Trader_Joe wrote:Roy Tarpley wrote:Trader_Joe wrote:There was a very good chance he did.
#50 in DX
#45 in CBS prospect ranking
#45 in NBA.Com Mock
#47 basketball insiders Steve Kyler
Don't see him in basketball insiders consensus in the 1st round
etc. Just because we reached, doesn't meant the rest of the GMs would as predicted by most paid "experts" who I will trust more than your "no way" comment.
And no, Thad is worth more than cap and thus returned more than cap. Cap space was overrated this off-season and proven especially to the Nets and especially compared to what was given out.
Even if mock drafts had Levert at high 40s, it doesn't guarantee that he'd be around at #42. Anybody who has done a mock draft knows that, despite what the consensus says about average draft pick, there's always a few smart people who have different evaluations. Even the Nets themselves had pegged Levert as a top 20 pick so it's only natural for Marks to assume that other people had Levert that high too and it was too risky to wait until #42.
Even setting aside Levert, if you're just comparing a swap of Thad and Booker, I think it was at minimum a wash if not a slight positive for the Nets. Booker is almost equal to Thad offensively, but better defensively, and similar height, weight, age. On the whole, I think Booker will be better than Thad for the current Nets team PLUS $3million/year cheaper. Add in Levert, and the deal seems to me like we got two silver dollars for giving up a dollar bill. If Levert turns out to hit 3s at 35%+ and capable defender who can give 20minutes his rookie year, it's a slam dunk.
No real point in bringing up Booker. We could have signed him even if we did not trade Thad since we still have more than Thad's salary in cap space. I also don't see how they are comparable offensively.
As for the draft of course there was no guarantee but there was a good chance based upon the pundits who get paid to predict these things, sometimes with good inside info. And it it wasn't LeVert that "fell" there would have been others there of similar hype/value.
There would have been no point to having both Thad and Booker. I think the choice was:
(1) Keep Thad, with less cap space, and only a 2nd rd pick or
(2) Have his cap space flexibility to sign a FA and get younger through a 1st rd pick in Levert. I guess it became apparent that no big FA was gonna sign here so you quickly move to Plan B, which was Booker plus Levert extra cap space.
I feel like since the Nets doctor had worked on Levert, the Nets were eyeing him pretty intently.
Regarding Booker and Thad offensively, I've already discussed this ad nauseum before but here are their per 36 numbers:
Booker: 4.8 09.4 52%FG 0.2 0.6 31% 3PT 1.7 2.7 62% FT 9.2 REB 1.6 AST 1.1 STL 1.0 BLK 1.6 TO 3.6 PF 11.5 PTS
Young : 7.0 14.1 50%FG 0.4 1.4 32% 3PT 1.9 2.7 69% FT 6.9 REB 1.8 AST 1.7 STL 0.5 BLK 1.7 TO 2.6 PF 16.4 PTS
They're basically the same, but Booker is a better rebounder, and Young shoots more because he is a more advanced offensive player (Young averages 5 more pts/game more than Booker, but if you give Booker the same number of FGA per game, they'd score about the same). Again, same height, weight, and age. Even if you argue that Booker is limited offensively so he would clearly not shoot 5 more attempts per game, that still might be a better fit in the current Nets team, where Booker's better defense would be more valued.