Kobblehead wrote:
You keeps saying "if Simmons misses" and it's incredible non-descript. If what aspect of Simmons misses? Because he does several things on the basketball court and has his eggs distributed in multiple baskets.
If his shot never develops, he still has his transition offense, rebounding, steal generating, facilitation, slashing, and finishing at the rim.
To me it is pretty much the shooting. I think he might become a decent enough shooter, but I'm not convinced. Like I've posted before, if he is a primary ball handler on offense then he at least needs to be a threat to shoot from certain spots (maybe a true explosive freak like Lebron or Westbook can get away with this, but I don't see Simmons in that class athletically.) While if he is your PF on defense, then he will be a plus on P&R defense, solid on the boards (for a PF) and a negative in terms of rim protection and ability to switch onto centers.
In all scenarios, Simmons will be a tremendous fast break threat by taking rebounds coast to coast (sort of like a young Barkley in that regard.) His court vision will always be a great asset. But I don't see him as a great complementary player unless he can have a respectable jumper or a great post game. And if he has that jumper... then he will be a heck of a lot better than just a complementary piece.
The only scenario where I see Simmons as being just a great role player is if somehow he become a 6'10" Rondo where he actually is your PG (like a taller Penny/Livingston.) That is an interesting scenario, but sort of hard to imagine.
So I see the jumper as his swing skill. I don't think he is freakish enough like Lebron or Westbrook to where he dominates regardless. And if that shot is a 50:50 proposition, then he should be the pick. But if he is just a guy who was born without touch (MCW/Rondo/MKG) then I'd go with Ingram.