apet8945 wrote:og15 wrote:We gain a roster spot, and room under the hard cap. The team could still use another PG (Donald Sloan) and another C (???).
I haven't been factoring Pierce into my rotation analysis so I guess I should now. He's gotta be in the best shape of his life if he wants to come back because he was not very good.
On paper we do look like the second best team in the West, barring health, which is kind of funny in a way. Still a lot of good teams, but we have a very good squad comparatively.
Serious question. Do you think that our roster before this season starts is better than our roster before last season started?
I'm still trying to figure out how Doc **** up with that collection of players so badly. That roster was the best and deepest roster we've ever assembled and it turned into shambles because Doc is so inept at figuring rotations out. Playing players out of position so his "favorite" players can get playing time and because he wanted to play small with the excuse that that's what everyone else was doing. Ended up driving out Stephenson and Josh Smith, and breaking up a team that would have probably been able to rival the Warriors of two years ago in terms of its talent and depth. And now we have nothing to show for it.
Btw, the Spurs are still probably better than us too. I think our ceiling is third best team in the West.
The talent on last seasons roster was good, but the fit on last seasons roster was not very good, and we all questioned how Doc planned on putting it all together. While talent is important, fit is just as important, and it didn't make sense how any coach could get enough minutes for all those players last season. Of course in the end it was injuries that was the biggest factor in the final outcome, not Doc's rotations.
Let's look at the start of the season depth chart:
Chris Paul / Austin Rivers / Pablo Prigioni
JJ Redick / Jamal Crawford / CJ Wilcox
Lance Stephenson / Wesley Johnson / Luc Mbah A Moute
Blake Griffin / Paul Pierce
DeAndre Jordan / Josh Smith / Cole Aldrich
Now let's look at the starters minutes if the starting lineup stayed and the remaining minutes:
Chris Paul (33 mins) / 15 mins
JJ Redick (28 mins) / 20 mins
Lance Stephenson (22 mins) / 26 mins
Blake Griffin (35 mins) / 13 mins
DeAndre Jordan (34 mins) / 14 mins
How do you make all the backups happy? Luc broke into the rotation, so you had to find minutes for him. Let's say Doc played everyone in position:
PG: Austin Rivers (15 mins)
SG: Jamal Crawford (20 mins)
SF: 26 mins for Paul Pierce, Wesley Johnson and Luc Mbah A Moute
PF: Josh Smith (13 mins)
C: Cole Aldrich (14 mins)
So right from the start, there was no reasonable way of making everyone happy when it come to minutes. Even if Luc didn't break into the rotation, you have 26 minutes to share between Pierce and Johnson. Jamal averaged 26.6 mpg the previous season, he'd be dropping 7 mpg, that's a lot. Of course Doc probably wanted to get Austin minutes, hard to look around that. He played 17.6 mpg in 14-15, and this past season he played 21.9 mpg, based on the roster, I don't know if there were that many minutes for Austin, but I don't want to go there.
Anyways, I've discussed it before, but the team has had some issues with bringing in players and there not being an understanding about roles. Josh Smith was getting 14.3 mpg, higher than what would even be reasonable based on leaving everyone at their position on the roster, and he was not happy about his role.
Clippers vs Spurs: In terms of this, I think the Spurs have a good chance of winning more regular season games, certainly, so they could get 2nd. That said, I do think that in the playoffs we would have a slightly better chance of beating them than they would of beating us. I think we might also have the best chance vs the Warriors as of now. We'll have to see how the season shapes up and how some of the young teams look.