D'Angelo Russell statline prediction and overall impact?

[Marionettetc]

I've been keeping notes and studying dloading's statistical trends all year, and I can say with confidence he will average the following :

40.0 MPG
37.1 PPG
5.2 REB
4.6 AST
.482 FG%
.857 FT%
.182 3P%

[TylersLakers]

If we land a star:

15.8 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 4.8 APG, 1.5 SPG, 44% FG, 38% 3PT

If we do not land a star:

17.5 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 5.5 APG, 1.5 SPG, 41% FG, 36% 3PT

[madmaxmedia]

17-5-5 looks realistic but we need to see how the offseason turns out first.

This is what I'm guessing as well. Maybe could average 20-5-7 on middling efficiency (with lots of turnovers) if they hand him the keys to the offense.

I'm going to go full homer and predict that Russell will average 25-7-7 on good efficiency in his prime.

I feel his floor will turn out to be reasonably high over his career, but his athleticism will limit his ceiling. I don't think he'll ever do 25-7-7 on a winning team, but maybe 17-7-7 or 23-6-6 depending on his role. 25-7-7 with good efficiency would really be Baby LeBron numbers. Actually better than Baby Lebron, more like Little Bro Bron.

Russell Westbrook doesn't get those numbers when Durant is healthy, and he is an absolute beast athletically.

[BJGOAT3]

I predict 17-4-4 next year, 20+-5-5 type of player in the long run. I think he will switch to SG in the near future, he is great passing but I don't see necessary ball handling skills or physical tools in him to become an elite PG. He can become an elite SG though, he has good scoring potential, and he will be very effective as a wing playmaker with his passing skills.

[jeroka]

I think Russell can be a good 14 4 3 role player with a really good team... he can be like an impactful player off the bench even. but more than his game, I think he needs to improve his attitude, his coach-ability and how he carries himself around his teammates. there is so much room for improvement on those areas. I am sure, as he sheds off his immaturity, he'll be a better teammate.

[RingsDontLie]

17-5-5 looks realistic but we need to see how the offseason turns out first.

This is what I'm guessing as well. Maybe could average 20-5-7 on middling efficiency (with lots of turnovers) if they hand him the keys to the offense.

I'm going to go full homer and predict that Russell will average 25-7-7 on good efficiency in his prime.

I feel his floor will turn out to be reasonably high over his career, but his athleticism will limit his ceiling. I don't think he'll ever do 25-7-7 on a winning team, but maybe 17-7-7 or 23-6-6 depending on his role. 25-7-7 with good efficiency would really be Baby LeBron numbers. Actually better than Baby Lebron, more like Little Bro Bron.

Russell Westbrook doesn't get those numbers when Durant is healthy, and he is an absolute beast athletically.

Athleticism is highly overrated these days, and it's because we don't see many Steve Nashes around. I think Curry is a very quick guard, but I don't think he is that athletic, and I'm finding his durability disappointing. I didn't think Magic was extremely athletic either and he's the GOAT.

Guess all I'm trying to say is athleticism doesn't really limit ceiling...skill level and the lack of feel for the game limits your ceiling. You could be slow and barely jump, and be the best guy on the floor. D'angelo wasn't the #2 pick because everyone after him was not as athletic as him. Athleticism isn't a good indicator of ceiling or where a player will end up is all I'm saying.

[milesfides]

Depends on the coach, depends on his teammates.

With Jordan Clarkson and Lou Williams in heavy rotation, his shot attempts won't be there. But Clarkson and Lou also like to score by handling the ball themselves, so that doesn't really give Russell a primary playmaking role either. His scoring and passing will be stunted.

However, if he gets placed in a high usage playmaking role, I can conservatively see something like 18, 8, and 5, along the lines of Jeff Teague's production per 36.

If he gets placed in a shooting guard role, next to a playmaker like a Kemba Walker/Jeremy Lin dynamic, I see Russell averaging 20, 5, and 5. Solid percentages in both contexts.

Kind of like Brandon Roy, who averaged almost the exact same numbers his rookie season, about 17, 4, and 4 per 36. But Russell did it under Byron Scott, during a tumultuous season.

With a bigger role, a better coach, more stability, and a summer of working out, I think those are modest projections.

Russell is a good player. We'll have to see what he's really capable of under a good coach in a good system, what the right role and position will be, but I think he can go either way. Defensively, I don't think he can really hang with the top point guards in this league, so I'm leaning more towards shooting guard, where he can be solid, play the passing lanes, and still use his passing from that position as a competitive advantage, like Manu, Roy, Wade, and McGrady. He's got range, a solid drive and finishing ability, and midrange...he can be a really dynamic two-guard.

[Spens1]

17/5/6 - Without a star
15/4/7 - With a star

Provided we get it right with the coach he will have a good sophomore season, i mean he has shown signs that he gets it already

[scoobs07]

With a star: 16ppg, 5rpg, 6apg, 1.5spg, 43%fg, 78%ft, 42% threes

without a star: 20ppg, 5rpg, 6apg, 1.5spg, 43%fg, 78%ft, 40% threes

[Asianiac_24]

15/4/6 on slightly below league average efficiency would be my guess. I still see him as a Mike Conley player in his prime, he doesn't finish nearly well enough to be that dynamic two guard alas Wade/Harden/Manu.

[madmaxmedia]

This is what I'm guessing as well. Maybe could average 20-5-7 on middling efficiency (with lots of turnovers) if they hand him the keys to the offense.

I'm going to go full homer and predict that Russell will average 25-7-7 on good efficiency in his prime.

I feel his floor will turn out to be reasonably high over his career, but his athleticism will limit his ceiling. I don't think he'll ever do 25-7-7 on a winning team, but maybe 17-7-7 or 23-6-6 depending on his role. 25-7-7 with good efficiency would really be Baby LeBron numbers. Actually better than Baby Lebron, more like Little Bro Bron.

Russell Westbrook doesn't get those numbers when Durant is healthy, and he is an absolute beast athletically.

Athleticism is highly overrated these days, and it's because we don't see many Steve Nashes around. I think Curry is a very quick guard, but I don't think he is that athletic, and I'm finding his durability disappointing. I didn't think Magic was extremely athletic either and he's the GOAT.

Guess all I'm trying to say is athleticism doesn't really limit ceiling...skill level and the lack of feel for the game limits your ceiling. You could be slow and barely jump, and be the best guy on the floor. D'angelo wasn't the #2 pick because everyone after him was not as athletic as him. Athleticism isn't a good indicator of ceiling or where a player will end up is all I'm saying.

You're absolutely right- I don't think Russell is a bad athlete at all, and its going to be his skill and feel for the game that determine how far he rises. I just don't think he'll be able to ever average 25-7-7 numbers on a winning team. To really dominate the NBA and get those type of numbers, you really have to rise above the competition in multiple ways, including probably athleticism.

[TheHartBreakKid]

I'm a little bit more optimistic on his statline than most......with a new coach.


We land a star or two but Russell is atleast still a third option :

17/4/4 on 45% FG


We don't land a star, and basically run with our youth and a pick;


20/4/4 on 42% but 2-3 turnovers and poor defense