Dr Spaceman wrote:Quotatious wrote:Insane +/- not being accompanied by superstar caliber boxscore production, just doesn't mean all that much to me. You gotta have both. Malone was a heavy usage player who also looked pretty well based on +/-. That's a lot more impressive compared to what Green is doing, to me.
Are you seriously suggesting that statistical production is more important than helping your team win? That is so foreign I can't even wrap my mind around it.
Like is defense not a thing? Did Bill Russell not win 11 titles? I don't even know what to say to this.
Let me explain.
First of all, Green is nowhere near Russell as a defender. Russell was most likely the most impactful defender who ever played this game, and by quite a sizeable margin (in my opinion, that wouldn't be the case if he played post-1980, because of rule changes, superior coaching, scouting, not being as much of a standout athlete anymore, but in terms of era-relative impact, Russell is pretty easily ahead of any other defender). Plus, the Celtics were built around Russell's greatest strengths - insane defense, rebounding and great ability to initiate the fast-break with outlet passes. Jazz were built around Malone's scoring and ability to finish in pick & roll. Warriors are certainly NOT built around Green's defense OR his offense. They are built around Curry's offense, his scoring and playmaking, the gravity that he has on offense, which opens up his teammates. That's the difference.
Second, I can't fathom using +/- numbers not in conjunction with boxscore production. Just taking a quick glance at RAPM numbers - you have guys like Shawn Bradley, Ryan Bowen, Eduardo Najera, Jason Collins, Doug Christie (just a few examples) ranked in the top 10 in the league. It really doesn't mean all that much if you have huge impact in limited minutes or when you are 5th, 6th, 7th or even lower, in team hierarchy as far as offensive responsibilities.
Being able to have success as #1 offensive option on a team is almost always the most important thing for basketball players, when I evaluate them (there are a few exceptions, like truly transcendent, outlier defensive players, who weren't anything special offensively, such as Bill Russell, Dikembe Mutombo, Ben Wallace - Green is CLEARLY not on that level as a defender, or even particularly close to them - in spite of being one of the very best teams of all-time, and #1 all-time leader in wins, Golden State was only tied for the 5th best defense in the league, pretty far below the league-leader Spurs, and even -2.4 DRtg below #2 Hawks, despite the fact that Green played with two other elite defenders, Bogut and Iguodala).
Color me unimpressed about Green's performance in the playoffs with Curry being hurt. His points per game average is down, despite playing more minutes, his efficiency is down from 58.7% TS in the regular season to just 48.6% against Houston in the playoffs, against a team that had a bottom 10 defense in the league in RS, his assists are also down, AST/TOV ratio is also a bit worse.
I know that Malone wasn't exactly a stellar postseason performer, but even the fact that he was asked to carry his team, was expected by his coach and teammates to score 25-30 points every game, has to count for something. You think that with the level of scouting and coaching that we have today, GSW wouldn't know that Green has the ability to take 20 shots per game and carry them? They sure would, but the truth is that he simply doesn't have that ability. Hell, even in the playoffs, Karl had at least one postseason run when his offense was on another level from Green's - 1992.
Green is definitely a better defender than Malone, but it's not like Karl wasn't a good defender. He was very good. At any rate, individual offense beats individual defense, and Draymond isn't really an anchor of team defense, he's more like a jack-of-all-trades, super versatile defender, but not somebody you can surround with four average defenders and still have a top team defense, something that for instance Dwight Howard in Orlando was capable of doing.
Quite honestly, Malone vs Curry is a more apt comparison, because of their role. Curry is certainly better, but Malone, like Curry, was the guy who carried his team. +/- numbers should only be looked upon as a good argument if guys have a similar role on their team. So, just because Green has superior numbers in a much smaller role, doesn't make him a superior player. If it did, then why wouldn't you stretch that logic even further, and argue that, for example, Bryon Russell was better than Malone in 2000, just because he had better plus/minus in about the same minutes played? That's the fallacy of using +/- as "be all, end all". Similar thing can be said about this year's Warriors - Green is pretty much equal to Curry in terms of +/- numbers, but when you look at boxscore production, there's a CHASM in favor of Curry.