DeBlazerRiddem wrote:
Is that year not an option year? If not, that would change things for me. If we have an option for next year, then it becomes a no-lose situation. Either Okafor plays well and we can make something of it, or it doesn't and we let him go without feeling invested.
it's an option year, but remember, it's a rookie contract. So, that option has to be exercised before the season starts....Blazers would have no way of knowing if Okafor was going to play well of it he's a no-defense black hole
I think, if we keep Nurkic, the Blazers are just about guaranteed to pay the tax next year, and as long as we're trying to win its going to stay that way. I've been scared to forecast what the impending luxury tax bills will be if we don't completely revamp this team within the next 3 years, and by revamp I mean move on from the Lillard/McCollum era before we get into repeater tax territory.
the problem, as I see it, may be that
"Lillard/McCollum era". The basic math relationships in the NBA haven't changed even though the cap is much higher. Teams, especially small market teams, will still have a really difficult time carrying more then 2 max-level contracts. That's why OKC traded Harden. Portland already has their max-level deals with Dame and CJ. They are a talented pair but if CJ is the 2nd best player on a team, it's not going to compete for a title. I love Dame, but I even question if he is good enough to lead a team to a title. He's not an elite player, at least not by MVP-level standards, and that sure seems to be what it takes to propel a team to the finals...
and again, those two are already on max-level deals. If Nurkic gets 25M a year, then Dame-CJ-Nurk would be making 80M a year when the cap is 100-108M and the tax line is about 20M above the cap. There's not enough margin there to build a competitive roster, not when decent role players are making 12-15M a year
so, if Portland is falling well short of being a contender, how much appetite will Paul Allen have for paying lots of luxury tax? I mean, a lot of people here seemed convinced that he had no qualms about paying tax this coming season and we see now, that wasn't close to being true (unless they have something planned that add back a lot of salary---doubtful). Personally, at this point, I wouldn't be surprised if the Crabbe trade is the only significant transaction this summer. If that's the case, what are the chances that Portland gets off to their 3rd ragged start to a season in a row? What if, 40 games in they are below .500, again?
I guess mainly I'm saying that the assumption that Portland will be a taxpayer in 2018-19 might end up a significant over-estimation of PA's willingness to fork over gobs of luxury tax