gom wrote:realEAST wrote:gom wrote:
Hi. If you mean Tyler Johnson, you should take into consideration that Miami has early bird rights and he is protected by the Gilbert Arenas provision, meaning Miami can sign him over the cap and can offer more to him than any other team (larger raises). I think Miami may entertain trades since we have so many good players in our backcourt, but TJ is a fan favorites, so we would have to see some value.
Also, WCS has much more value than Otto Porter.
Didn't know he is under Arenas - early bird doesn't mean much since he'll probably get over 6 mil.
I don't know why people ascribe so many value to WCS - I mean far from being a bad player, on contrary, nut he is defensive C, and not much more than that, until and if (and that's a big, big if for me). Meanwhile Porter is good two way wing, and there aren't many such in a league today - his numbers aren't too high because he is basically fifth option on offense, but has midrange game and consistent 3pt (40% after All Star break), while being way above average defender. Despite his low usage rate, he is between 50. and 75. (oscillating) in win shares. Also, younger than WCS, and already league proven.
4/27.6M if he signs directly with the Heat. If another team offers more (after the first two years the Arenas provision does not limit salaries), the Heat can match. What's essential, though, is that it is *after* cap space is used, which is really important to us.
You can learn more here.
http://heathoops.com/2015/02/tyler-johnson-is-very-much-a-part-of-miami-heats-future/It's clear that you haven't seen WCS play enough. A lot of people discount his effect. FiveThirtyEight.Com just published a video of how poorly he executes PnR. I think everyone expects much more from him in the future. He's not a great player now, but he has a relatively high ceiling and that's what Sacramento is counting on.
I was also going to mention that Marvin Williams is going to be *really* expensive, but I'm sure you know that.
Honestly, I've been trying to figure out what Sacramento can do for a while to solve their on-court issues. If you watch many Kings games, you see that one of their core problems is defense, especially perimeter defense. Luol Deng, who the Heat cannot afford to sign, would work wonders on the Kings. I would choose him over Marvin Williams.
Some of the trades I see suggested here (SAC/PHX: Cousins for Booker/Knight/PHX 2016/MIA 2017 for example) do not seem realistic. We all have a tendency to overvalue players when they play for our team. Booker is as untouchable on Phoenix as Cousins is on Sacramento (& that's saying something)
to the fans.
What GMs consider untouchable is another matter. In the end I think Sacramento will probably trade Cousins because they'll feel they need a restart. It's a mistake I think. Rather than facing the hard challenges of working with the guy they'll want to press the reset button.
If they do this, they better get a MUCH better deal than they concocted last year.
Actually, I watched King quite a bit earlier in the season, and just am not impressed with WCS, and those games I watched, he and Cousins didn't look well together. He didn't impress me on def end either, as much as he was lauded, he still needs work there, let alone his offensive game.
Perimeter D is obvious problem for Kings, I agree, but there were, and would say still are better solutions than Cauley Stein, considering what they can offer on other end already.
Deng would be interesting, but I am afraid he might decline abruptly next season; with Williams bigger issue would be his willingness to go to Kings I am afraid.
Cousins and Willie could do together if Sacramento switches to more conservative style of play, like Utah, but then they have Gay as bad fit for that kind of game, Collison who I don't think have quality to start, at least with current level of perimeter players, and hole at SG. You can adress something through draft (PG or SG), but I wouldn't count of FA too much (maybe to overpay significantly for C. Lee).
Considering trading Cousins, I was against it until recently, but just judging from previous experiences, rather sell him high now, than later (deadline, next offseason) for lot less. And since they are so high on WCS, start him at C, and with all the assets coming, you should be able to put together very talented and balanced lineup.
But again, I'd try hard this offseason to put together decent team around Cousins, even if it includes moving WCS (even better if he has crazy value, as it is suggested).
