OnceUponADime wrote:Kerrsed wrote:AtheJ415 wrote:
I don't see how you can include Warren. His numbers are just crazy. He is currently the best player from that 2014 class, and he is showing consistent improvement every year. Cousins is eligible for a higher salary and will be maxed. Warren is as much of a deal breaker for me as Booker. If they require a SF then I'd rather trade Bender.

The only crazy numbers are his points (on 41% shooting). Everything else is ordinary or below. To me, he has Rudy Gay written all over him, and i challenge anyone to convince me otherwise. Cool, he can score 20 points a game, but what else does he contribute to the team. Can he get a solid 20 points per game when the rest of the team isnt dogging it in the dumps like we have been for the past 5 games? Who knows, but i see a poormans Rudy Gay.
And to say that Warren is BETTER than guys like Wiggins/Parker/Randle/Lavine/Nurkić/Harris/Jokić/Grant, that just shows how rosey some fans glasses can be.

I don't think you're giving him enough credit but yea its absolutely crazy to say that he's the best player from that draft. Everyone you listed except for Lavine and Grant (imo) are better than him despite what the "crazy" numbers about him say if you ask me.
41% shooting? Who are you talking about?
Lavine? You realize this isn't a dunk contest right?
Here's a comparison of the more insane people I see on that list:
[url]http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=1&hint=T.J.+Warren&player_id1_select=T.J.+Warren&player_id1=warretj01&hint=Zach+LaVine&player_id2_select=Zach+LaVine&player_id2=lavinza01&hint=Jabari+Parker&player_id3_select=Jabari+Parker&player_id3=parkeja01&hint=Julius+Randle&player_id4_select=Julius+Randle&player_id4=randlju01&hint=Gary+Harris&player_id5_select=Gary+Harris&player_id5=harriga01&hint=Jerami+Grant&player_id6_select=Jerami+Grant&player_id6=grantje01
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The only, and yes ONLY player of those 6 with a positive Ortg-Drtg is TJ Warren. And that's despite the entire Suns team blowing defensively his first 2 years in the league. He also is the most efficient scorer of that group by FAR (look at his shooting percentages on attempts). TJ's weakness was defense but he has fixed that. He's not an amazing defender but he's in the top 10 in the NBA in steals and is improving on that end rapidly.
If you want to sit here and say Zach freaking Lavine and Gary Harris are better when they have negative double digit O-D ratings is just absurd. Hell, only TJ and Harris are guys with a positive VORP of that list. The almighty and incredibly overrated Jabari Parker is a neutral player right now. Until he learns to shoot 3s his value is limited, and at no point was he a better scorer than TJ--not in college and not in the NBA so far. Since Jabari still shows no interest in even trying to play D why would he be considered better according to any objective metric other than hype? These numbers don't suggest that.
Also, I added Wiggins here.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=1&hint=T.J.+Warren&player_id1_select=T.J.+Warren&player_id1=warretj01&hint=Zach+LaVine&player_id2_select=Zach+LaVine&player_id2=lavinza01&hint=Jabari+Parker&player_id3_select=Jabari+Parker&player_id3=parkeja01&hint=Julius+Randle&player_id4_select=Julius+Randle&player_id4=randlju01&hint=Gary+Harris&player_id5_select=Gary+Harris&player_id5=harriga01&hint=Andrew+Wiggins&player_id6_select=Andrew+Wiggins&player_id6=wiggian01Again, what this tells me is that TJ is a MUCH more advanced and efficient scorer at this stage on everything except for volume. While you could certainly argue that TJ couldn't be as efficient on Wiggins's volume, it wouldn't account for 7% of FG% and 5% of 3 point shooting. Wiggins has a negative VORP, a highly negative O-D rating (-10), and double the turnover rate. What you would expect him to make up for defensively he simply doesn't. Only Lavine has a worse DBPM than Wiggins, and that's despite Warren being backed up primarily by Tucker, a very good NBA defender.
Also, TJ has the highest WS/48 of the group despite Phoenix being hot garbage while he was here (not the best stat b/c the teams here have very different amounts of wins to share across players, but still).
If you want to argue athletic upside to justify some of these selections like Lavine and Parker go ahead, but the numbers don't back up your claim at all.