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2017 REGULAR SEASON LA Dodgers & international

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Re: Barnes More Valuable Than 25th Roster Spot 

Post#461 » by Neddy » Fri Jun 30, 2017 6:59 pm

Ranma wrote:
Neddy wrote:yeah i get what you are saying, but as the article says, you can't bring up Kyle to be our third string catcher because although he isn't exactly a young buck, he still is a prospect who needs to play everyday, and unlike what the article says, you can't waste 25th roster spot on a third string catcher who has no other abilities to add to the roster's flexibility. Bobby Wilson can't play any other position on the field, and regardless what he is doing at AAA, he has proven he can't hit at the major league level. the auther states Mike Freeman is a classic AAAA player who has proven to be a none major leaguer, but Bobby Wilson is exactly the same guy who's only difference is that he is a catcher. at least Mike is still relatively unproven. Bobby is absolute garbage at the plate with more than 800 major league at bats under his belt. MIke has hit better consistently at the minor level than Bobby and has been given like 60 at bats at the majors.


I totally get not calling up Farmer as a prospect who needs regular playing time, but if Doc is going to sit Barnes because Freeman is on the roster instead of Wilson, then I want Wilson up because Barnes should be getting the playing time over any one in that 25th roster spot regardless of it's Freeman or Wilson. Yes, Freeman is better and more versatile at least as a pinch runner than Wilson, but Barnes is better than either of them.

If we're concerned about not giving enough playing time to someone on the roster, then Wilson should be the one sitting. He's the experienced vet and we don't have to worry about him while having someone who can free bu Barnes to play more. Our offense is good enough to carry a non-offense catcher on the off-chance he would play. It's a danger of being complacent to do what other teams are doing, but we can minimize such exposure by having Farmer and Wilson take turns shuttling back and forth from the minors just like what we do with our pitchers.

Again, it shouldn't be a big deal since movement for this spot should be minimized as we shouldn't need to go to the player that occupies that spot much at all. It just seems like a waste to not utilize Barnes, who would start for at least half the teams in the league just because of an fairly insignificant roster spot on the ballclub.



well, okay. maybe there is some dogmatic tradition still in me when it comes to baseball, as for one, baseball has a ton of tradition and more importantly, I am getting old too. but having 4 men bench with 13 pitchers on 25 men roster and keeping 3 catchers is... unprecedented. but then again, we now carry12 pitchers and 5 men bench since Thompson is back... so I suppose it is much more palatable.

in the scenario of Wilson replacing Freeman, whom I think is only a temporary position holder until one of the pitchers on DL returns to bring the bench back to 4 men crew, and lets just say the bench will remain 5 for this argument, (the the line up of Grandal/Bellinger/Utley/Seager/Turner/Taylor/Joc/Puig) will be

1. Austin C/2B/PH/PR
2. Utley/Forsythe (whichever is sitting @ 2B platoon)
3. **** the ultimate utility player
4. Thompson
5. Wilson - the deep safety, so to speak

with the versatility of **** and Trayce's ability to play all 3 outfield positions, and knowing both Forsythe and Utley can cover all infield minus the SS, this is very doable. in fact this may make it as the best bench in all baseball. we can even move Seager or Grandal to DH when playing AL teams to save their mileage on their bodies, and not lose a step at both defensive positions with all the interchangeable and yet very defensively competent bench. you can even say this is ideal. after thinking out loud as I wrote this, I agree 100% that your assessment is correct.

but let me play the devil's advocate here.
as I have mentioned earlier, I don't think 12 pitcher roster is for very long. one of Chris Hatcher/Scott Kazmir/Adam Liberatore/and especially, Brandon McCarthy is bound to come back and make the active roster. we do have two lefties in the pen now with Dayton joining Avilan, but McCarthy isn't going to be down and out of commission for very long. Kazmir has started his rehab assignments at A ball now, and maybe Adam and/or Chris wont be good enough to make it back, and/or displace one or both of Avilan and Dayton, but my gut feeling is that we will run back 13 men pitching crew out there as soon as we can, in part due to Austin and the rest of the bench's awesome versatility. I do think it is part of the grand scheme of things by our savvy FO to keep this oddly joined 6 men rotation until the trade deadline to bring in a top flight starter to join the rest, and even then we may still keep this thing going to keep every key pitching arms fresh for the playoffs. I really do think we are gonna run, at least in majority of the second half of the season to run 12 men position players. (of course I could be completely wrong in my assumption and we run 12 men pitching crew for the rest of the way and my claim is nothing but a big waste of mental exercise)

so, let's examine these guys.
Grandal/Bellinger/Utley/Seager/Turner/Taylor/Joc/Puig starting, the 4 men bench will consist of

1. **** the multi position wiz kid
2. Forsythe (or Utley, depending on who's pitching against us)
3. Austin
4. Wilson

now we have really a 3 men bench, knowing Wilson can't hit, can't run, can't play any other position but catch. in this particular scenario, I would rather sacrifice Austin's at bats and keep Thompson on the roster, knowing he can actually hit, run, and play all 3 OF positions. and this is without even considering either Gonzo or Ethier could make it back from their herniated disks ( which I think is unlikely anyway, but just saying)


so yeah, if the discussion is about bringing Wilson and let Freeman go free until the next move is made, I think you are absolutely right after having this thought out. but I am going to still be cautious if we are to bring up Wilson for good regardless of the potential scenarios I have hypothesized.
ehhhhh f it.
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The Value of a Roster Spot 

Post#462 » by Ranma » Fri Jun 30, 2017 7:19 pm

Wow! Well done, Neddy. I mean I neglected to mention that I don't think that Wilson is worth a permanent roster spot, but that we should capitalize on our current situation to allow for more opportunities for Barnes. However, your well spelled-out post does a great job of making me realize the actual importance of utilizing that roster spot to the fullest once things get going where players come back and are available again.

I agree with you, Thompson is definitely worth a roster spot over Wilson even at the expense of Barnes. Just like McCarthy or Kazmir would be. I just figured that we make the most of our front office's utilization of our roster's flexibility by placing Wilson over Freeman for the sake of Barnes being able to contribute more. Obviously, we would potentially and actually get more out of McCarthy, Kazmir, or Thompson over Barnes. I tip my cap to you, sir.
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Barnes Booming and Wood Dealing 

Post#463 » by Ranma » Sat Jul 1, 2017 6:45 am

Austin Barnes loudly making the case that he needs to play more roster spots be damned.

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Re: 2017 REGULAR SEASON LA Dodgers & international 

Post#464 » by Neddy » Sat Jul 1, 2017 2:49 pm

i have to say, you were absolutely right on with Alex and Austin last night.
what a game Austin had, and what a stud Alex has become.
ehhhhh f it.
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Re: 2017 REGULAR SEASON LA Dodgers & international 

Post#465 » by Quake Griffin » Sat Jul 1, 2017 6:25 pm

Love Dave Roberts.

Beneath that calm, gentle demeanor and all that class is a guy who fights for his players.

Favorite moment of the year so far for me.


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Lose Yourself 

Post#466 » by Ranma » Sat Jul 1, 2017 9:16 pm

Quake Griffin wrote:Love Dave Roberts.

Beneath that calm, gentle demeanor and all that class is a guy who fights for his players.

Favorite moment of the year so far for me.


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Re: 2017 REGULAR SEASON LA Dodgers & international 

Post#467 » by Quake Griffin » Sat Jul 1, 2017 11:13 pm

Dammit.

Now he's suspended for a game.


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Taking One for the Team 

Post#468 » by Ranma » Sun Jul 2, 2017 1:32 am

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Belly Hungry for Big Mac 

Post#469 » by Ranma » Sun Jul 2, 2017 1:33 am

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Re: 2017 REGULAR SEASON LA Dodgers & international 

Post#470 » by TKainZero » Sun Jul 2, 2017 3:21 am

How concerned are we with bellinger and his strikeout rate?

He seems to strike out a lot?
How long before MLB pitcher key what he can't hit, and that's all he sees?
USA Celtics in full effect. Amazing chemistry building experience right there for the main core of the team


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New International Signing Rules 

Post#471 » by Ranma » Sun Jul 2, 2017 4:04 am

The new international signing guidelines have now instituted a hard cap on J2 signings, though we can sign as many prospects for $10,000 or less as we want without it counting toward our bonus pool. While the Dodgers are going to be allotted $4.75 million to sign international prospects within a given period, we can trade for more salary slots from other teams to push our pool total to the maximum amount of $8,312,500, which is $1.75 million less than any other team can spend.

In relation to the possibility of signing Shohei Otani, the Dodgers can only offer $300,000 if he were to make himself available within the next 12 months starting tomorrow. This is due to the fact that the organization is still serving its penalty for going over its allotted bonus pool in 2015. The most amount of money he'd be giving up to sign with us would be $9,762,500.

However, if we can convince him to wait maybe 4 months or so until July 2, 2018 based on the end of the NPB season and the start of MLB spring training, the Dodgers could offer the aforementioned $8-million+ max as a signing bonus to minimize his losses. If he were impatient, we can only hope that he really isn't concerned about money and will be confident enough in his ability to earn a big-money MLB contract later on based on his abilities. Who knows? Maybe he can use the extra time to recuperate from whatever ailments that are currently keeping him from pitching.

Of course, the Dodgers could offer him a contract extension after his first season with the team to a big-money deal, but MLB would come down on us for circumventing its salary regulations. However, as long as we don't actually promise to give him a big contract no matter what (e.g. injury, bad performance, etc.), I'd be willing to see the Dodgers take on MLB and fight it in court on the legality of signing him to a huge contract extension as a reward for performing well after his first MLB season assuming he does so and in appreciation of him taking less money to join us initially.

To be honest, it'd be better to avoid all the pains and headaches if we could get Shohei to wait a few months. In any case, I want to pull out all the stops in order to sign the guy.


Andrew Simon, MLB.com (6/30/17)
Under the new collective bargaining agreement, which went into effect prior to this season, the rules for signing international prospects are changing. Under the new rules, every team will get at least $4.75 million to spend on international prospects. However, teams that receive Competitive Balance Picks, which are given to clubs in small markets and/or with low revenue, will get slightly more.

Any team receiving a Competitive Balance Round A pick in the Draft will get $5.25 million in international bonus pool money, and teams receiving a Competitive Balance Round B pick will have $5.75 million to spend. A club can trade away as much of its international pool money as it would like, but a team can only acquire up to 75 percent of its initially allotted pool. That means the most any team can possibly spend is $10,062,500. It's also worth noting that signings of $10,000 or less do not count against a team's bonus pool.

The penalties
Under the previous CBA, teams could exceed their bonus pool, but would incur penalties that were dependent on the size of the overage. That is no longer the case, and each team now must deal with a "hard cap" that cannot be exceeded under any circumstances. That said, penalties teams incurred in past signing periods, under the previous CBA, still carry over to 2017. That affects the A's, Braves, Astros, Cardinals, Cubs, Dodgers, Giants, Nationals, Padres, Reds and Royals, each of whom are in the maximum penalty. That means they cannot sign international prospects for more than $300,000 in this signing period.

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Bellinger's Vulnerabilities 

Post#472 » by Ranma » Sun Jul 2, 2017 4:08 am

TKainZero wrote:How concerned are we with bellinger and his strikeout rate?

He seems to strike out a lot?
How long before MLB pitcher key what he can't hit, and that's all he sees?


Bellinger was actually known for being a contact hitter before changing his swing to add more loft and adding more good weight to his body. His strikeout rate is indeed high and pitchers will start attacking his weaker zones, but I'm confident that he'll make the necessary adjustments. I'm more concerned about fatigue with him handling the rigors of a full MLB season as most rookies struggle with that playing regularly after short seasons in the minors. It happened to Corey Seager last season.
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Re: 2017 REGULAR SEASON LA Dodgers & international 

Post#473 » by Quake Griffin » Sun Jul 2, 2017 4:12 am

TKainZero wrote:How concerned are we with bellinger and his strikeout rate?

He seems to strike out a lot?
How long before MLB pitcher key what he can't hit, and that's all he sees?

I brought it up about 4-5 pages ago (maybe more).

It concerns me in the short term because I wonder how viable he will be for the playoffs. The good franchises will find the holes in your swing and pound it until you prove you can hit it.

Long term, he has enough other tools for me to forgive the Ks. Long term, I'm trusting our coaching to lower his K rate. Long teem, I'm more in love with his walk rate than I am scared about his K-rate.

I was watching PTI earlier this week and they said he hits the breaking stuff fine. His average against fastballs is not good (can someone verify this?). I think that's something we can reasonably expect him to fix without being too homerish in saying he can.


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Re: 2017 REGULAR SEASON LA Dodgers & international 

Post#474 » by Quake Griffin » Sun Jul 2, 2017 4:17 am

God bless Rich Hill.

Please shut me up. Feed me a plate of crow.


Austin Barnes continues to impress.
Logan Forsythe finally out of the doldrums.


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Hill & Forsythe Recapturing Form 

Post#475 » by Ranma » Sun Jul 2, 2017 4:23 am

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Bellinger's Weakness 

Post#476 » by Ranma » Sun Jul 2, 2017 5:10 am

Quake Griffin wrote:I was watching PTI earlier this week and they said he hits the breaking stuff fine. His average against fastballs is not good (can someone verify this?).


I actually heard the same thing but during a Dodgers' telecast. However, Joe Davis has a tendency to cite other sources like FanGraphs and social media, so it's possible he's citing the same source or came across the numbers himself.

It stood out to me because I was surprised to hear that he's actually hitting worse on fastballs than breaking balls. I took it to mean that he's looking for breaking balls more since that's a pitch that seems to typically be a vulnerability for young players, so if opposing pitchers are throwing more fastballs to him, I'm sure Bellinger will feast on them.


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King of the Hill 

Post#477 » by Ranma » Sun Jul 2, 2017 6:06 am

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Re: 2017 REGULAR SEASON LA Dodgers & international 

Post#478 » by Neddy » Sun Jul 2, 2017 5:36 pm

man I missed this game last night, my best friend from the BayArea came to visit and we went out.

glad to know Hill is turning things around.
ehhhhh f it.
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Spare Arm Plan 

Post#479 » by Ranma » Sun Jul 2, 2017 6:39 pm

I heard JOrel (Joe Davis + Orel Hershiser) discuss how right-handed Rich Hill learned to pitch left-handed with his brother tying his right hand behind his back. Maybe he should practice pitching right-handed on the side in case the blister issue returns. Having a spare arm to pitch sounds like a backup plan to me.
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Corey Crushing Southpaws 

Post#480 » by Ranma » Sun Jul 2, 2017 6:50 pm

Seager has started to heat up lately, but I didn't realize he was hitting so well against left-handers.

Also, it's not like we're in desperate need, but I'm still curious why we didn't sign the Gurriel boys. Lourdes was hurt and Yulieski seemed like nice right-handed option when there were question marks and holes on the roster. I'm happy with the roster as is,
so I'm not really bemoaning missing out on Yuli, but I still like the idea of Tito in our developmental pipeline despite the fact that he's currently struggling after returning from injury.


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