Winner: Caliban! Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest! (Entries Locked)

[caliban]

Contrary to the many excellent submissions in this tread I thought I’d post a prediction 100% based on math for a different angle to the other entries in this thread. How good or bad the numbers perform I don't know, but they should at least contribute and serve as an interesting comparison and counter point to the other predictions in this thread.

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atl   44,9   
bkn   25,7   
bos   52,7   
cha   42,0   
chi   37,8   
cle   56,1   
dal   36,7   
den   36,3   
det   43,1   
gsw   72,2   
hou   46,6   
ind   43,4   
lac   51,6   
lal   21,8   
mem   37,0   
mia   41,3   
mil   31,6   
min   38,7   
nop   31,8   
nyk   36,2   
okc   44,9   
orl   34,3   
phi   20,9   
phx   26,0   
por   42,8   
sac   33,0   
sas   59,2   
tor   50,5   
uta   47,8   
was   43,1


Displayed last years pythW's and change to see what my nub excel math thinks went down in the Trades, Transactions and age department this summer. The projected rotation age is there as well to see the true team roster age. Might be interesting to get a grasp of where the teams are in their rebuilding process.

[HartfordWhalers]

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Golden State 72,2
San Antonio 59,2
Cleveland 56,1
LA Clippers 51,6
Boston 52,7
Toronto 50,5
Utah 47,8
Portland 42,8
OKC 45,1
Detroit 43,1
Atlanta 44,9
Memphis 37,2
Indiana 43,3
Washington 42,7
Houston 46,4
Minnesota 38,5
Charlotte 42
Dallas 36,9
Milwaukee 31,6
Chicago 37,8
NYK 36,1
Miami 41,8
Orlando 34,4
New Orleans 31,9
Denver 35,7
Sacramento 33,2
Philly 20,9
Phoenix 26
Lakers 21,8
Brooklyn 25,7


Just confirming, those numbers add up to 1229.9 when I put them in. Did I miss a tenth somewhere, or do you want to round one of the fractions up to make it a 1230.0 even?

[Mr. E]

3 Over - Houston, Indiana & Charlotte
3 Under - Sacramento, Miami & Orlando

Golden State Warriors 66.5 - Under - 65
San Antonio Spurs 56.5 - Under - 56
Los Angeles Clippers 53.5 - Over - 54
Utah Jazz 47.5 - Over - 48
Portland Trail Blazers 46.5 - Under - 45
Oklahoma City Thunder 45.5 - Under - 45
Memphis Grizzlies 43.5 - Under - 42
(tied 8th/9th) Houston Rockets 41.5 - Over - 47
(tied 8th/9th) Minnesota Timberwolves 41.5 - Under - 41
---------------------------
Dallas Mavericks 39.5 - Over - 40
New Orleans Pelicans 36.5 - Under - 35
Denver Nuggets 34.5 - Under - 33
Sacramento Kings 32.5 - Under - 27
Phoenix Suns 26.5 - Under - 26
Los Angeles Lakers 24.5 - Under 23


Cleveland Cavaliers  56.5 - Over - 57
Boston Celtics       51.5 - Over - 52
Toronto Raptors      49.5 - Under - 48
Detroit Pistons      45.5 - Under - 45
Atlanta Hawks        43.5 - Under - 43
Indiana Pacers       43.5 - Over - 46
Washington Wizards   42.5 - Over - 44
(tied 8th/9th) Charlotte Hornets    39.5 - Over - 42
(tied 8th/9th) Milwaukee Bucks      39.5 - Over - 40
-------------------------
Chicago Bulls        38.5 - Under - 36
New York Knicks      38.5 - Under - 38
Miami Heat           36.5 - Under - 32
Orlando Magic        36.5 - Under - 33
Philadelphia 76ers   27.5 - Under - 25
Brooklyn Nets        20.5 - Over - 22

[caliban]

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Golden State 72,2
San Antonio 59,2
Cleveland 56,1
LA Clippers 51,6
Boston 52,7
Toronto 50,5
Utah 47,8
Portland 42,8
OKC 45,1
Detroit 43,1
Atlanta 44,9
Memphis 37,2
Indiana 43,3
Washington 42,7
Houston 46,4
Minnesota 38,5
Charlotte 42
Dallas 36,9
Milwaukee 31,6
Chicago 37,8
NYK 36,1
Miami 41,8
Orlando 34,4
New Orleans 31,9
Denver 35,7
Sacramento 33,2
Philly 20,9
Phoenix 26
Lakers 21,8
Brooklyn 25,7


Just confirming, those numbers add up to 1229.9 when I put them in. Did I miss a tenth somewhere, or do you want to round one of the fractions up to make it a 1230.0 even?

Give it to HOU then I guess. Thanks for asking and for this fun initiative. What is an off-season discussion without a guesstimate and evaluation of future results. Definitely belongs on this board imo. Will try to run a projected standing and how everyone is doing a couple of games in.

[NBAMythbuster]

I'm game.

MVP: Lebron (R.U Kawhi)
DPOY Kawhi (R.U Gobert)

East:
Cavs- 58 wins
Boston- 53 wins
Hawks- 51 wins
Raptors- 49 wins
Pacers 47 wins
Wizards- 44 wins
Magic- 43 wins
Detroit- 42 wins
--------------------
Hornets- 39 wins
Bucks- 33 wins
Bulls- 32 wins
Heat- 30 wins
Nets- 26 wins
Knicks- 25 wins
76ers- 19 wins

West:
GSW- 70 wins
Spurs- 59 wins
LAC- 55 wins
Utah- 51 wins
Houston- 50 wins
Wolves- 46 wins
OKC- 45 wins
Portland- 43 wins
---------------------
Kings- 37 wins
Denver- 35 wins
Memphis- 34 wins
Mavs- 33 wins
Pelicans- 31 wins
Suns- 24 wins
Lakers- 22 wins

It might be me making a data input eror, but I have you at 1226 and needing 4 more wins.

I did that off the top of my head, because I know roughly what number of wins looks correct. I'll leave it as is thanks.

[jayjaysee]

I did that off the top of my head, because I know roughly what number of wins looks correct. I'll leave it as is thanks.

But you just need to add 4 wins to 1-4 teams? I mean, I just copied someone else's list and went down like everyone else.. And in Excel had a way off number and had to edit down.. Or else you are playing with a 4 game handicap.. Not that it matters much since it's just a prediction and 4 is a pretty small number, compared to the amount I plan on being wrong on.

Especially with Middless-Milwaukee..

[NBAMythbuster]

I don't mind it being 4 wins off. That's trivial in the scheme of things, and those were the numbers that looked right to me. I could just be cheap and add 4 wins to the teams I'm not sure will tank, like the Mavs, but I'll stick with this anyway.

[jayjaysee]

I don't mind it being 4 wins off. That's trivial in the scheme of things, and those were the numbers that looked right to me. I could just be cheap and add 4 wins to the teams I'm not sure will tank, like the Mavs, but I'll stick with this anyway.

You are fire, buddy.

Spoiler:

(BUT bait aside; I wish we would)

[dalton749]

Golden State Warriors 66.5 under 64
San Antonio Spurs 56.5 under 54
Los Angeles Clippers 53.5 under 52
Utah Jazz 47.5 over 49
Portland Trail Blazers 46.5 under 42
Oklahoma City Thunder 45.5 under 44
Memphis Grizzlies 43.5 over 45
(tied 8th/9th) Houston Rockets 41.5 over 43
(tied 8th/9th) Minnesota Timberwolves 41.5 under 41
---------------------------
Dallas Mavericks 39.5 under 38
New Orleans Pelicans 36.5 over 38
Denver Nuggets 34.5 over 37
Sacramento Kings 32.5 over 35
Phoenix Suns 26.5 over 28
Los Angeles Lakers 24.5 under 22

Cleveland Cavaliers 56.5 under 55
Boston Celtics 51.5 under 50
Toronto Raptors 49.5 over 53
Detroit Pistons 45.5 over 47
Atlanta Hawks 43.5 over 44
Indiana Pacers 43.5 under 41
Washington Wizards 42.5 over 44
(tied 8th/9th) Charlotte Hornets 39.5 over 42
(tied 8th/9th) Milwaukee Bucks 39.5 over 43
-------------------------
Chicago Bulls 38.5 over 42
New York Knicks 38.5 over 44
Miami Heat 36.5 under 34
Orlando Magic 36.5 under 30
Philadelphia 76ers 27.5 under 22
Brooklyn Nets 20.5 under 17

Playoffs

1. Warriors
2. Spurs
3. Clippers
4. Jazz
5. Grizzlies
6. Thunder
7. Rockets
8. Blazers

1. Cavaliers
2. Raptors
3. Celtics
4. Pistons
5. Wizards
6. Knicks
7. Hawks
8. Bucks

Highlight me back if you change it, but I have your win totals adding up to 1240 (10 more than in a season).

I made some last minute changes to mine before the season starts. (Pg 1)

[HartfordWhalers]

I made some last minute changes to mine before the season starts. (Pg 1)

Snuck in before the deadline!

[HartfordWhalers]

Ran the numbers a few days ago to get a sense of how it was looking. Will have the final numbers run and the winner announced tomorrow.

[HartfordWhalers]

[psman2]

Congrats to Caliban!

Where are the rest of the entries I think I did better than a few you have listed up there?

[caliban]

Congrats to Caliban!

Where are the rest of the entries I think I did better than a few you have listed up there?

Sorry, my bad. Had this lying around since the autumn and did not know it would get posted as an official result. This is hopefully more accurate.

[Texas Chuck]

Grats Caliban.

[bondom34]

Congrats man!

[giberish]

Damn, so close.

Got the small details right, and correctly had Denver over Minny as the young WC team ready to at least contend for the playoffs. Badly missed a couple EC teams (and Houston, but no more then most there). Got 4 of 6 'most confident' picks wrong so would have lost money to Vegas.