Eyeamok wrote:SelfishPlayer wrote:Great interview with Metta World Peace. He says that a reason that NBA GMs are selecting so many busts is that they are often fooled by the player that has been "held back." The held back player is one that is older and more physically mature than people in his class. These players are intentionally held back a grade by their parents/handlers so that they can dominate their competition in a way that they wouldn't had they never been held back. When that player makes it to the NBA their game falls apart because they are use to operating with this advantage. That advantage doesn't exist amongst the best vets in the world. The 20 year old Josh Jackson's name was brought up by the interviewer... So these older held back players are "ringers."
Malcolm Gladwell talked about this as it relates to young hockey players. I forget which book it was. Also the whole holding back thing works in education too. But the "bust" thing really comes down to having to do too much speculation and projection on young unproven 1 and done talent. When kids are still growing and are still developing a work ethic it is hard to predict how being thrust into the NBA limelight and money will change them, among other factors. I would say just as many players fail because they are not mentally prepared for the NBA life despite their level of skill.
Also as interesting as trading up or down might seem. BC is going to be conservative in the way he handles this draft. He does not have multiple picks, like next year and the year after. My feeling is, unless someone approaches the 76ers with a great deal, he will just stand pat and make the obvious choice. Whoever is left of the big 3. I just don't seem him manning the phones and sending out feelers for anything other than a basic 2 for 1 trade.
BC will play it safe. Then no matter what he can always say he picked the best guy available.
"Outliers"
Really tough to judge prospects because they're like woman before a relationship that they are just showing the good part and you'll live with the bad part when you get married
. Hell, the top prospects won't even participate at the combine and we're all here guessing what Josh Jackson's wingspan is.
I think BC can take risk at this point. Mainly because he has a largin margin for error with the amount of assets he has, owner's approval and he's far from being on the hot seat.
Here's the thing. BC's value system is different from us. And I know his value system is reliable for he respects the trend of the game and the REAL market value of players now and future.
I don't see BC as a guy who plays it safe. Drafting Bargnani and the Noel trade were risks. And again, long term he might have good foresight. Bargnani fits today's game while I personally think that everything considered Noel trade isn't that bad (contract wise and market value of bigs in general now and future; i won't explain it again) .
If BC thinks Markkanen is the best player available, he will draft him.
There’s never been a time in history when we look back and say that the people who were censoring free speech were the good guys.
OMG, the Josh Jackson people have no shame!