ImageImageImageImageImage

Otto Porter Part 2

Moderators: nate33, montestewart, LyricalRico

Ruzious
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 47,909
And1: 11,582
Joined: Jul 17, 2001
       

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1861 » by Ruzious » Wed Oct 4, 2017 4:41 pm

payitforward wrote:
Ruzious wrote:Durant's one of the all-time greats, and I'm not sure how much better he could possibly get. He's an exception to a lot of rules. And he excelled - even for him - when it mattered the most - in the finals. That's important. He could not do that with OKC.

Zaza hit the age wall and should be declining. Joining GS probably extended his career.

Iggy's usually been playing with the second unit, so he hasn't gotten the full GS effect.

I love Green as a player, and I agree he is part of the reason GS is so good, but he's that much more effective because he's playing for GS, and I do believe his stats would would decline quite a bit if he was on a bad team. He might score more points on a bad team, but his other stats would suffer.

Again, the only *empirical* argument for your position that I can think of would be to find some more or less equivalent situation -- a player who put up outstanding numbers with a terrific team, then was traded to a significantly less good team & had "his stats... decline." An example along those lines would go some way towards establishing your point -- & I'd be interested to think about that situation, too. I imagine there must be a candidate for that scenario.

Otherwise, it's post facto stuff -- like saying that Zaza hit the age wall right on time to make a comparison meaningless between the season he played for Dallas @32 years of age & the one he played @33 years of age for GS. It's a narrative, not an empirical claim.

As to Iggy, my point was that he changed teams, meaning that he started playing with a completely different set of teammates, but his numbers didn't change. I.e., I'm not saying you are incorrect about Golden State; I'm saying that, over any meaningful # of minutes, the numbers a player puts up are a function of his play, not of his teammates.

I don't want to belabor this, & obviously I don't want us to get into some online-style argument with increasing heat. We can drop it if you like. But, in fact, I'd be interested to find an example of the kind you suggest & that I describe above.

This fits the "learning" post I wrote yesterday. To me, the operative method in building a team is simple. It's just the way we've all done it on the playground. Every time you choose up sides, you pick the best players you can! Of course there's a limiting factor, as there is with everything: you can't pick 5 PGs! & you can't pick guys who don't want to play together either.

Overall, however, the algorithm remains -- when it's your turn to pick, grab the best player available. If a player's "goodness" is a function of his teammates, that's impossible.

PIF, I don't think you've said anything new there that helps your argument. We'll have to agree to disagree.
"A common mistake that people make when trying to design something completely foolproof is to underestimate the ingenuity of complete fools." - Douglas Adams
payitforward
RealGM
Posts: 24,769
And1: 9,176
Joined: May 02, 2012
Location: On the Atlantic

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1862 » by payitforward » Wed Oct 4, 2017 5:53 pm

I may not have said anything new, Ruz, but I did make what I'd said previously a lot less clear!

In the end, who cares whether you & I agree or disagree. What I'd really like is that example I asked for:
a player who put up outstanding numbers with a terrific team, then was traded to a significantly less good team & had "his stats... decline."

I don't want that so that we can keep arguing, but because it would provide some interesting insight.
User avatar
tontoz
RealGM
Posts: 20,579
And1: 5,195
Joined: Apr 11, 2005

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1863 » by tontoz » Tue Oct 24, 2017 10:51 am

Bumping this thread to the first page where it belongs.
"bulky agile perimeter bone crunch pick setting draymond green" WizD
User avatar
nate33
Forum Mod - Wizards
Forum Mod - Wizards
Posts: 70,441
And1: 22,849
Joined: Oct 28, 2002

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1864 » by nate33 » Tue Oct 24, 2017 11:34 am

After 3 games, he is averaging 18.3 points, 9.0 boards, 2.0 assists, 3.7 steals, 1.0 blocks and 0.7 turnovers. He leads the team in ORtg and DRtg at 127 and 100 respectively; and has a PER of 25.8. He leads the team in every advanced category: WS/48, OBPM, DBPM, BPM, VORP and PER.

It really is amazing how efficient he is and how well he stuffs the box score. I've never seen someone post a PER that high on only 15 shot attempts per 36 minutes.

I like that he is averaging 4 more shot attempts than he did in each of the last 2 seasons. Hopefully, he can boost that even more.
User avatar
Dark Faze
Head Coach
Posts: 6,483
And1: 2,133
Joined: Dec 27, 2008

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1865 » by Dark Faze » Tue Oct 24, 2017 2:20 pm

It really is about coaching at this point. We have three guys that can comfortably get off 20 shots a game. With a meh bench, it's important to stagger lineups so everyone gets their shots to makeup for bench deficiency.
nuposse04
RealGM
Posts: 11,307
And1: 2,467
Joined: Jul 20, 2004
Location: on a rock
   

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1866 » by nuposse04 » Tue Oct 24, 2017 2:23 pm

He's the best player on the team right now by a decent margin.

I wonder how the offense would look firing on all cylinders. I'd say Porter, Beal and Wall haven't shot the 3 ball nearly like how they can....
User avatar
nate33
Forum Mod - Wizards
Forum Mod - Wizards
Posts: 70,441
And1: 22,849
Joined: Oct 28, 2002

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1867 » by nate33 » Tue Oct 24, 2017 2:25 pm

Dark Faze wrote:It really is about coaching at this point. We have three guys that can comfortably get off 20 shots a game. With a meh bench, it's important to stagger lineups so everyone gets their shots to makeup for bench deficiency.

Purely for player development purposes, we need Wall and Beal to get into some kind of altercation where they get suspended for 3 games or something. I really would like to see what would happen if Porter was thrust into the role of primary scorer. What kind of player could an assertive Otto Porter be?
nuposse04
RealGM
Posts: 11,307
And1: 2,467
Joined: Jul 20, 2004
Location: on a rock
   

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1868 » by nuposse04 » Tue Oct 24, 2017 2:44 pm

nate33 wrote:
Dark Faze wrote:It really is about coaching at this point. We have three guys that can comfortably get off 20 shots a game. With a meh bench, it's important to stagger lineups so everyone gets their shots to makeup for bench deficiency.

Purely for player development purposes, we need Wall and Beal to get into some kind of altercation where they get suspended for 3 games or something. I really would like to see what would happen if Porter was thrust into the role of primary scorer. What kind of player could an assertive Otto Porter be?


I'd be ok with Wall sucker punching Curry or Durant...maybe both. :evil:
Shanghai Kid
General Manager
Posts: 9,090
And1: 1,396
Joined: Jun 26, 2003

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1869 » by Shanghai Kid » Tue Oct 24, 2017 6:28 pm

Otto playing at such a high level is huge for our teams ceiling.

Otto is still under the radar. People don't think of the Wiz having a big 3, hell I would argue that Beal is underrated also.
queridiculo
RealGM
Posts: 17,934
And1: 9,313
Joined: Mar 29, 2005
Location: So long Wizturdz.
   

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1870 » by queridiculo » Tue Oct 24, 2017 8:54 pm

It's also nice to see Porter quietly being effective in this 3/4 hybrid role.

I'd much rather see the Wizards bet on Oubre and Porter being able to play the 3/4 together effectively than to commit a big contract to Morris when his deal is up.
dckingsfan
RealGM
Posts: 35,029
And1: 20,521
Joined: May 28, 2010

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1871 » by dckingsfan » Tue Oct 24, 2017 9:42 pm

queridiculo wrote:It's also nice to see Porter quietly being effective in this 3/4 hybrid role.

I'd much rather see the Wizards bet on Oubre and Porter being able to play the 3/4 together effectively than to commit a big contract to Morris when his deal is up.

This! It has been fortuitous that Morris started out the year injured to allow Oubre/Porter playing more minutes together.

I hope - I know it won't happen but one can still hope - that Morris comes off the bench when he comes back. At least for 10 games or so...
Shanghai Kid
General Manager
Posts: 9,090
And1: 1,396
Joined: Jun 26, 2003

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1872 » by Shanghai Kid » Tue Oct 24, 2017 10:43 pm

dckingsfan wrote:
queridiculo wrote:It's also nice to see Porter quietly being effective in this 3/4 hybrid role.

I'd much rather see the Wizards bet on Oubre and Porter being able to play the 3/4 together effectively than to commit a big contract to Morris when his deal is up.

This! It has been fortuitous that Morris started out the year injured to allow Oubre/Porter playing more minutes together.

I hope - I know it won't happen but one can still hope - that Morris comes off the bench when he comes back. At least for 10 games or so...


It would be interesting to use Morris off the bench. He certainly would add some reliable scoring there.
popper
Veteran
Posts: 2,867
And1: 405
Joined: Jun 19, 2010

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1873 » by popper » Tue Oct 24, 2017 11:03 pm

I wonder what Wall’s reaction will be if Porter continues to perform at a very high level. I’ve noticed in the past when Wall starts a game and facilitates his teammates and the Wiz go up by ten or twelve points then a light bulb goes off in his head. IMO he’s thinking now I’ve got to get my points (to prove he’s the man) and starts launching long 2s which then destroys the momentum that he himself created. I wish he would understand that 15 points and 15 assists is superior to 20 points and 10 assists. I do realize though that when the offense is stalled he needs to take over for a bit.
User avatar
zero2hero
Senior
Posts: 633
And1: 487
Joined: Jan 06, 2011
         

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1874 » by zero2hero » Tue Oct 24, 2017 11:32 pm

popper wrote:I wonder what Wall’s reaction will be if Porter continues to perform at a very high level. I’ve noticed in the past when Wall starts a game and facilitates his teammates and the Wiz go up by ten or twelve points then a light bulb goes off in his head. IMO he’s thinking now I’ve got to get my points (to prove he’s the man) and starts launching long 2s which then destroys the momentum that he himself created. I wish he would understand that 15 points and 15 assists is superior to 20 points and 10 assists. I do realize though that when the offense is stalled he needs to take over for a bit.


I'm not sure if I agree with the conclusion. I feel like when his team starts to get going, they're more hesitant to commit to helping off on Wall which gives him a lot of space to get off his mid-range jumper and get to the lane. And that's a shot I want John taking - he can make those.

I generally feel like John does a good job of controlling the team's pace and spreading the ball around. Although I'll keep an eye out on what you mentioned.
User avatar
Dark Faze
Head Coach
Posts: 6,483
And1: 2,133
Joined: Dec 27, 2008

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1875 » by Dark Faze » Wed Oct 25, 2017 12:31 am

nate33 wrote:
Dark Faze wrote:It really is about coaching at this point. We have three guys that can comfortably get off 20 shots a game. With a meh bench, it's important to stagger lineups so everyone gets their shots to makeup for bench deficiency.

Purely for player development purposes, we need Wall and Beal to get into some kind of altercation where they get suspended for 3 games or something. I really would like to see what would happen if Porter was thrust into the role of primary scorer. What kind of player could an assertive Otto Porter be?


He plays without John for such a low amount of time it's hard to say.
User avatar
nate33
Forum Mod - Wizards
Forum Mod - Wizards
Posts: 70,441
And1: 22,849
Joined: Oct 28, 2002

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1876 » by nate33 » Wed Oct 25, 2017 1:11 am

zero2hero wrote:
popper wrote:I wonder what Wall’s reaction will be if Porter continues to perform at a very high level. I’ve noticed in the past when Wall starts a game and facilitates his teammates and the Wiz go up by ten or twelve points then a light bulb goes off in his head. IMO he’s thinking now I’ve got to get my points (to prove he’s the man) and starts launching long 2s which then destroys the momentum that he himself created. I wish he would understand that 15 points and 15 assists is superior to 20 points and 10 assists. I do realize though that when the offense is stalled he needs to take over for a bit.


I'm not sure if I agree with the conclusion. I feel like when his team starts to get going, they're more hesitant to commit to helping off on Wall which gives him a lot of space to get off his mid-range jumper and get to the lane. And that's a shot I want John taking - he can make those.

I generally feel like John does a good job of controlling the team's pace and spreading the ball around. Although I'll keep an eye out on what you mentioned.

Agreed. I don't have any problems with Wall's game management so far this year, with the exception of some of his reckless 1 on 3 fast breaks against Philly. Wall's jumper has been off, but I don't think he's taking too many of them.
User avatar
tontoz
RealGM
Posts: 20,579
And1: 5,195
Joined: Apr 11, 2005

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1877 » by tontoz » Wed Oct 25, 2017 1:33 am

Wall takes too many shots in general. Taking 28 shots in the first game was just nuts.

He does seem to be attacking the basket more.
"bulky agile perimeter bone crunch pick setting draymond green" WizD
DCZards
RealGM
Posts: 11,157
And1: 5,005
Joined: Jul 16, 2005
Location: The Streets of DC
     

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1878 » by DCZards » Wed Oct 25, 2017 2:16 am

tontoz wrote:Wall takes too many shots in general. Taking 28 shots in the first game was just nuts.

He does seem to be attacking the basket more.


Wall taking 28 shots was atypical...he took 12 shots against Detroit and 13 shots against Denver.
CobraCommander
RealGM
Posts: 25,403
And1: 16,518
Joined: May 01, 2014
       

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1879 » by CobraCommander » Wed Oct 25, 2017 2:37 am

nate33 wrote:
zero2hero wrote:
popper wrote:I wonder what Wall’s reaction will be if Porter continues to perform at a very high level. I’ve noticed in the past when Wall starts a game and facilitates his teammates and the Wiz go up by ten or twelve points then a light bulb goes off in his head. IMO he’s thinking now I’ve got to get my points (to prove he’s the man) and starts launching long 2s which then destroys the momentum that he himself created. I wish he would understand that 15 points and 15 assists is superior to 20 points and 10 assists. I do realize though that when the offense is stalled he needs to take over for a bit.


I'm not sure if I agree with the conclusion. I feel like when his team starts to get going, they're more hesitant to commit to helping off on Wall which gives him a lot of space to get off his mid-range jumper and get to the lane. And that's a shot I want John taking - he can make those.

I generally feel like John does a good job of controlling the team's pace and spreading the ball around. Although I'll keep an eye out on what you mentioned.

Agreed. I don't have any problems with Wall's game management so far this year, with the exception of some of his reckless 1 on 3 fast breaks against Philly. Wall's jumper has been off, but I don't think he's taking too many of them.


I think if Otto keeps playing like this Walls wandering eye will gaze upon Otto and Wall will say “we do have as big 3”. I know yall remember when Beal was starting to come into his own and Wall was hesitant to give him the credit he was starting to deserve. Eventually Wall was forced into acknowledging that Beal was one of the leaders on this team and another great player. If Otto can keep playing like this Wall and Beal will start treating him as an equal and hopefully Brooks will dictate getting him more involved in the offense by design-
User avatar
dangermouse
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,628
And1: 814
Joined: Dec 08, 2009

Re: Otto Porter Part 2 

Post#1880 » by dangermouse » Wed Oct 25, 2017 2:54 am

tontoz wrote:Wall takes too many shots in general. Taking 28 shots in the first game was just nuts.

He does seem to be attacking the basket more.


Beal is too. Both of their shots have been off, relative to how good they normally shoot from mid range and the 3pt line. Otto, on the other hand, has been Ottomatic and stuffing the stat sheet at both ends. Absolutely worth his deal.

Wall will get back to being Wall, thats as certain as death, taxes and feminists being ugly. Beal really needs to step up on both sides of the ball though. He's in one of those rough patches that he seems to go through for a 5 game stretch.

This Otto plus regular Wall plus locked-in playoffs Beal would be easily the best trio in the east.
Image
long suffrin' boulez fan wrote:
NatP4 wrote:but why would the pacers want Mahinmi's contract


Well, in fairness, we took Mike Pence off their hands. Taking back Mahinmi is the least they can do.

Return to Washington Wizards