2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2

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Who will win MVP?

Curry
12
3%
Durant
3
1%
Harden
112
31%
LeBron
42
12%
Leonard
60
17%
Westbrook
109
30%
Other
20
6%
 
Total votes: 358

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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1281 » by bondom34 » Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:50 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
bondom34 wrote:1. It's really not though. I don't think Harden is a better decision maker at all, he's more TO prone, he's just better at getting to the line. He's not a terribly better shooter, and to this point turns it over more often.

Points per touch is indicating he's more efficient each time he touches the ball which to me would indicate the opposite.

How Westbrook was "groomed" isn't really relevant to how either is playing currently when our only current goal is to measure just that, not more.

2. Yes. I think Westbrook could do similar. I think Curry could. To be totally honest I think most any offensively skilled PG would look pretty similarly amazing under MDA. He's done this with Jeremy Lin, I'm not counting out a high caliber PG from doing more.

As well, I'm more confused because of your use of plus/minus except when they seem to finally favor Westbrook. RPM is favoring him, and I get the box score portion but BPM alone has been shown to have predictive value as well.


1. Houston is running an offense utterly dominated by Harden's primacy, they are doing it with a far-beyond-reckless approach to scoring where Harden is regularly making ultra-long passes on a level I don't think we've ever seen anyone do before, and this is leading to the #1 offense in the league with a TO% that is pretty normal in the NBA.

I don't think it makes sense to say that Harden is turnover prone simply because in the course of this task he personally commits more turnovers than others.

Re: not really a terribly better shooter. Dude, I thought you were the one trying to excuse Westbrook's decision making based on his weaker shooting. To me though it seems like a distinction without difference though here.

Re: groomed irrelevant. Just making a statement about how I see things.

2. Okay, I really don't understand how you say this and your not going nuts at how amazing D'Antoni is then. You think he can run a 115+ ORtg with basically any skilled point guard. That's an insane coaching ability.

Re: BPM is predictive. It's predictive but it has consistent biases. The biases don't make it useless were there no other metrics to use, but there are other metrics.

Re: "You like +/- except when it favors Westbrook", yeah that's where I feel ya. From my perspective I'm saying the same stuff I always said but I understand why it wouldn't seem that way to others.


Alright, home for the weekend :).

1. Except Houston's offense runs fine when Harden sits. His primacy is great but it's not like there's a total ineptitude when he takes a breath on the bench. MDA's run offenses with no talent that have been pretty decent.

And calling Harden TO prone because he commits a lot of TOs seems pretty appropriate. He's always done so, but he's doing it even more this year.

I wasn't excusing decision making based on shooting. Both guys comitt a lot of TOs (Harden relatively more via TO percentage), but claiming Harden is more efficient based on a higher TS isn't representing that they're pretty similar shooting this year. Harden's a better shooter but it's not like he's Curry either.

2. I love what MDA is doing. Never said otherwise. He ran a 111 offense with Ray Felton and half a season of Melo, Harden's a vastly better player and this roster has more offensive talent then that one.

Re: BPM/biases. You could say the same about any metric. So does RAPM, yet it seems they're rarely brought up. When we've got RPM and BPM, it's what I'll use.

Re: The last part, I really feel like there's a big bias here and it's why we both struggle with this topic. I know I'm a bit biased but I think you are too on this topic. There's some "ideal" player that doesn't really exist and it's not what Russ does to you. The thing is, he does nearly everything Harden does except draw fouls and if I'm taking one of the two to start a team it's Westbrook, there's certainly no clear gap as to who's the better of the two.

To this point, OKC's roster is at where it is not because they're faiing when Westbrook is on court, but because they're a -11 when he sits. I posted the bench numbers, where they're literally worse than the Nets bench. His backup PG was in Italy a year ago and taken in the mid 50s in the draft a couple years back. Other than that Kanter and Abrines are solid bench options who have obvious defensive limitations, and the rest of the roster might have 2 2way players at most in Oladipo and Adams, with Gibson just added for maybe a 3rd. To add to it the entire year the starting lineup was suffering because of starting a rookie at the PF. The new starting lineup is around a plus 25 net rating.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1282 » by Pablo Novi » Sat Mar 18, 2017 4:19 am

It's just an incredible year. I have trouble ruling any of the 4 out of the conversation.
LeBron's still THE best player in the world and the on / off.
Kawhi is an awesome two-way player and his team is battling for THE best record.
Harden is perhaps the most fun player to watch that I've seen in my 55 years of rabid NBA-ABA fanhood.
Westbrook's numbers are better than the Big O's (given pace). (And I LOVED the Big O back then).

Imo, there's NEVER been such a four-way MVP race!

Putting a positive spin on this, we the fans can't lose in this situation.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1283 » by Gibson22 » Sat Mar 18, 2017 3:25 pm

Pablo Novi wrote:It's just an incredible year. I have trouble ruling any of the 4 out of the conversation.
LeBron's still THE best player in the world and the on / off.
Kawhi is an awesome two-way player and his team is battling for THE best record.
Harden is perhaps the most fun player to watch that I've seen in my 55 years of rabid NBA-ABA fanhood.
Westbrook's numbers are better than the Big O's (given pace). (And I LOVED the Big O back then).

Imo, there's NEVER been such a four-way MVP race!

Putting a positive spin on this, we the fans can't lose in this situation.



How old are you? :D

Anyway, do you guys think that Lebron has a chance to win it at this point?
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1284 » by Torchmode » Sat Mar 18, 2017 7:27 pm

The league must be so watered down if Lebron is still in MVP discussions. Is there really not another player in the league thats having a better season?
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1285 » by The High Cyde » Sat Mar 18, 2017 7:54 pm

LeBron has a right to be in yearly MVP discussions by virtue of him being the best player in the league. He's also the best player on the number 1 seed in his conference while averaging very good numbers. 26/8/9 is nothing to sneeze at.
However, there are a few players having a better statistical season than him. Harden and Westbrook among them. The league isn't watered down at all anymore, there is a vast abundance of talent this Era, more so than those of the past.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1286 » by MisterHibachi » Sat Mar 18, 2017 8:18 pm

Harden is likely to win it because no one can decide who the other top 2 candidate is. Some go with Russ, others put him 4th. Guys like Haralabob put LBJ in the top 2, Lowe put Kawhi in the top 2 a while back (although on his pod with Bill Simmons he (and Bill) said he's giving serious consideration to LeBron at #1). They all have Harden at or near the top, so even if he doesn't receive the most first place votes, he's gonna win on points.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1287 » by ChartFiction » Sat Mar 18, 2017 9:36 pm

OKC officially 5th seed as of now.

When you factor in him having the best individual stats, not missing a single game so far this season, how bad OKC performs without Westbrook on the court, the historical value, how he has to get a triple double for the team to win basically, you have to give it to Westbrook imo.

But they'll probably give it to Harden.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1288 » by draftnightsuit » Sun Mar 19, 2017 1:43 am

That "stacked" Cavs team about to fall to 0-6 without Lebron (including 0-2 when Kyrie and Love plays).
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1289 » by Hindenburg » Sun Mar 19, 2017 2:26 am

anyone see this Morey's tweet?

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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1290 » by xsatyr01 » Sun Mar 19, 2017 4:00 am

Back to back 40 point triple doubles for Harden. The second one being in the mile high city on the second night of a b2b, pretty impressive. Also, that's four consecutive triple doubles.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1291 » by Young_Star11 » Sun Mar 19, 2017 4:22 am

Harden's award.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1292 » by RightToCensor » Sun Mar 19, 2017 5:06 am

To some, Harden and Westbrook are making their cases as the two leaders in the MVP race by their amazing play on the court. To others, Lebron is making his own separate MVP case by not playing at all. This is his sixth missed game due to rest and we're only half way through March, so expect Lebron to take at least 3 more games off the last 10 games of the Regular Season.

Since the NBA went to 82 game seasons, there have only been 8 (out of 49) occasions where the League MVP played at most 76 games. If you take out the 2 lockout seasons then there'd be only 6 occasions ('78 Walton, '01 Iverson, '05 Nash, '10 James, '13 James, and '93 Barkley). Those two Lebron seasons saw him only miss 6 games that year, Lebron this year could be close to not reaching 70 games played if he takes his usual rest at the end of the Regular Season. MVP isn't worth him coming into the playoffs tired.

I think Lebron will take himself out the race and the media (and RealGM) will follow suit.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1293 » by K_chile22 » Sun Mar 19, 2017 5:58 am

So why is it everyone talks about how historic Russ' season is, having only been matched by the big O, but don't do the same about Harden? Harden's 28/11/7 has only been done by the big O. It's every bit as historic. It just isn't a nice round number.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1294 » by bondom34 » Sun Mar 19, 2017 6:17 am

Hindenburg wrote:anyone see this Morey's tweet?

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:lol: Morey campaigning. Harden deserves his credit too but this is corny. Really not a good look to me, and I'd say the same of Presti.

Edit: And do people really believe this is the only reason he's in the MVP race? Because he'd be having just as good a season averaging 9 rebounds or assists or whatever. That's not why he should be in this.

I totally get why people pick Harden but calling that the only reason is kind of ludicrous. To add to the fact that even then, it's still the first time any of us has actually been alive to see this and yet people won't even enjoy it and would rather find ways to downplay it.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1295 » by RightToCensor » Sun Mar 19, 2017 7:03 am

It's not surprising because Morey is a homer for his team the way Cuban is with the Mavericks, expect Morey isn't a complete egomaniac. He's being more loving than a prude, he has nothing against Westbrook or voters.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1296 » by bondom34 » Sun Mar 19, 2017 7:04 am

RightToCensor wrote: He's being more loving than a prude, .

:lol:

Sorry but this just made my evening, thank you! I literally can't stop laughing.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1297 » by BallerTalk » Sun Mar 19, 2017 8:41 am

bondom34 wrote:Edit: And do people really believe this is the only reason he's in the MVP race? Because he'd be having just as good a season averaging 9 rebounds or assists or whatever. That's not why he should be in this.


I totally agree with you that Russell Westbrook probably should not be in the MVP conversation just because of a random numerical benchmark. Especially when the first guy to do it didn't win the award either.
I'm pretty sure this is what Morey was poking fun at too.

However, that hasn't stopped many Westbrook supporters from falling back on the triple double argument when confronted with the fact that Harden is putting up nearly identical numbers more efficiently and with greater team success.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1298 » by bondom34 » Sun Mar 19, 2017 8:48 am

BallerTalk wrote:
However, that hasn't stopped many Westbrook supporters from falling back on the triple double argument when confronted with the fact that Harden is putting up nearly identical numbers more efficiently and with greater team success.

I haven't seen this. I have seen them argue Westbrook is having a better season as a player while carrying a worse team to relative success, while Harden's supporters consistently fall back to "well what he's doing isn't so good". If your case for MVP consistently relies on trying to make someone else look worse, it's not that perfect a case. Efficiency isn't equivalent to offense, and though it's an arbitrary cutoff it still is a feat not done in a long time.

As well, if you see Wilt's stats when Oscar won MVP, that's why.
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1299 » by ThomYorke » Sun Mar 19, 2017 9:36 am

bondom34 wrote:
BallerTalk wrote:
However, that hasn't stopped many Westbrook supporters from falling back on the triple double argument when confronted with the fact that Harden is putting up nearly identical numbers more efficiently and with greater team success.

I haven't seen this. I have seen them argue Westbrook is having a better season as a player while carrying a worse team to relative success, while Harden's supporters consistently fall back to "well what he's doing isn't so good". If your case for MVP consistently relies on trying to make someone else look worse, it's not that perfect a case. Efficiency isn't equivalent to offense, and though it's an arbitrary cutoff it still is a feat not done in a long time.

As well, if you see Wilt's stats when Oscar won MVP, that's why.

Didn't Bill Russell win the MVP that year?
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Re: 2016-17 MVP Discussion Thread Pt 2 

Post#1300 » by bondom34 » Sun Mar 19, 2017 9:40 am

ThomYorke wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
BallerTalk wrote:
However, that hasn't stopped many Westbrook supporters from falling back on the triple double argument when confronted with the fact that Harden is putting up nearly identical numbers more efficiently and with greater team success.

I haven't seen this. I have seen them argue Westbrook is having a better season as a player while carrying a worse team to relative success, while Harden's supporters consistently fall back to "well what he's doing isn't so good". If your case for MVP consistently relies on trying to make someone else look worse, it's not that perfect a case. Efficiency isn't equivalent to offense, and though it's an arbitrary cutoff it still is a feat not done in a long time.

As well, if you see Wilt's stats when Oscar won MVP, that's why.

Didn't Bill Russell win the MVP that year?

http://imgur.com/a/u2GnK

Russell. Averaging 45/24!
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