http://basketball.realgm.com/analysis/245269/Previewing-The-2014-Draft-Class-Extension-Market
4. Aaron Gordon – Orlando Magic: Shoehorned into the small forward position, Gordon looked like he wasn’t going to live up to his once high potential. Following the Serge Ibaka trade to Toronto, Gordon has settled back in to his natural power forward position and thriving once again. The Magic no longer are messing around with Gordon as anything but a 4 and he’s back to being a long term building block.
Extension Prediction: Four years/$100 million. Orlando doesn’t have a lot to build around. They have decent enough role players, but no stars. Gordon is the only player on the roster with the potential to reach that level. The Magic will sign him long-term, while giving themselves a little bit of wiggle room, just shy of the max, in case he doesn’t quite get there.
10. Elfrid Payton – Orlando Magic: While Payton has flashed at times, he’s still a limited player at the point guard position. He can do a lot of things well, but he’s not elite in any facet and can’t shoot. His 46% shooting this year is misleading, because he’s at just 26% from behind the arc. He even lost his job to D.J. Augustin for a stretch of this season. Payton is probably in the lower third of starting point guards at this point in his career.
Extension Prediction: No extension. The Magic can’t lock into both Gordon and Payton without seeing them play together more in lineups that make sense. Gordon has shown more and has higher potential, so he gets signed and Payton goes the RFA route.
Agree? Disagree? Agree but to less money?