Finally lineup/rotation definitive?

[mcmurphy]

If we look the 4-man lineup of the season (with at least 80 mins played) we find the following situation:



The clearly better 4-man lineup is:

Mudiay - x - Gallo - Faried - Jokic

with a stratospheric NetRtg of +30.1.

This is the last core starting lineup which has arrived (finally) Malone where the SG could be Harris/Barton/Murray or even Nelson.

The 3rd 4-man lineup is:

Nelson - Murray - x - Chandler - Nurkic

with a good NetRtg of +14.2.

This is the core bench lineup where the SF/PF could be Barton/Hernangomez/DA.

Note also the pretty good DefRtg of the 2 core lineup (101 and 98).

I hope that Malone confirm this rotation... because otherwise
"Errare humanum est, perseverare autem diabolicum (Seneca)"
(to make a mistake is human, to persevere in the error is diabolic)

[NuggetsWY]

Makes sense - but I don't think Malone pays attention to advanced statistics

[GlenRiceARoni]

Im getting really excited. The offense is absolutely ROLLING right now.

If Mudiay can just cut down the turnovers and the 2nd unit can play a little better we're gonna run away with the 8 seed.

I talked to a buddy in the FO today. Everyone is excited right now it's finally coming together

Sent from my SM-N920V using RealGM mobile app

[NuggetsWY]

Im getting really excited. The offense is absolutely ROLLING right now.

If Mudiay can just cut down the turnovers and the 2nd unit can play a little better we're gonna run away with the 8 seed.

I talked to a buddy in the FO today. Everyone is excited right now it's finally coming together [/url]

Talk to your buddy in the FO and suggest they learn how to build a D-fence.

[skywalker33]

Can't say this is the lineup I expected, but can't argue with the results.

[mcmurphy]

Before Jokic starting as C
First 25 games (10H-15R)
9W-16L OffRtg= 102.7(18) DefRtg= 107.4(25) NetRtg= -4.7(25)

Since Jokic starting as C
Last 19 games (12H-7R)
10W-9L OffRtg= 114.4(2) DefRtg= 112.9(30) NetRtg= +1.5(10)

This improvement appears to be caused by the higher number of games at HOME.
Actually if we look at the last 8 games (4 at Home and 4 on the Road, 5 team with record >0.500) the improvement is significant, indicating a better chemistry and defense.

Last 8 games Nuggets (4H-4R), 5W-3L, OffRtg= 115.2(2) DefRtg= 108.1(20) NetRtg= +7.1(3)
(the first game, Loss @OKC Jokic did not play)

A Team with NetRtg= +7.0 ==> similar a Team with Expected win 58-24
A Team with NetRtg= +1.5 ==> similar a Team with Expected win 45-37