Meliorus wrote:payitforward wrote:Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:...In '12, I wanted to trade down and pick Lillard. Looks like Beal has really blossomed THIS season; but, Lillard/Wall would have been lethal.
(I also wanted McCollum his draft year).
Well, I hope you didn't want McCollum (who went #10) over Porter that year. But I assume you aren't saying that.
I doubt you remember, but the run-up to the 2012 draft was when I began posting here. If we were picking #3, I wanted Beal, but I preferred, & posted, a really radical trade-down strategy for that draft, to which people responded like it was crazy (& in a way, it was) & so was I (no, I was very smart as one can see in retrospect).
I thought all these moves were do-able. I wanted to trade our #3 to Portland for their #s 6 & 11. At 6, I wanted to pick Drummond. Then I wanted to trade #11 to Houston for their #s 16 & 18. I wanted to turn around & trade their #16 to Boston for their #s21 & 23. At 18, I wanted to take either Jared Sullinger or Evan Fournier. W/ #21, I wanted to take the other of Sully/Fournier. I wanted to trade the Celtics #23 to the Mavericks for their #s33 & 34. With our #32, I'd have taken Jae Crowder. With the next two, I wanted to take Draymond Green & Will Barton. I also didn't have us trading that #46, remember, & had O'Quinn targeted for that pick.
My plan, which I still think would have been possible to do, would have gotten us:
Andre Drummond
Evan Fournier
Jared Sullinger
Jae Crowder
Draymond Green
Will Barton
Kyle O'Quinn
Not a bad haul, huh?

And why exactly would Houston, Boston, and Dallas do those trades??? Everyone knows there's barely a difference between #11 and #16, and you're also asking Houston to throw in #18? Same goes with the Celtics, there's an even smaller gap between #16 and #21/23. You're basically asking teams to keep giving us 2 first rounders for 1 first rounder. How many of those 4 trade partners do you expect would actually agree to those trades? Only once I see is Portland wanting to move up.
Not only that, Meliorus, but if Portland doesn't want the deal, the rest of the deals can't happen. And if Houston doesn't want the deal the next two can't happen. And if the Celtics don't want the deal, the Mavs deal isn't there.
Or, to put it another way, what's your point? This was my fantasy strategy of 4.5 years ago. It was a dream, and at present, obviously, it's meaningless.
OTOH, what you write in particular is not necessarily true. There might be a big difference between 11 & 16 -- if there's a guy you want, that is, who'll be there at 11 but not at 16. And, if there's a guy you want who'll be there at 16 but will be gone at 21, then there could also a big difference between those two positions. And on down the line. After all, we traded a R2 pick on draft day 2015 to move up 3 picks.
In fact, of the guys Houston picked @ 16 & 18, one of them never played for them, and the other was a bust. Of the 2 guys Boston picked @ 21 & 22 (not 23, as I mistyped above), one of them played only 36 minutes for them, and they let the other leave w/ no compensation. And, of the 2 guys the Mavericks picked @ 33 & 34, one of them was a bust & the other they traded. In other words, no those extra picks weren't worth much at all, were they? Huh? Well...? Were they worth a lot?
All the same, it was still a fantasy, and of course you are right that any one of those teams might have turned down the deal in my dreams.