Ericb5 wrote:MGB8 wrote:The notion that you project development against HOFers is exactly what is wrong. It's all emotion.
Did Evan Turner ever learn to shoot?  How about MCW, who has a great handle and good passing ability?  Or even Iguodala, who got better - but never great. 
What about Tony Allen?  Rajon Rondo?  And we know for sure that those guys work very hard on their games.
Giannis also works hard - not much of a shooter - at least not yet.  How's Marcus Smart looking in the shooting department? 
 For every HOFer there are 100 guys with tons of natural talent that didn't develop.  
You can't just assume, because of the hype, that Ben Simmons is a HOF type talent.  He's very quick for a 6'10 guy, and he was very strong for a freshman, he has a good handle and very good passing ability, and some explosion to the rim and ability around it (though unclear how he'll do against length).  But you don't gamble and scramble on a Ben Simmons type talent.  He's not Lebron.  Not close.
We aren't basing it off of hype, we are basing it off of watching him play.
I think that shooting is his only weakness, and we aren't really debating his ability to make the HOF, although there has never been an MVP winner in history that didn't make the HOF, so that is the implication. 
I'm saying that he can be an MVP candidate without having shooting as a strength. He will have to be competent at it, but he doesn't have to be great at it. Derrick Rose won an MVP without much of a shot.
Even if we lower the bar one more rung from MVP candidate just down to the Carmelo Anthony level then that is still a superstar.
The point that I'm really making is that he can be a superstar without being a good shooter. He is a unique talent. 
Shooting is a skill. Vision, and feel are talents that you are born with.
 
First, while you can improve shooting to a degree, in large part it's innate.  That's why Steph and Seth, children of Dell, can shoot lights out, while others like Turner, MCW, Iggy, etc., can only ever get themselves to mediocre. 
I compare Simmons to Giannis - with Simmons coming in physically stronger, but Giannis having and edge in length and a big advantage defensive intensity and ability to guard 1-5.  That's a talented guy (though LSU's failure of a season is a HUGE red flag for me).   And Giannis can certainly become a superstar - he isn't too far from it right now.  
But I don't re-set a roster around a Giannis.  I'd re-set around a Lebron, or a KAT or Davis... but those guys you don't have to re-set around because they don't have glaring weaknesses for their position. Keep in mind that when you are trading guys to re-set your roster, you rarely get value on your trades. 
Ingram, to me, does merit the "poor man's Durant" comparison - or a comparison to a longer, SF version of Klay Thompson.  He's going to get thicker and stronger as he gets older, and he's always going to be able to just shoot over people.  And if you watched him play, he certainly had vision and feel for the game - making strong passes, having an idea of when to drive vs. dish, etc.  
When you already have a blue chip interior scorer like Okafor - and maybe Embiid (who would likely mean that Okafor eventually needs to go) - you don't jettison them for a Giannis-type guy.  You grab an equally, if differently, talented guy like Ingram, who is going to make Okafor or Embiid that much more dangerous because he'll force teams to defend out to the three point line.