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Trade Idea Thread 15-16

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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1441 » by SacKingZZZ » Thu Jul 7, 2016 9:45 pm

codydaze wrote:Yeah, not sure how you could honestly argue Lee/Hill over Leonard/Green defensively, or at all for that matter. They were apart of one of the historically best defensive teams in league history.



Yes, but last year Green fell back a bit. As I pointed out when the argument tilted towards stats, both Lee and Hill consistently gave up better percentages when defending the shot than Green last year.

The argument was never about which duo is better, it was that Lee and Hill, purely on the defensive end of the floor is in my opinion potentially the toughest on ball defensive combo at SG/SF. That's not to say any team in the league could trot that tandem out and be a better team for it. Clearly they both have shortcomings in regards to talent.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1442 » by SacKingZZZ » Thu Jul 7, 2016 9:46 pm

City of Trees wrote:I take Lenoard/Green over Hill/Lee every day of the week.

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And see that's the issue with the former poster, that was never the argument in the first place. :lol:
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1443 » by c3j3h » Thu Jul 7, 2016 9:50 pm

SacKingZZZ wrote:
c3j3h wrote:
SacKingZZZ wrote:
I'm saying it could surely factor in, in particular in the potential of losing him for nothing, but the plan remains the same as it has been, start winning and show Cousins this can work. That's the only true way.



Wait are you the guy that told me that Courtney Lee and Solomon Hill would make a better defensive combo than Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green? This is starting to make a lot more sense.

Gonna go ahead and bow out of this now...


Wait a minute, this is bowing out twice then because you did it the last time I showed you the stats that proved both Hill and Lee had a higher DFG% than Green.


OK, this comment and your other one are dumb enough that you brought me back just to shut you up.

The bolded part of your post almost makes me feel bad about the complete dismantling of your argument that is about to follow this sentence, as it makes me think that you don't even understand what it is we're talking about here. Having a higher DFG% is a BAD thing. That means that their opponents make more shots against Hill and Lee than they do against Danny Green, which just proves my point. Here, let me explain a bit further.

First of all, to address your other post directed at me, I've never posted on RealGM before. I created this account right around draft day (I think) and have no other accounts. I post about the Kings on SacTown Royalty and on Reddit, with a similar username, and have been doing so for years. I have no idea what the hell you're talking about, but given the Courtney Lee/Solomon Hill thing I don't think you do either.

About that. I didn't respond to you last time because I thought you were trolling me. It's such a stupid argument that I didn't think you could possibly serious. In fact, I remember mentioning it to a friend of mine and he didn't believe that I had actually found a real person who believed that.

So here ya go. I'm assuming that you're not dumb enough to argue that Solomon Hill is somehow a better defender than Kawhi Leonard, right? Here's some comparisons just in case you don't think winning the Defensive Player of the Year award 2 years in a row is enough proof:


http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=1&p1=leonaka01&p2=hillso01&p3=&p4=&p5=&p6=


http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=0&p1=leonaka01&y1=2016&p2=hillso01&y2=2016&p3=&p4=&p5=&p6=

I went ahead and included a comparison of their careers head to head, as well as last season alone head to head. If you take a look, you will notice that Kawhi beats Solomon Hill in literally every single defensive metric measurable. In fact, Kawhi is better at almost every single measurable statistic period. I'll assume you don't need me to break that down any further.


Now, since we're discussing defensive duos here, I'm assuming that the crux of your argument essentially boils down to Coutney Lee being a better defender than Danny Green, correct? Seeing how Kawhi and Hill are SFs and Green and Lee and SGs, that seems like a logical assessment to make. But then again, I wouldn't describe any of the arguments you have made as logical so...who knows? I'll run with it anyway.

Here is Danny Green's career vs Courtney Lee's career.




Before I get started on explaining to you how wrong you are, let's first note a couple of minor differences between the 2 players.

First of all, Danny Green is 2 years younger than Courtney Lee, and has played 1 fewer season.

Second of all, Danny Green barely played at all as a youngster. He appeared in a grand total of 28 games over his 1st 2 seasons in the NBA, and didn't make a single start. Courtney Lee, on the other hand, has appeared in at least 71 games in every season of his career except for one, when he was injured and played only 58 games. Lee started more games his rookie season than Green played...total...in his 1st 2 seasons.

Lee has played 600 career regular season games, compared to 402 for Danny Green.


http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=1&p1=greenda02&p2=leeco01&p3=&p4=&p5=&p6=


All this adds up to a whopping, landslide victory for Danny Green in the defensive department. Despite the fact that Green has played in 198 fewer career games than Courtney Lee, Danny Green has MORE DEFENSIVE WIN SHARES!! That alone should be enough, but there's more. Green has a higher career Defensive Box Plus-Minus, a higher Steal %, higher Block %, more steals per game and more blocks per game. Danny Green also has a lower career Defensive Rating than Courtney Lee by a full 6 points over their careers.

Danny Green is literally better by every single measurable stat defensively, whether you look at the Advanced Stats, the Per-Game stats, or the Per 36 minute stats. It doesn't matter. They all point to Danny Green.


Then we can look at just this past season, where the stats are even more lopsided in Green's favor:


http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=0&p1=greenda02&y1=2016&p2=leeco01&y2=2016&p3=&p4=&p5=&p6=


Again, landslide victory for Danny Green in literally every single measurable defensive stat, no matter how you break the stats down. Danny Green posted a full 10 points higher in Defensive Rating. Courtney Lee had a negative Defensive Box Plus-Minus. Green had 2.4 more Defensive Win Shares... I'm getting bored going over all of this.


I have no idea what kind of bull cherry picked stats you came up with to make some silly point about Courtney Lee, but it really doesn't matter. I vaguely remember you posting some article about Lee being a good defender? Well let's see what Zach Lowe thinks:


http://grantland.com/the-triangle/danny-green-spurs-transition-defense/



But hell, why not go even deeper? NBA dot com has some pretty great sortable stats available for all sorts of cool things. One of those cool things is Opponent FG% from various spots on the floor. They list 6 zones with sortable stats. I went ahead and filtered the stats down to Starting Guards over age 28 to narrow down the list enough to make it easier to search for these 2. So let's take a look at how our boys fared, shall we?


http://stats.nba.com/defensivehub/#!/oppshooting/player/?sort=Less%20Than%205%20ft.%20FG%20PCT&dir=-1&Season=2015-16&SeasonType=Regular%20Season&PlayerPosition=G&StarterBench=Starters&CF=AGE*G*28&PlayerExperience=Veteran


LESS THAN 5 FEET: Danny Green: 53.2% Courtney Lee: 59.5% Winner: DANNY GREEN

5-9 FEET: Danny Green: 39.5% Courtney Lee: 39.6% Winner: DANNY GREEN

10-14 FEET: Danny Green: 39.6% Courtney Lee: 37.2% Winner: COURTNEY LEE

15-19 FEET: Danny Green: 42.5% Courtney Lee: 41.4% Winner: COURTNEY LEE

20-24 FEET: Danny Green: 34.7% Courtney Lee: 37.5% Winner: DANNY GREEN

25-29 FEET: Danny Green: 34.3% Courtney Lee: 34.0% Winner: COURTNEY LEE


So overall, they are split pretty damn evenly across the floor in terms of Opponent FG%, taking down 3 categories each and putting up similar numbers in nearly every category. However, analyzing this further, Danny Green wins in a landslide close to the basket as well as on long-2s, whereas the 3 categories that Lee wins are all very close between the 2. Either way, I gotta give credit for being a better midrange jumpsuit defender in terms of Opponent FG% this season.

Given the fact that they performed pretty much equally in Opponent FG% throughout the floor, I would have to say that narrowing things down to Defensive Metrics, Per Game Stats, and Per 36 minute stats is the best way to decide who has the greater all-around effect defensively. That gives the victory to Danny Green, and it's really not close.

I'm not saying Courtney Lee is not a good defender, I'm simply saying that Danny Green is better. And I think I proved my point.

However, your argument was that Courtney Lee and Solomon Hill are a better defensive wing combo than Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green, and as far as that argument is concerned, it would be REALLY difficult for you to be any more wrong.

Now, it's bad enough that you're completely wrong about a subject that is so simple that any serious basketball fan should inherently know it without looking. But to top it off, you have been a total dick about it!

I can't believe I had to go through all of that trouble just to prove how ridiculous your argument was. Unbelievable. You sure as hell make one helluva ambassador for this forum though, as I feel like damn near every interaction I had on this board has gone pretty close to the way this one did.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1444 » by c3j3h » Thu Jul 7, 2016 10:16 pm

SacKingZZZ wrote:
City of Trees wrote:I take Lenoard/Green over Hill/Lee every day of the week.

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And see that's the issue with the former poster, that was never the argument in the first place. :lol:



umm about that...



SacKingZZZ wrote:
c3j3h wrote:
SacKingZZZ wrote:I'm just crossing my fingers we hear that the Kings are interested in Solomon Hill. If they somehow landed both Hill and Lee, they will have just put together the best defensive wing combo in the league. Then sign and trade for Anderson using Gay.


Better than Kawhi Leonard/Danny Green? C'mon now. I would be really happy with getting Hill and a good 3/D SG, but let's temper those expectations just a bit.



Purely on defensive ability, yes. They are far more limited all around, but getting up into opponents and playing flat out Artest level, stifling defense, yes.

Here's a very interesting article on Lee in particular.

http://www.atthehive.com/2016/3/6/11167418/courtney-lees-impact-as-a-perimeter-defender

Now, neither is a full time starter for any team without it being a perfect fit (Kings maybe?) so it's hard to take lower minute role players and compare overall impact, but these guys flat out get it done on D.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1445 » by SacKingZZZ » Fri Jul 8, 2016 2:10 am

c3j3h wrote:
SacKingZZZ wrote:
City of Trees wrote:I take Lenoard/Green over Hill/Lee every day of the week.

Sent from my SM-J700T using Tapatalk



And see that's the issue with the former poster, that was never the argument in the first place. :lol:



umm about that...



SacKingZZZ wrote:
c3j3h wrote:
Better than Kawhi Leonard/Danny Green? C'mon now. I would be really happy with getting Hill and a good 3/D SG, but let's temper those expectations just a bit.



Purely on defensive ability, yes. They are far more limited all around, but getting up into opponents and playing flat out Artest level, stifling defense, yes.

Here's a very interesting article on Lee in particular.

http://www.atthehive.com/2016/3/6/11167418/courtney-lees-impact-as-a-perimeter-defender

Now, neither is a full time starter for any team without it being a perfect fit (Kings maybe?) so it's hard to take lower minute role players and compare overall impact, but these guys flat out get it done on D.



Hey, stranger where have you been lately? :lol:

Did you not read the previous post from before? I clearly laid out the percentages, I was talking about them being RANKED higher and meant to say they were higher in DFG%. I was very clear earlier but you apparently want to continue to beat a dead horse deader than it already is.

And remember, I'm the eye guy and I think some stats, such as on/off and +/- stats can be pretty subjective as most stats are. The fact that DFG% was higher for both Hill and Lee shows there is a basis for arguments sake if stats is your backbone.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1446 » by dakomish23 » Fri Jul 8, 2016 5:11 pm

NYK fan here. What would be the cost for McLemore? Two 2nds? A 1st? More? Some guy who covers the team was on the game theory podcast and said two 2nds seems like fair value, but I don't trust the media's ability gauge value.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1447 » by City of Trees » Fri Jul 8, 2016 5:25 pm

Hahaha CHA really loves Belli

https://twitter.com/EricPincus/status/751466252770615296

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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1448 » by enderwilson » Fri Jul 8, 2016 5:53 pm

dakomish23 wrote:NYK fan here. What would be the cost for McLemore? Two 2nds? A 1st? More? Some guy who covers the team was on the game theory podcast and said two 2nds seems like fair value, but I don't trust the media's ability gauge value.


$20 gift certificate to Cinnabon and we call it square.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1449 » by enderwilson » Fri Jul 8, 2016 5:54 pm

enderwilson wrote:
dakomish23 wrote:NYK fan here. What would be the cost for McLemore? Two 2nds? A 1st? More? Some guy who covers the team was on the game theory podcast and said two 2nds seems like fair value, but I don't trust the media's ability gauge value.


$20 gift certificate to Cinnabon and we call it square.


Seriously though, I'd take two 2nds or a 1st in a heartbeat.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1450 » by blind prophet » Fri Jul 8, 2016 6:05 pm

City of Trees wrote:Hahaha CHA really loves Belli

https://twitter.com/EricPincus/status/751466252770615296

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I think they liked his contract. With all the big pay days out there, it may have seemed like a "safe" bet with cap space.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1451 » by blind prophet » Fri Jul 8, 2016 6:05 pm

enderwilson wrote:
enderwilson wrote:
dakomish23 wrote:NYK fan here. What would be the cost for McLemore? Two 2nds? A 1st? More? Some guy who covers the team was on the game theory podcast and said two 2nds seems like fair value, but I don't trust the media's ability gauge value.


$20 gift certificate to Cinnabon and we call it square.


Seriously though, I'd take two 2nds or a 1st in a heartbeat.


Not me, I'd prefer a cheap rotational player.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1452 » by enderwilson » Fri Jul 8, 2016 6:12 pm

blind prophet wrote:
enderwilson wrote:
enderwilson wrote:
$20 gift certificate to Cinnabon and we call it square.


Seriously though, I'd take two 2nds or a 1st in a heartbeat.


Not me, I'd prefer a cheap rotational player.


Beyond what we already have? I was thinking since we do not have a draft pick next year (owed to CHI) in what is supposed to be a deep draft class, this might be an opportunity to be a player if NYK has a pick to offer.

Still not a big fan of building via the draft, but I really like what Vlade and Co did this year and would like to be in the game next year too.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1453 » by blind prophet » Fri Jul 8, 2016 6:26 pm

enderwilson wrote:
blind prophet wrote:
enderwilson wrote:
Seriously though, I'd take two 2nds or a 1st in a heartbeat.


Not me, I'd prefer a cheap rotational player.


Beyond what we already have? I was thinking since we do not have a draft pick next year (owed to CHI) in what is supposed to be a deep draft class, this might be an opportunity to be a player if NYK has a pick to offer.

Still not a big fan of building via the draft, but I really like what Vlade and Co did this year and would like to be in the game next year too.


I'd prefer a pg prospect today, or a vet on a cheap contract. We've got enough young guys, stashed older picks.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1454 » by LightTheBeam » Fri Jul 8, 2016 7:10 pm

Unless we are trading McLemore in a larger package with Gay and/or Koufos for a point guard, I think we should just hold onto him. He played well before Karl got here and at this point with him being on the last year of a contract I don't think his value is very high, might as well see what we have there. I think he could eventually have a decent career if used the right way!
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1455 » by dakomish23 » Fri Jul 8, 2016 7:51 pm

blind prophet wrote:
enderwilson wrote:
enderwilson wrote:
$20 gift certificate to Cinnabon and we call it square.


Seriously though, I'd take two 2nds or a 1st in a heartbeat.


Not me, I'd prefer a cheap rotational player.


How about KOQ straight up? But you guys have a ton of young bigs already
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1456 » by blind prophet » Fri Jul 8, 2016 8:13 pm

dakomish23 wrote:
blind prophet wrote:
enderwilson wrote:
Seriously though, I'd take two 2nds or a 1st in a heartbeat.


Not me, I'd prefer a cheap rotational player.


How about KOQ straight up? But you guys have a ton of young bigs already


Gonna have to be a SG or PG
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1457 » by blind prophet » Fri Jul 8, 2016 8:16 pm

RipPizzaGuy wrote:Unless we are trading McLemore in a larger package with Gay and/or Koufos for a point guard, I think we should just hold onto him. He played well before Karl got here and at this point with him being on the last year of a contract I don't think his value is very high, might as well see what we have there. I think he could eventually have a decent career if used the right way!


We can always hold and move when he is restricted, assuming he pans out this year.

If we took care of PG and still had Ben, I'd be open to something like Thabo, or holding though.

Value is ultra low I agree.

If Richardson surprises and is really ready to go, maybe a deadline deal for a pick.

But for now, unless we get something in the rotation I think we should hold on to him for now.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1458 » by LightTheBeam » Fri Jul 8, 2016 8:26 pm

blind prophet wrote:
RipPizzaGuy wrote:Unless we are trading McLemore in a larger package with Gay and/or Koufos for a point guard, I think we should just hold onto him. He played well before Karl got here and at this point with him being on the last year of a contract I don't think his value is very high, might as well see what we have there. I think he could eventually have a decent career if used the right way!


We can always hold and move when he is restricted, assuming he pans out this year.

If we took care of PG and still had Ben, I'd be open to something like Thabo, or holding though.

Value is ultra low I agree.

If Richardson surprises and is really ready to go, maybe a deadline deal for a pick.

But for now, unless we get something in the rotation I think we should hold on to him for now.


Absolutely Agreed.
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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1459 » by mlloyd10 » Fri Jul 8, 2016 10:44 pm

Would you take Yabusele(Celtics 2016 2nd draft pick) for Gay?

Trying to think of a 3-way where bucks get Gay and Celtics get Monroe


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Re: Trade Idea Thread 15-16 

Post#1460 » by raferfenix » Fri Jul 8, 2016 10:45 pm

dozencousins wrote:
Sheva7 wrote:
dozencousins wrote:Gay's value just went up even higher now .
Yes

You think he is traded today?


IMO very likely today or tomorrow however to be safe I think before the 8th of July he will finally be dealt .


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