Unbreakable99 wrote:Ericb5 wrote:Negrodamus wrote:
He probably saw Simmons (and eventually Fultz) go #1 and figured he could put up gaudy stats at a small school too. Probably win more due to his talent and the lesser competition.
I think the college decisions of Fultz and Simmons in retrospect were both mistakes, especially in the case of Simmons.
If you are the 15th ranked recruit I could see wanting to be a big fish in a little pond, but for the truly elite prospects, they can be big fish in big ponds.
With Fultz he chose to go to a program on the upswing that unexpectedly lost more talent in the previous draft, Simmons went to a program that was completely undeserving of him.
On top of that, LSU didn't even let Simmons play his best role. You could see him picking a school that would give him the ball from day one, but they didn't even do that. They let him do things that he COULD do instead of the things that he was BORN to do, and that made it largely a wasted year.
For elite prospects I would only consider Duke, Kentucky, Kansas, Michigan St, Arizona, Louisville, UCLA, UNC, Nova, etc...
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How was it a mistake when they were both drafted number 1?
I would argue that they went first despite the mistakes.
With Fultz I honestly don't think that he should have gone number 1. I am convinced that he is behind Jackson and Ball, but on the same tier with them.
With Simmons, he is just a generational kind of prospect that was going to go first no matter what that year.
I think that had Simmons gone to Kentucky that 75% of his detractors would have been fans. Yeah, he still went first, but he had a lot of doubters, and I think those doubters can mostly be blamed on his school choice.
Eventually I think that Silver will succeed in getting a 2 and done rule in place, and I'm all for it. When that happens, the price of picking the wrong school will be even higher.
Imagine a blue chip prospect at Kentucky, that has to deal with an equal prospect the following year when he is in his second year.
How would it have gone if KAT was a sophomore and Simmons comes in as a freshman? That is the kind of environment that I want to see, and I think that that kind of environment is the best for the elite prospects.
You want to be with a program that is used to elite prospects, and be with a coach that is extremely well prepared to deal with them.
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