FNQ wrote:PizzaSteve wrote:The value of a Curry rebound is via his superior passing and court vision. Many of his rebounds turn into Green or Iguadala dunks, against slower defensive teams because of his passing accuracy. Also, he is able to dribble up and launch a long three before the defense matches up, sometimes. It is similar to when Westbrook launches a one man fast break on a rebound before defenders set up. Curry uses his strengths (passing, shooting, fast break), Westbrook uses his (speed, penetration, collapsing defense, finishing).
I guess my point is that an increase in Curry rebounds is valuable. For his size and athletisism, he is suprisingly good at getting contested boards and exceptional at turning a rebound into an an immediate offensive threat.
Exactly. This kind of value gets lost in the shuffle of people looking for stats that are traditional for a position - a guard who rebounds or blocks shots, that kind of value isn't appreciated as much, as if a rebound or block counts less for a PG than a C. Or an assist counts more for a PG than a PF. When in fact, I'd argue the opposite - a player who can do things that is unusual for his position or size creates a distinct advantage for his team.
I have to disagree with you here -- all stats are not created equal. It's funny that analytics have convinced many fans that all points scored are not equal -- efficiency matters as well as the impact on the overall offensive game (floor spacing, the ability to get opponents in foul trouble, etc) yet people argue until they're blue in the face that a rebound is a rebound.
One analysis of the SportVU rebounding numbers came to these conclusions:
Here are the findings:
A slight negative correlation for the percent of team rebounds contested and the percentage of opportunities grabbed.
A small positive correlation with Contested Percentages and total rebound %
No correlation with defensive rebounds and contested rebounds.
A significant (statistically and practically) correlation between number of contested rebounds per game and offensive rebounding percentage and correlation between the percent of team rebounds contested and team offensive rebound percentage. The R2 for all 30 teams being .29.
This basically confirms what we knew already. Many of the defensive rebounds any individual player grabs could have been taken by one of his teammates.
http://counting-the-baskets.typepad.com/my-blog/2013/12/sportvu-date-contested-rebounds-are-offensive.htmlNow does this mean we should chart every rebound and discount all the ones players nab without competition? Not necessarily since there could be reasons why the player got the rebound that are to his credit -- he may have been the only player on the floor who accurately predicted where the rebound would carom to, or the player might be such a formidable glass cleaner that the other team didn't even bother to contest it when they might have with a lesser player.
Still it does seem clear that the range of difficulty when it comes to rebounds is pretty large. A more substantial rebounding rating should then look at the specifics of a rebound and not just count them all as one more tally in the scoresheet.
http://www.82games.com/rebounds.htmYou can point to rebounding percentage or on/off numbers and, while those can be helpful, there can be significant issues with those stats: small sample size, other players on the floor, opponents, situations, etc. Of course, in the first article I quoted, many of the conclusions were based on rebounding%, which, if flawed (as I contend), does impact the conclusions as well.
Quite frankly, I'm not saying that I have a conclusive answer on this, or that one even exists, but I do think it is pretty clear that all rebounds are not created equal nor do raw rebounding numbers correlate to impact on the game. The eye test will back this up: as a simple example, Tristan Thompson is a much more disruptive player on the glass than any guard, rebounding numbers be damned.
Likewise, with blocks, there are a lot of factors: 1) whether there was a change of possession, 2) how high of a % shot was blocked (i.e. blocking a 20 foot jump shot doesn't have the same impact as stopping a dunk) and 3) whether the defender in question is able to alter shots.
“I pretty much played the last three games with a broken hand,” James said as he sat there with a softcast on the right hand.