ardee wrote:1997 Dave Twardzik
1977.
Rotation:C - Robinson 32/Bol 16
PF - McHale 38/Robinson 5/Kirilenko 5
SF - Kirilenko 32/Elie 16
SG - Bell 35/Elie 7/Robertson 6
PG - Robertson 36/Twardzik 12
Should be a great series. Three extremely interesting matchups - Robinson vs Moses, McHale vs Karl, Oscar vs Magic.
StrategyOffensively, we'll rely a lot on Robertson/Robinson pick & roll. Moses in 1983 was a pretty good defender (unlike vast majority of his career), but more so in terms of low post defense, especially man to man against opposing centers, where he could use his strength, aggressiveness, and tenacity. He was also a good shot-blocker that year (2 blocks per game), but going outside and guarding someone as athletic as prime David Robinson on his hard and quick rolls to the basket, is not something that he would do well. Beverley is a good defender, but he's much smaller than Robertson, so Big O will have an easy time getting clean looks over him from the mid-range area. I don't think Narigo's team is well-suited to switching on pick & roll against my best players.
Kevin McHale was SUPERB in 1988 as a scorer - 22.6 ppg on 65.6% TS in the regular season, and even better in the playoffs - 25.4 ppg on 67% TS in the playoffs. These are incredible numbers, and he averaged 26.8 ppg on 62.9% TS against the Bad Boy Pistons in 1988 ECF. On paper, Karl Malone is a better player than McHale, but looking at those particular versions of both players, Mailman couldn't outplay young Shawn Kemp enough to lead the Jazz to the second round, so I feel very good about that matchup from my team's perspective. McHale can definitely play Karl to a standstill or even outplay him by a bit. Well, at least in terms of scoring, good case can be made that McHale is a better option than Karl in this context.
Both Robinson and McHale played with other star bigs and had success - McHale with Parish, Robinson already experience of playing with Terry Cummings in 1990 (D-Rob was already in his prime as a rookie, and Cummings was a legitimate star that year - they led the Spurs to 56 wins and almost made conference finals, losing game 7 of the second round by 3 points against the Blazers on the road, then obviously D-Rob won the title with Duncan in 1999), so the fit will certainly be good, I don't even have to worry about that.
Kirilenko will cut to the basket and Bell will spot up for threes (same as Elie). Twardzik was deadly as a shooter on open mid-range jumpers.
Defensively, we'll have the following matchups:
Robinson/Bol guards Moses/Sikma
McHale guards Karl
Kirilenko guards Magic (Bell/Elie are secondary defenders against him)
Bell/Elie guards Hornacek/Ehlo
Robertson/Twardzik guards Beverley/Rodgers
We want to make sure that Oscar stays fresh, so we don't want him to guard Magic. Kirilenko/Bell/Elie is an excellent trio to throw at Johnson, so we don't have to put Oscar on him.
Manute Bol averaged 5 blocks per game in 26 minutes (and almost 6 blocks in 30 minutes in the playoffs), so even in just about 16 minutes (which is all that I'll give him in this matchup), he'll make a major impact against Moses and Karl.
Why my team would win? Well, the battle of the big guns in the frontcourt is roughly a wash, but defensively my team has better answers for Magic than Narigo's team has for Oscar. 2004 Kirilenko was an extremely impactful player (8th in the league in PER, 5th in WS, 2nd in BPM, top 15 in RAPM, very nearly led a weak Jazz team to the playoffs, a team that many people predicted to be one of the worst of all-time, after Malone's departure and Stockton's retirement, so AK-47 had impact of a legitimate star that year), he's clearly better than any player than Narigo has, other than his big 3 of Magic/Karl/Moses. Kirilenko is absolutely crucial in this matchup because his defense against Magic will be key.