Post#11 » by drza » Mon Jun 5, 2017 9:50 pm
Alright. This one is fun. I've looked at it fresh several different times, trying to wrap my mind around how things might play out. I'm a bit stuck at the moment, because I think some of it depends on how much interpretation we're allowed to do as to how a player should be able to play vs how they actually played in the given year (plus, with allowances for how the coaches said they'd use them). In fact, my biggest question mark is where I'll start...
1) Tracy McGrady. 2003 TMac is considered universally to be his peak, and he did some amazing things as a ridiculous volume scorer that could also run the offense. However, he traded off the defensive ability he'd shown in Toronto to concentrate on offense, and he also was operating on huge usage. My thing is...if this team were really put together, I'd think that McGrady still had the athleticism at that point to be the defensive plug he was showing himself to be as of 2001 and he also had a much better spot-up jumper than jumper off the dribble. Plus, he was a great finisher, so given lanes and teammates that could set him up...shouldn't he do more slashing to the rim than he did in real life?
Essentially, I feel like 2003 TMac had the proven abilities to play in a mold somewhat similar to his teammate, Kawhi. If he did that, his team would be WAY stronger, considering the amount of talent and that Chris Paul would be running the show. But, if he has to play the exact way that 2003 TMac ACTUALLY played, his offensive focus would hurt given this set of teammates. Not sure if there's an official ruling for how to handle a situation like this, or what. For now, I'll just move forward based on how I'd think things play out.
2) The teams, overall. Colbini's squad seems, to me, to be a souped up, ideal-case-mash-up of the 1999 - 2007 Spurs. Russell and Davis give that inhuman twin towers defense that we got to see glimpses of with Robinson and Duncan, especially in their 1999 championship run. In their mid-2000s iteration, the Ginobili/Bowen plus guys like Barry, Horry, Stephen Jackson, Mike Finley, etc gave them strong wing play that included the ability for dynamic scoring/offense creation plus excellent wing defenders. We get an upgraded version of that here, with Drexler plus peak Ginobili as better offensive wings and Iggy/Metta giving the defensive/dynamic role players and veteran presence as well. And Price is one of the best pure point guards for this type of attack...he feels like a Spurs/Popovic type player, able to be an intelligent floor general that can shoot the lights out.
3) Urnoggin's team feels to me...and this is admittedly more of a stretch, but it's where my mind went...like a slightly modified version of what the late 2000s Lakers could have been had the Chris Paul trade gone through. TMac is the analog to Kobe in talent/ability, while Odom is himself. Kawhi/Wallace is a more defensive bent than Ariza/Pau, but overall team contribution could be similar. In the perfect fit scenario, this squad would be a nightmare because Paul could be his usual offensive maestro-self, with TMac/Kawhi as nightmare wing finishers (and TMac as a secondary offensive engine, when required), and the Odom/Grant/Wallace frontline providing a LOT of versatility that could be sculpted to the attack. Then, defensively, this squad quietly has GOAT defensive potential IF TMac can channel his inner Kawhi. Big Ben is a 4-time DPoY who had great help defense and rebounding as an anchor; both Grant and Odom are sneaky strong defensive power forwards that would play well off of Big Ben OR off of each other in a more modern NBA approach; Kawhi and TMac would give you TWO unfairly athletic, long, potential lock defenders with one more of a 1-on-1 stopper and the other (at least in his Toronto days) looking like a great help defender. And Paul is a plus defender, even at the PG. Best case, that's a well-oiled machine with upside on offense and a potential GOAT defense. Best case.
4) Worst case for Urnoggin...TMac plays like he actually did in 2003. He wants the ball at huge usage and to score at high volume. This takes the ball out of Paul's hands more than would be ideal for the offense, reduces Kawhi to more of a role player when he has such higher upside, and potentially causes chemistry issues on the team at whole. Plus, if TMac plays like he did in 03, he just didn't do much on defense. This creates a defensive weakness, and also a potential issue with a Ben Wallace that was the driving personality behind the lunchpail/Going-to-work/defensive Pistons. Also, Big Ben is such an offensive liability that I don't know how many minutes he could really play in this match-up. I actually prefer, in a lot of ways, the Odom/Grant frontline as it feels more like that Lakers-style squad I mentioned. But, without Wallace's GOAT rebounding, could Odom/Grant compete enough with Russell and Davis in the middle?
5) Overall, I feel like Urnoggin's team has great upside but some potential for downside. Colbini's squad, much like those Spurs, just feel like they would be a tough, strong, defensive juggernaut with "surprisingly" strong offense, that would just be ideal as a playoff team. I could see this series going either way on a given time, but that more times than not it would be Colbini's squad that found a way to win. They'll be my vote, unless someone comes in with a case that changes my mind.