Cactus Jack wrote:Kerrsed wrote:lilfishi22 wrote:I've been trying to wrap my head around why I'm against Bender at #4 and I think you've summed it up perfectly. I don't see star potential, he's not being projected as a star player and he's also a very high risk pick.
I just can't balance the risk and reward for taking Bender this high.
I mean when the guy on our board that has probably seen Bender the most (MrTwister) and watched the Euroleague the most, calls him a serviceable role player and high risk, that really says something. That scares me. I was actually starting to warm up to the idea of Bender (And REALLY thinking of the idea of a Bender/Noel pairing), but there are just way too many questions.
Truthfully, I would be ok with any of the other possibilities. Dunn, Murray, Brown, Hield. Chriss would be a reach imo at 4. But, I would be ok with any one of those. I atleast know what I am getting. Bender = Not so much.
bwgood is getting on me about my obsession with Dunn, and I'm not about to re-post all of his stats, etc. But why Dunn?? I just don't get why ANYONE would want to draft consistent mediocrity with the 4th overall; yeah, you know what you are going to get, but you can say that about a lot of prospects. How about Brice Johnson? He fills a position of need, is 3 mos. younger, has a higher career FT% (71% vs 69%), higher career TS% (.58 vs .52), career eFG% (.56 vs .47), Rebounds, PFs, so on and so forth.
If you want a PG, and I can't believe I'm saying this, but it's to make a point, why not take Wade Baldwin? Better length, athleticism (likely, but since Dunn refused to work out, we can't be sure, but Baldwin test outstandingly--14th No Step Vert, 12th Max Vert, 3rd Lane Agility, 7th 3/4 Split), better FT and 3PT shooter...by like...a lot. Better A/TO, PPR, Pts/Pos, fewer TOs. Identical Asst/Pos and TO/Pos. His EFF/40, PER, and WS/40 are slightly lower, but comparable. I'd rather take Baldwin than Dunn or Hield, at 4th overall, even if he better suited as a late-lotto guy, but that's where I'd place Dunn and Hield--late-lotto, and in last year's draft, I'd be surprised if either would've even been considered lotto picks...certainly not early ones. Murray scares me some, but I guess no more than Bender or Brown, but Bender and Brown fit our needs more.
So I get what you are saying--Chriss at 4th overall is ridiculously high, and do not see a scenario where he would be BPA at 4, but 'gun to my head'?? I'd take Chriss over Dunn or Hield, and likely Murray, but not Brown, even though I think Chriss compares favorably to Brown, and posted as much, but I guess I would trust Brown to 'not bust' more than I would Chriss.