same time.

Really hoping he finishes the season strong. WHY CAN'T HE HIT THAT HOOK?? No touch around the rim. :(

I think Noel does have serious concerns about his longevity and his weak knees.

Len I think he needs a bit of leg work as he gets pushed around a lot but once he does I think his finishes around the rim will improve.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#396 » by GMATCallahan » Sun Mar 27, 2016 8:33 am

GMATCallahan wrote:
nevetsov wrote:Lopez is only now having a solid season. How long has he been in the league? We were saying the exact same kinds of things about him after his 3rd season. Only he hadn't shown any of the flashes Len has, and he was an appalling rebounder and average shot blocker.

Give him time, Len is probably already a top 5 Suns centre of all time. We should be thankful we actually have big defensive bodies these days (albeit a decade or two too late).


I would not go that far ... maybe top five from the last fifteen seasons.

I do not know that he would have greatly helped the Suns from ten or twenty years ago, either—Len is too raw and inconsistent and still learning how to play. You could not have had a guy with his youth and inexperience out there with Charles Barkley and Kevin Johnson, hesitating on wide-open jumpers that he could otherwise hit and awkwardly forcing shots in traffic at other times. That kind of player would have generally been sitting on the end of the bench on those teams. (Of course, Barkley and Johnson would have made the game easier for Len, too.) Mike D'Antoni would have frowned upon that kind of thing, also, and he would not have played Len with Amar'e Stoudemire too often.

But I concur that the potential for Len to be something greater is there, if he puts his reasonable array of skills and attributes into a more consistent, efficient, cohesive package. I would be curious to see where he is at age twenty-five or twenty-six.


Just to relay a somewhat ironic anecdote pertaining to that analysis, in the fourth quarter of Game Seven of the 1995 Western Conference Semifinals versus the Rockets, with about ten and a half minutes remaining and the Suns trailing at home by two points, 84-82, Kevin Johnson drove the right baseline, dragging Hakeem Olajuwon down to the baseline and near the basket, and thus set up Phoenix's starting center, Joe Kleine, for an open jumper from the right wing, about nineteen feet out. Kleine was a thirty-three-year old veteran in his tenth season who was largely out there because of his ability to shoot jumpers from outside. He knew his role, and he had executed it very effectively during the playoffs, shooting .574 from the field, including 2-2 thus far in Game Seven. (Notably, Kleine never attempted a single free throw during the 1995 playoffs, indicating the nature of his game.)

When Kleine caught the ball and was in his shooter's crouch, Olajuwon was still about nine feet away, in the paint and near the baseline. Although Olajuwon could close swaths of territory very quickly, Kleine certainly enjoyed a clean look. Mario Elie was rotating over to him from the top, but Elie was about seven inches shorter than Kleine and could not really bother his shot.

Kleine, however, hesitated on this occasion and then looked to pass out to Wesley Person beyond the top of the arc (although he did not do so). When Kleine hesitated and held the ball rather than shooting it, the referees called Charles Barkley for a three-second violation in the lane, resulting in a turnover.

Bill Walton on the NBC telecast:

The play was made by K.J., and then Kleine held up. You see Scottie Pippen and the Bulls do that so much playin' with Jordan. Only make one play and then finish.


Barkley and K.J. were both upset with Kleine.

Kleine's mistake represented an exception, but it reflects the trouble that Len might have suffered playing with that team or with clubs such as the Warriors and Spurs now. High-level offenses need to flow crisply and decisively, and the current Suns are very far away from reaching that point.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#397 » by Qwigglez » Tue Mar 29, 2016 12:01 pm

So for the month of March Alex has been putting up 13.5/10.9/1.9/0.7. Unfortunately he also shot under 38% from the field. Ouch. He did put up 8 double doubles in 15 games which is a huge plus, showing he can be fairly consistent.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#398 » by ImNotMcDiSwear » Tue Mar 29, 2016 1:24 pm

Notes from Wolves game:

Pretty sure Coach told Alex to play fast and aggressive. Didn't work at all. When he came back late in the third, he slowed down. When he plays slower, he looks like a taller, longer Bogut. Which is great. Also saw he got a big ovation from the bench in the second quarter when he went for the simple right-handed hook shot. He needs to do more of that and take jumpers only when he feels good about them - can't force it. He's not Reggie Miller.

If he can control the glass, defend the paint, finish, go through his man on the post only when he has a mismatch, go to the right handed hook when guarded by a center, and shoot jumpers only when he's feeling it (you know, after getting in rhythm with a couple dunks), we'll have a tremendous center on our hands. If he tries to be Tim Duncan - well, that's probably not happening. We need an offense that generates easy buckets for Alex, because that's how we'll maximize his potential on both ends.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#399 » by lilfishi22 » Mon Apr 4, 2016 12:17 am

bwgood77 wrote:How is Len 0-8? Wasn't he 1-8 last game? That's absurdly ridiculous for a 7 footer.

Thought I'd quote you in a more relevant thread but I totally agree.

I've always set expectations fairly low for Len because I wasn't as excited about the pick as many on this board and didn't want to think of him as a bust when he's not producing #5 pick numbers. He's still very young and can still turn the corner but man it's hard to stay excited about him when he still haven't figured out how to get easy buckets. You're not always gonna get easy buckets, I get that, but he still hasn't even seem to have found a go-to spot. Maybe it's playing with Chandler that's pushed him further from the basket and so forcing him to take more jumpers but it's still frustrating to watch him put up clunkers after clunkers.
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Re: Alex Len and his future 

Post#400 » by saintEscaton » Mon Apr 4, 2016 12:24 am

Thomas Bryant sounds really intriguing right now...
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