paulpressey25 wrote:I think the Jabari trade concept is going to dominate these next 8 days.
On emotion, I'm all for Jabari coming back and being a Buck for life.
On logic, the odds of Jabari blowing another ACL are way, way too high to ever invest $100 million in him concurrently with our 4-year window with Giannis. If we're wrong, we're screwed.
On emotion and logic, if could package Jabari, Telly and Henson for DAJ and Lou Williams we might win the East this year.
Out of curiosity, where would you put the % chance of Jabari blowing another ACL over the next 5 years? Studies I've read put the reinjury rate after a revision for athletes who return to their previous sport LOWER than the reinjury rate after an initial reconstruction. I think we might be focusing on the wrong issues when we focus on the reinjury risk.
Flanagan has said recently that he's stronger and faster than before. That obviously bodes well for what we would expect to translate to the court, but it's not a given. If it's true that he's stronger, faster, and leaner, then my main concern -- that he could return to the same level athletically after a revision, where 1/4 to 1/3 of patients do not even return to the same sport at the same level of play, much less performance -- would be satisfied.
Now, the reinjury risk is still greater than initial injury risk, and there are other long term factors like early arthritis that will come into play down the road, but I think we need to see if he can cross this first hurdle and be a good player. If he comes back and against all expectations is REALLY GOOD, the only way I'm not keeping him is if I get bowled over by a S&T offer. But that first if is a big, big if.
