hollywood6964 wrote:bwgood77 wrote:hollywood6964 wrote:That's a major issue though. Let's say he only takes til 26 to reach an age where he can start on a good team. You'd have to put 7 years into a guy who's just going to be a fairly good player. 7 years of toiling, giving away minutes, mistake after mistake, dropping games.....that's too long. Even if he's a decent 6th man 2 years prior, that's still 4-5 years to get to that point. HUGE investment. I just don't like high draft pick projects, they're typically high risk, moderate reward at best.
That being said (in general), I do think Bender has some skills, I just don't know if he'll put it together.
Next year is an important year. He has made drastic improvements in his 3 ball and defensive rotations, and also his passing can be very good. People complain about his defense some, but everyone else is worse.
His overall offense outside of shooting needs a lot of work though.
He's only played 91 games at an avg of 18 mpg, so he's still barely a rookie. He never got much real game time last year to understand what was important to work on in the offseason (and of course, had Watson to teach him)...so this off season is important for development.
Silly to write him off now though, but not unexpected that many people do. Happens all the time.
Next year is big. 3rd year in the league is usually a lot of what you'll see % wise. I think he has some promise, hopefully he can make significant strides next year.
But you REALLY should be looking at next year as his 2nd year...not 3rd. As it is, he's but a couple hundred minutes total more than Kuzma or Markannen already have in 46 games, as opposed to Bender in 91 games, and by season's end, they, along with Ball and a a few others, will have surpassed him.
Look at Porzingis in his first year...and Booker:
http://bkref.com/tiny/8UofLAnd then compare those minutes played to Chriss and Bender. You might say.."Hey, look, Chriss got a lot of minutes, too! Not really, when you see he only averaged about 21 MPG. Better than Bender, overall, for sure, but still not ideal.
This is why I've been so critical of how these two have been handled. Yeah, they are REALLY young, so maybe not killing them in the 1st year is wise, but now? Why are we holding on to both? By now, I think McD should be able to see what he wants to have seen, and make a decision, and get one of these guys off the roster, so we can concentrate on making the other, better.
If we don't want to go after Kemba, then fine, but there are at least 8-10 young PGs, or Combo Guards, we should be able to trade Chriss for, before the deadline.
Dinwiddie
LeVert
Russell
Grant
Tyus Jones
Brogdon
Fultz
McConnell
Napier
Delon Wright
Exum
And I'm sure I'm missing 4-5 interspersed throughout the league, but why not trade for one of these guys with Chriss?