***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2017-2018 Regular Season***

[RexBoyWonder]

So with the roster pretty much set, It's time for us show our deep BB understanding in our traditionl predections thread.

Interesting to note that last year, the "Wisdom of the crowd" of Heat board actually underrrated the team, since our posters average wins predection was just 35 (while it ended up being a 41-41 season).

Last years Prediction thread :
viewtopic.php?f=20&t=1464738#start_here

How wisdom of the crowd effect works :
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisdom_of_the_crowd


So without further ado, let's get after it - All answers should address the Regular Season :


1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2017-2018 season?

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be?

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new at Miami)?

5) Who will be our best overall young player (not including Whiteside)?

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year?

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment?

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)?

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season.

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?



16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end?

[Mos_Heat]

Previous winner - HeatFanLifer

[goodboy]

Will edit.

Slot for sale. Will update post with poster x's prediction quote.

$4 via paypal. Need to go walmart tomorrow rollback.

[RexBoyWonder]

Previous winner - HeatFanLifer

4 winnersgot it almost right last year, all came 1 game close to nailing it :

HeatFanLifer - 42

BaDaBo - 40

TMIMITW - 40

dancing2thabeet - 40

These 4 knew their chit - good job good effort.

[RexBoyWonder]

BTW worst posters that were wayy off were forum MOD DayofMourning and long respected friend KingDavid.

Spoiler:

[MartyConlonJr]

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2017-2018 season?
58

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be?
2

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?
Goran Dragic 19.2 ppg
Hassan Whiteside 15.9 ppg
Dion Waiters 15.8 ppg
James Johnson 14.3 ppg

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new at Miami)?
Bam Adebayo

5) Who will be our best overall young player (not including Whiteside)?
Justise Winslow

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year?
Justise Winslow

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment?
Josh Richardson

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)?
Tyler Johnson to Brooklyn for cap space and a young cheap contract

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)
Justise fulfils his destiny, shoots 35% from 3 and 45% from the field and silences critics

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?
Top 3 Coach in the League

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.
Best distribution of scoring - i.e. 8 people or so averaging double figures, maybe more people depending on health (e.g. if Waiters plays 40 games again, then other guards will get more mins and starts etc)

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season.
Big Cleveland/Houston trade starting the dreaded banana boat. Chris Paul and Ryan Anderson for Kyrie Irving and Tristan Thompson. Then Carmelo Anthony joins the fold. Then D Wade gets a buyout.

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.
No idea

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?
Home court/Lottery. Anything in between is meh

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?
Dion Waiters health and Dragic and Waiters being able to replicate that drive and kick offense.

16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end?[/quote]
Finals loss to Golden State Warriors 1-4

[DayofMourning]

BTW worst posters that were wayy off were forum MOD DayofMourning and long respected friend KingDavid.

Dang it! I'll never live this down...

Wait a second, why are all my words in pink?! Rex! What did you do?!

[IceColdCubano]

[color=#000000][/color]

So with the roster pretty much set, It's time for us show our deep BB understanding in our traditionl predections thread.

Interesting to note that last year, the "Wisdom of the crowd" of Heat board actually underrrated the team, since our posters average wins predection was just 35 (while it ended up being a 41-41 season).

Last years Prediction thread :
viewtopic.php?f=20&t=1464738#start_here

How wisdom of the crowd effect works :
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisdom_of_the_crowd


So without further ado, let's get after it - All answers should address the Regular Season :


1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2017-2018 season? 50

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be? Yes 3rd seed

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be? 20Dion, 18Dragic, 18Hassan, 15Tyler

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new at Miami)? BAM

5) Who will be our best overall young player (not including Whiteside)? BAM

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year? Winslow

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment? Ellington

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)? NONE

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both) Hassan next to Olynyk is money

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over? Another great season

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player. JRich & Tyler @>39% 3pfg%

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season. Dragic losses another tooth and Tyler on back to back games.

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s. Alot of posters eat crow on the team after free agency.

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year? All youngster's improve, BAM gets top 3 recknosion for rookie of the year, Hassan improves passing game, Miami finishes the season with best 3pt% and has 3-4 players over 40%, Miami finishes with #1 defense top 5 offense.

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year? Improvement of younger players, and cohesion of team.



16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end? ECF losing to Cleveland in 6

[contract]

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2017-2018 season? 48-34

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be? Yes ... 4th seed

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be? Dragic (21 ppg), Whiteside (18 ppg), Waiters (16 ppg), JJ (14 ppg)

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new at Miami)? Kelly Olynyk

5) Who will be our best overall young player (not including Whiteside)? Josh Richardson

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year? Justise Winslow

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment? Justise Winslow

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)? TJ will get moved. No idea where or for what.

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? Lebron checks out mentally and the Cavs prove beatable.

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over? Love/Hate ... same as always.

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player. Whiteside hits at least 1 three pointer.

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season. Playing against Wade ... in 2 or 3 different uniforms.

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s. Someone gets arrest for stalking Pat Riley. Maybe me.

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year? Success = ECF ... Failure = 1st round exit

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year? Keeping enough shooters on the court at all times


16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end? Getting swept by the Warriors in the NBA Finals

[contract]

Previous winner - HeatFanLifer

Don't you need to get closest without going over? Or is that just The Price is Right?

[Dr_Heat]

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2017-2018 season? 51

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be?
Yes and 3rd

Will edit.

Slot for sale.

$3.99 via paypal, cheaper than other competitors. Need to go Krispy Kreme tomorrow , hungry.

Contact at Dr_Heat@bustelo.com

[HeatFanLifer]

Previous winner - HeatFanLifer

Don't you need to get closest without going over? Or is that just The Price is Right?

Thanks. I almost struck lightning with that projection. Don't expect to ever be that close again haha.

Woulda been awesome to see that Heat team play the Cavs in the playoffs. That Waiters injury at the end of the season crushed the chance.

Gotta wait to see what happens with the pre-season before making any projections. One injury to an All-star or trade in the East can change everything.

[Zasterror]

I didn't do too terrible last season but I gave too much credit for Winslow and JRich.
Leggo:


1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2017-2018 season?

46 Wins

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be?

Yes, 4th seed

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?

Dragic -19 PPG
Waiters - 19 PPG
Whiteside - 16 PPG
TJ - 14 PPG

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new at Miami)?

BAM BAM BAM BAM BAM BAAAAAAAAAAAAM

5) Who will be our best overall young player (not including Whiteside)?

BAM BAM BAM BAM BAM BAAAAAAAAAAAAM

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year?

Dion Waiters, especially from a stats standpoint
Justise Winslow, due to the fact he was injured last year

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment?

I pray its not Olynyk but he's the only one I can think of.

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)?

Too early to tell

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)

Positive - We would be one of the LEAST injured teams in the league
Negative - Whiteside will get in fight where he will get suspended for a long period of time

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?

"Last year wasn't a fluke, Spo is one of the best"

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.

Dion Waiters will finally have a career year statistically and possibly make the All-Star team

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season.

Whiteside and Olynyk will be best of friends and take selfies and snapchats with each other throughout the season.

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.

GrumpyHeatFan won't be grumpy anymore.

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?

Success - Playoffs of course but making to AT LEAST the 2nd round is true, realistic success.
Failure - Not making the Playoffs and one of the core goes down with a serious injury.

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?

The unlikely duo of JJ/Waiters must earned their contract through their play while McGruder/TJ/JRich/Bam/Winslow's development continues to improve. And yea, no serious injuries.

16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end?

Realistically, 2nd round. But I'm confident we can take on anyone in the East besides the Cavs.

[gom]

A bit premature. I don't believe we are 100% finished forming the team.

I'll book my place on the bus here though.

[KingDavid]

Will edit with another horrible prediction.

[eddieheatfan]

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2017-2018 season?
42-40

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be?
yes,8th seed though
3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?
tragic, 21ppg mion, 22ppg hassan 17'ppg james johnson 15 ppg tyler johnson 15ppg olynik 12ppg ellington 9ppg bam 10 ppg mcgruder 7ppg haslema? 1.0 ppg a .j 5.0 ppg winslow 12 ppg did i miss anyone else?

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new at Miami)?
olynyk
5) Who will be our best overall young player (not including Whiteside)?
olynyk
6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year?
tj
7) Who will be the biggest disappointment?
winslow
8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)?
winslow for alridge
9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)
bam
10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?
he is an idiot.fire spo.com
11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.
dunkathon by james johnson
12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season.
olynyk believing himself to be mcbob 2.0
13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.
iggie will let go of his mcbob picture fetish
14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?
failure not to make the playoffs or be in it and boot ourselves out
15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?

spo gets even a bigger processor upgrade,actually makes friends but his bios will falter at the end of the season.discover girlfriend was actually a man



16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end?

booted out of the first round.meltdowns ensue

[Mos_Heat]

Previous winner - HeatFanLifer

4 winnersgot it almost right last year, all came 1 game close to nailing it :

HeatFanLifer - 42

BaDaBo - 40

TMIMITW - 40

dancing2thabeet - 40

These 4 knew their chit - good job good effort.

Oh chit, my bad brehs. You did a great job along with HFL

[IggieCC]

LMAO @ 15 win prediction by DoM last season.

[SCHeat]

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2017-2018 season?

46 wins

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be?

Yes, as a 5 seed

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?

Dragic 18
Dion 16
Whiteside 16
JJ 12

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new at Miami)?

Olynyk

5) Who will be our best overall young player (not including Whiteside)?

If Dion counts then Dion. If not Josh Richardson

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year?

Winslow

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment?

Ellington

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)?

Ellington. Small chance at TJ to a contender at the deadline

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)

Bam not playing much. Winslow starts

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?

Pretty much status quo. Not a genius not an idiot

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.

Winslow over 40% shooting

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season.

Olynyk triple double against Boston

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.

Idk

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?

Success - second round with no major injuries, send a 20ish pick to Phoenix
Failure - miss playoffs or significant injury

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?

Dragic playing every/most game

16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end?

Lose game 7 to the raptors again

[Sgt P]

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2017-2018 season? 53

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be? Yes, 3rd seed

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?
Dion (21), Whiteside (18), Dragic (19), JJohnson (18) and TJohnson (16)


4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new at Miami)? White that needs a make over a-la Birdman/Legend of Doom upgrade

5) Who will be our best overall young player (not including Whiteside)?Bam

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year? Richardson

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment? Dragic

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)? Staying pat for now

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both) positive --- proving everyone wrong

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?sam fire Spo when he lineups don't work

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.
Whiteside not the Team leding rebounder... who is now BAM

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season. When Heat has 2 all stars

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.
That we over paid for a threadmill team
14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?Making it the Finals

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?health Health

16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end? losing the GSW in the finals