Jonas Valanciunas Proposals

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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#61 » by Texas Chuck » Mon Dec 5, 2016 2:30 pm

loserX wrote:
RonaldArtest wrote:I'm on the fence about him. While I like what he does offensively - powerful like a bull but with a soft touch - defensively he leaves you wanting more. I think he somewhat missed his golden age of the back to the basket C, but he still holds a lot of value IMO. Good contract, still young, loves the game and wants to improve. Anyways, hope this little bit of insight helps mate!


Just want to say this is a great post: exactly the kind of insight that "home fans" can provide about their team's players. Thanks for posting it!



+ one billion

This is so much better than "you don't watch him so you don't know" that we have been hearing non-stop lately. Giving us specifics on the player that we might not be as aware of are incredibly insightful and helpful and it furthers conversation rather than stifling it.
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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#62 » by Texas Chuck » Mon Dec 5, 2016 2:34 pm

Also I don't want to get in the middle of JV vs NV, but I will say that 26 vs 24 with both having the same length of time left on their deal isn't any kind of significant factor in their value. I think you can make a salient argument for Jonas being more valuable, but the age is irrelevant here imo.

And to make this crystal clear -- Marcin Gortat should be more valuable than both despite being much older because he's simply a better player, particularly defensively.

In fact a Gortat for Jonas V deal seems to me to have a lot of merit considering the current state of both teams. And yes I already know Raps fans are going to kill me for this. But he makes them better.
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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#63 » by Rapcity_11 » Mon Dec 5, 2016 3:04 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:Also I don't want to get in the middle of JV vs NV, but I will say that 26 vs 24 with both having the same length of time left on their deal isn't any kind of significant factor in their value. I think you can make a salient argument for Jonas being more valuable, but the age is irrelevant here imo.

And to make this crystal clear -- Marcin Gortat should be more valuable than both despite being much older because he's simply a better player, particularly defensively.

In fact a Gortat for Jonas V deal seems to me to have a lot of merit considering the current state of both teams. And yes I already know Raps fans are going to kill me for this. But he makes them better.


2 years on the age curve absolutely matters. Not really sure how that's even debatable.

I don't mind Gortat for JV at all. Gortat is a damn good player on a great contract. I'd probably do that if the Raptors could also line up a trade for a PF.
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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#64 » by Texas Chuck » Mon Dec 5, 2016 3:07 pm

Rapcity_11 wrote:
2 years on the age curve absolutely matters. Not really sure how that's even debatable.



Why? A team is trading for them for the 2+ seasons remaining on their deal. Nothing about 24 v 26 suggests that the older player won't be still playing at his prime level by the end. And frankly considering when NBA players typically peak you are actually getting better years from 26-28 anyway.

But this idea that younger is always better or is particularly meaningful much past the draft I think is way overblown. Particularly in the mid 20's. If it was 34 v 36 I'd be much more concerned about it.
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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#65 » by Rapcity_11 » Mon Dec 5, 2016 3:09 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:
Rapcity_11 wrote:
2 years on the age curve absolutely matters. Not really sure how that's even debatable.



Why? A team is trading for them for the 2+ seasons remaining on their deal. Nothing about 24 v 26 suggests that the older player won't be still playing at his prime level by the end. And frankly considering when NBA players typically peak you are actually getting better years from 26-28 anyway.

But this idea that younger is always better or is particularly meaningful much past the draft I think is way overblown. Particularly in the mid 20's. If it was 34 v 36 I'd be much more concerned about it.


Development. I'm not worried that Vuc is old. There's a greater possibility of JV getting better than there is of Vuc getting better. You said it yourself. If players pick at 26, Vuc is already there. JV still has 2 years before that.
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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#66 » by Texas Chuck » Mon Dec 5, 2016 3:20 pm

Rapcity_11 wrote:
Development. I'm not worried that Vuc is old. There's a greater possibility of JV getting better than there is of Vuc getting better. You said it yourself. If players pick at 26, Vuc is already there. JV still has 2 years before that.


Okay, can you name some specific development you could see? Because looking at Jonas statistically he's been the same guy for years now and Raps posters have been clear in multiple spots the last couple days that he's not progressing defensively either.

This idea that every players makes meaningful development between 24-26 isn't something I want to buy into without specific evidence on that player and with Jonas I'm just not seeing it.
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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#67 » by Rapcity_11 » Mon Dec 5, 2016 3:30 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:
Rapcity_11 wrote:
Development. I'm not worried that Vuc is old. There's a greater possibility of JV getting better than there is of Vuc getting better. You said it yourself. If players pick at 26, Vuc is already there. JV still has 2 years before that.


Okay, can you name some specific development you could see? Because looking at Jonas statistically he's been the same guy for years now and Raps posters have been clear in multiple spots the last couple days that he's not progressing defensively either.

This idea that every players makes meaningful development between 24-26 isn't something I want to buy into without specific evidence on that player and with Jonas I'm just not seeing it.


His numbers have been getting better every year (before this year - slow start, not a good sign). Look at per 100 possessions numbers. Nice little jumps every year.

I could see development defensively, and with his passing game mostly. Lots of room for improvement there. He's gotten better in those areas, just not very much to date.

I'm not saying every player makes meaningful development between 24-26. I'm saying that the possibility exists, which is enough to boost JV's value compared to Vuc.
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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#68 » by dakomish23 » Mon Dec 5, 2016 5:28 pm

Val / Wright / Poetl / both 2016 1sts 2018 first

for

Cousins Collison

Lowry Joseph Collison
Derozan Ross
Carroll Powell
2Pat Siakam
Cousins Bebe Sullinger

Think that's a team that could truly challenge CLE
Jimmit79 wrote:Yea RJ played well he was definitely the x factor


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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#69 » by Magic_Johnny12 » Mon Dec 5, 2016 11:27 pm

Hansari wrote:
DusterBuster wrote:
Rapcity_11 wrote:
The debate. I think it's clear JV has more value than Vuc. But overall, don't think he has much value.


Be nice if you could more accurately prove why when nothing seems to justify why this is "clear". I agree with you that I don't think either has a ton of value, but as for JV vs NV, I'd say the numbers, age and contracts seem to indicate that they'd overall probably have roughly similar value. Again, you have to account for the team trading for the player as some certainly may find one guy to be a better fit than the other based on the style of play they implement. But in terms of a major value difference, I'm not seeing anything to prove why one guy should be "clearly" higher than the other, outside of it just being your own personal opinion.


After reading through your dialogue I'm tempted to respond; hopefully this puts the argument to an end.

Valanciunas was a top 5 pick for good reason. Length, agility and skillset are all selling points. 7ft with a 7-6 wingspan, agile, soft touch around the basket, natural rebounding instincts, high efficiency pnr, and his ft conversion rate all add to his value.

Valanciunas by no means is a complete player, he leaves you wanting on the defensive end, he does not anchor the defense as you'd like your big to. He lacks composure at times when trusted with the ball, with all that said he's only 4 seasons into the NBA and is still fairly young wrt to bigs, and far from a finished product. Val was very raw coming into the NBA, and has consistently improved every season despite being on a short leash and playing under a coach that's imported a system from his championship run with the MAVS. Casey views bigs as defensive anchors/garbagemen, Tyson Chandler, hasn't left his system.

Vucevic on the other hand spent 3 years in college before entering the NBA, he wasn't 'raw' coming in, he's had free reign to develop and to some extent pad his stats out in post-SVG disney. He's capped off and hasn't added much to his game, Magic have seemingly limited his own contributions to the team and he's averaging career lows in minutes (apart from his rookie year). Valanciunas has consistently maintained a higher PER over him.

All else set aside, Val hasn't broken the 30mpg barrier despite being the primary C on his team, he's been playing on a top tier team and in my pov will at some point in his career average 20 & 12+ given the right situation. If I was starting a team I'd much rather have him as part of my core and build around him, Vucevic wouldn't even be on my radar. What we have to be clear about is that JV plays for an extremely defense-oriented coach. Every damn decision he makes is based on his strength, defense. JV is average on that end. Jakob Poeltl, another big who has been losing out due to coach's mindset, Pascal Siakam (projected 2nd rnd pick) has been starting on our team while our lottery pick rots on the bench. Why? Defensive-minded bigs are favoured. Biyombo - Valanciunas, same deal.

In the playoffs last year before getting injured, he was averaging 15, 13, 1.5 in 28mpg.

This includes the 3 games against Miami, matched up directly against Hassan Whiteside where he averaged 18, 13, 2 in 30mpg and was clearly the most dominant big on the court.

By no means am I trying to paint a rosy image of the player, he leaves much to be desired, but pegging his value to a run of the mill 26yr old C on an abysmal team is asinine.

Cheers.


That's an inaccurate statement.
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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#70 » by Asif16 » Mon Dec 5, 2016 11:53 pm

dakomish23 wrote:Val / Wright / Poetl / both 2016 1sts 2018 first

for

Cousins Collison

Lowry Joseph Collison
Derozan Ross
Carroll Powell
2Pat Siakam
Cousins Bebe Sullinger

Think that's a team that could truly challenge CLE


lol Raptors do this in a heartbeat but Sac probably doesnt even touch it. Also no need for Collison. I dont know if you put him in there for Salary purposes or not but no need for him.

Btw sullinger will be our Starting PF when he come back, with Patterson backing him up.

But yes, if we get cousins NBA finals is a real possibility
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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#71 » by Colbinii » Tue Dec 6, 2016 1:30 am

dakomish23 wrote:Val / Wright / Poetl / both 2016 1sts 2018 first

for

Cousins Collison

Lowry Joseph Collison
Derozan Ross
Carroll Powell
2Pat Siakam
Cousins Bebe Sullinger

Think that's a team that could truly challenge CLE


You could make quite a few lopsided trades that make a team in the east be able to "challenge" Cleveland, especially if JR Swish is out for an extended period of time.
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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#72 » by dakomish23 » Tue Dec 6, 2016 2:06 am

Asif16 wrote:
dakomish23 wrote:Val / Wright / Poetl / both 2016 1sts 2018 first

for

Cousins Collison

Lowry Joseph Collison
Derozan Ross
Carroll Powell
2Pat Siakam
Cousins Bebe Sullinger

Think that's a team that could truly challenge CLE


lol Raptors do this in a heartbeat but Sac probably doesnt even touch it. Also no need for Collison. I dont know if you put him in there for Salary purposes or not but no need for him.

Btw sullinger will be our Starting PF when he come back, with Patterson backing him up.

But yes, if we get cousins NBA finals is a real possibility


You get a starting caliber C. You get a lottery prospect. You get 3 late firsts. Maybe it is too low idk.
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Re: Jonas Valanciunas Proposals 

Post#73 » by dakomish23 » Tue Dec 6, 2016 2:07 am

Colbinii wrote:
dakomish23 wrote:Val / Wright / Poetl / both 2016 1sts 2018 first

for

Cousins Collison

Lowry Joseph Collison
Derozan Ross
Carroll Powell
2Pat Siakam
Cousins Bebe Sullinger

Think that's a team that could truly challenge CLE


You could make quite a few lopsided trades that make a team in the east be able to "challenge" Cleveland, especially if JR Swish is out for an extended period of time.


I didn't think it was that bad. I guess we have to see what everyone else is willing to offer
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