ATLTimekeeper wrote:Anatomize wrote:Kevin Willis wrote:Wilson or Bolden are good choices for 2Pat replacement. Longer, younger, more athletic and better shooter. They can learn enough defense to fit in time and both around 21 yrs old.
Patterson in recent years has really been overrated around here.
When he's on he does the 3 + D role justice, but similar to Amir Johnson, he's putting up a lot more dud lines than he is good ones, despite what advanced metrics might say..
One look at his gamelog and he's really unappealing.
Nah, he hits way more 3s than Amir. There's only a few non-stars over 6"9 that shoot as many 3s efficiently than 2Pat over the past few seasons. Proves he's consistent year to year, and he tends to always improve our defense. He'll be tough to replace. Guys that can put up dud lines but still have a positive impact on the floor are good players you want to have on your team.
Except if you look at his stats every single season he's consistently regressed in almost every single statistical category.. .9 FTA on 71% FT? This is a guy who shot 85% FT the year prior (albeit on .4 FTA), I get it..he's not a high usage player, but I'm not willing to overpay or bring back a guy who's no longer effective and his sole purpose is to hit 3's from the 4 spot, I also saw him get burned a lot this year on switches because even though he recovers well and tries to block it he simply isn't able to block it - be it reach or timing or whatever - and the block numbers show that. He's such a poor rebounder at his position, and it's indefensible - similar to Bargnani, so people have to call him out on that.
I like what he does with his positional defense and ability to hedge, but there's plenty of upcoming bigs who are doing the 3 + D thing (and I think Siakam will be among them in due time with development - a fine money ball replacement). There's just more SF / PF tweeners and even PF / C (think Skal over in Sacramento) now who are shooters but can do more statistically speaking with rebounding/blocks. Hell, I'd rather grab a guy like Kyle Anderson for example and play him out of position - I think he's got a far higher ceiling than Pat does and has been underutilized due to the Spurs' depth and system (Anderson has been their lowest usage player the entire season which is unfortunate given his vast skillset).
Similarly to Amir, Patterson also had elbow injuries that have effected his play. Amir's ankle injuries have derailed his play to the point that he basically does nothing statistically speaking for 2-3 seasons now (just look at his recent run in Boston - he's regularly replaced by Olynyk because he's not having any impact on the stat sheet).
I also question Patterson's off-the-court demeanor - he has a lot of extra curricular activities outside of basketball (he went clubbing the exact night we lost to the Cavs as if it was just another day in the office - didn't seem bummed out at all about it) - that was one big reason why I disliked Terrence Ross - always got the feeling he just didn't care much whether we won or lost.
It's going to be a hard sell to convince me that Patterson is more than what he is just with advanced metrics, I'm really unimpressed as of late, but loved what he did in spurts when he was healthier (with his elbow) and more importantly motivated.
Don't get me wrong, there's value in stretching the floor and opening things up (similarly to when we saw Powell step into the starting lineup during the playoffs and the offensive flood gates opened with a small ball approach of Ibaka at C), but I'd rather see if we can get it from someone else who can do more all-around and has a higher ceiling.
I don't know man, call me crazy, but it's become some weird taboo thing around here to call out guys like Patrick Patterson and Amir Johnson in recent years amongst the more veteran posters of this board - they bring up advanced stats and say see, you're wrong! and it's like well I don't know man his stats look pretty god damn awful and he only does a few things mildly well, and I think it's important to weigh both the observational points and even just the flat stats, because on both he fails the test as far as I'm concerned. There's a lot of guys over on the Houston board and also Kings who will tell you that Patterson was crap when he played for them, and that there's a reason he was dealt - he always swaps good seasons with bad ones - but with us its been 3 consecutive years in a row of getting worse.
Color me excited to see a replacement in this regard.