Post#422 » by ImNotMcDiSwear » Sun Jun 25, 2017 6:49 pm
As I see the west -
The top is likely to consolidate around GSW/SAS/HOU, with the Clippers falling either a little or completely out and the Jazz falling back into fringe playoff status unless Hayward can be convinced to stay. That's a situation I'm super intrigued with - with Hayward and George falling out, Gobert becomes the alpha and omega of all things Jazz. How many years until they consider dealing him? And who would be willing to pay a higher price than us?
After that, there are five teams that should make the playoffs based on their talent - MIN, NOP, OKC, MEM and POR. It's possible NOP isn't able to coalesce. That would be terrible news given their current time frame. Their implosion would be an opportunity for several potential poachers, including us.
Then there are a collection of teams that have the potential to surprise or fall flat: hard to predict. DAL, DEN, LAL, PHX. UTA is kind of in this group, as we can expect that will be as good as those teams, but their upside appears (to me) to be pretty limited, given the talent they've lost.
SAC is the only team that I'm confident cannot make the playoffs. LAC could be anywhere from #4 to #15 in the west depending on how free agency goes.
I think the Bled/Ulis PG rotation will be among the best at that spot in the league over an 82 game season. But other than that, I just don't think our young guys will know how to win - ball movement and turnovers should be problems on offense, while rim protection and perimeter defense should continue to be issues on the other end.
Unless Josh Jackson can come in and change things significantly from the start and one of Bender/Chriss emerge as an above replacement level player at 20 YO, I don't see us having much of a shot to make the playoffs.
One move I would love to see us make, if possible, is landing Deandre Jordan. If he could be had without losing any of our core young guys, I would do that. Maybe once the Clippers lose out in free agency, one of the MIA picks could be a catalyst to getting him. Otherwise, I don't see how we get to the playoffs.