MilotheSlayer wrote:I do like this trade long term for the Celtics. I think Kyrie does stay with Bos past his 2yrs. A core of Kyrie, Hayward, and Horford is really good, especially in the East. Now in 2yrs when the core changes to Kyrie, Hayward, and (Tatum/Brown) I think they become even better. They still have an awesome pick for next year and now they don't have to pay IT (scares the hell out of me).
We'll see, but I wouldn't necessarily bank on Tatum/Brown becoming core members. Ainge's draft history is absolutely terrible. The best player they have drafted in a decade is arguably Smart, who has a 12 PER. The other side of that coin is that those picks are becoming FAs, and other teams are signing them hoping they can develop into more than the role players they are (Olynyk, Bradley). I think Stevens makes all of their players seem better than they are. For instance, Smart is a key guy for them and the numbers don't support him actually helping you win. I think Stevens can make Irving much better--same with Hayways, but I don't buy that core being as great as it appears. Tatum looked great in summer league, but that has proven to be an absolutely horrendous predictor of future performance (Josh Selby is a hall of fame SL player, Jerryd Bayless, Nick Johnson, etc.. Even on the other side of the coin Brogdon was horrible in SL but much better in the real NBA).
I think both Brown and Tatum have promise, but I don't think they are likely to become stars. It is going to be a gamble, like it is with most young players. To me, Tatum is still an inefficient volume scorer, similar to a poor man's Melo, and so he has to improve his efficiency a ton and get better at some other aspect of the game. In college he was nowhere near as efficient as he was in SL, so the real question is whether he actually improved that much in training for the draft or if he was just hot for 4 games. Brown has the athleticism and defensive will but is not particularly skilled at anything on the offensive end at this point. Point being, both have a long ways to go.