No guarantee is exactly my point. Why take an unnecessary gamble with a 1st round pick when you already have a solid young, improving player on a great contract? People tend to overvalue 1st round picks so much sometimes, its ridiculous. Okafor was the 3rd pick in the draft just two years ago, and Sixers gave him up with a 2nd round pick this year. People get too sold on the idea of the allure of 1st round pick potential, when sometimes, the safer thing to do is to see what you have.TheBrooklynKidd wrote:DarkXaero wrote:And what's the guarantee that the 1st round pick will turn out to be a player as good as Dinwiddie? Dinwiddie is not done improving, he's still at an age where he's getting better. He's a year older than Levert.TheBrooklynKidd wrote:
Cause if we can turn him into a quality 1st rounder then it’s an even bigger win and we get to have that player on basically a minimum deal for 3 years after Dinwiddie gets his big contract. Plus we won’t have to pay Dinwiddie in 2019 so we can guarantee the ability to chase after max FAs in the 2020 offseason.
Ideally we move Dinwiddie for a 1st, Carroll for a 1st+contracts and then pull up to the draft with 3 picks. That’s a ton of value and there’s a lot you can do with that kind of draft capital.
And we aren't chasing max FAs in 2020 offseason, we'll be locking up D'Angelo Russell and RHJ to big contracts in a year or so, our cap space will be mostly locked up. We'll still have Mozgov on the books which will restrict us, along with Crabbe's contract. Chasing max FAs ain't happening.
This silly suggestion that Dinwiddie should be traded needs to stop. We've got a 24 year old unique PG who is still improving, on a minimum deal. It's exactly the type of finds you hope to get thru D-league.
There’s no guarantee but what’s the guarantee that he won’t be leaps and bounds ahead of Dinwiddie?
And you’re utterly wrong about that. 2020 is our only chance to sign a max free agent with this core as it’s the year that Mozgov and Crabbe (and Deron Williams) expire, the year LeVert gets his deal and the year before Jarrett Allen gets his. In fact if we sign Russell to the Max and Rondae to about 15-20 mill we should have a little more than a max contract to offer if we consider additional low salary deals and LeVerts cap hold. If we pay Dinwiddie it will be difficult to sign a max FA without gutting the roster. Marks has referenced a time when he thinks it would make sense to go after a big time FA and you can bet that 2020 is the summer he has circled on his calendar.
So it comes down to:
Signing Dinwiddie on a big deal to be the 3rd guard on the team AND being more or less locked into the current core for the foreseeable future.
Or
A 1st round pick this year plus a path to max cap space in 2020
That’s a no brainer to me. Dinwiddie isn’t worth the opportunity cost.
Why is Dinwiddie going to be the third guard on this team? He can be this team's sixth man going forward or starter alongside Russell. By 2020, we'll have to sign Russell, RHJ, and Levert to big deals. It wouldn't be surprising if those three deals take up at least $55-60 million of our cap space. And then you have decisions to make on other guys as well (like Crabbe). We're expected to have some cap space next offseason, I would expect Marks to use it. So there's also that hypothetical contract to account for. The rest of the roster also can't be a blank canvas. There will be salary commitments and capholds to account for. We don't know what Dinwiddie is expecting and what his market valuation is right now. It's silly to assume that Dinwiddie is the reason why our cap space would get locked up for the forseeable future. If we manage to sign him to a reasonable deal, it still remains a positive, tradeable contract. So I'm not sure why there is this assumption that once Dinwiddie is finally signed to a deal that he's valued at, he'll suddenly become a negative asset.
I'm sure Marks won't be making any stupid decisions. To me, it's pretty clear that he's willing to trade veteran players on the roster for young assets/picks. If Lin opts in, he might be the one getting traded next year. This season, it was Trevor Booker. Over the summer, it was Brook Lopez. Before that, Thad Young and Bogdanovic. If there's interest in Carroll, I wouldn't be surprised if he gets traded too. Although Carroll is regressing back to his Toronto version, and I'm pretty sure no one wants Toronto Demarre Carroll.