2018 Pick Watch (Philly, LAL 1 or 6-30, etc)

[spikeslovechild]

I guess we're going for the Mavs?

Yeah getting kind of late would be nice to see the LAL lose a bunch. They rank 11 currently and could rise as high as 8th and we'd still be guaranteed the pick. Ideally they would finish 6th

Not quite guaranteed - obviously the lower they finish the more chance it conveys to the Celtics, if they finish 6th last I'm pretty sure there's a better than 50% chance it conveys to the Celtics.

Edit: I have that wrong, a much lower chance it conveys to Boston

Yeah it would be around 15 percent. So yeah roughly 6/7 times the lotto ball flips it would be a sixer pick. I'd take those odds.

[XDevilBoiX]

Lakers lost so it was a good night

[nitocobola]

L

[nitocobola]

Even if they go on a massive losing streak( they won't) we should be fine.

The bottom 8 is set at this point even 9 if you count the Knicks
With a player like isaiah you never know but they are not that awful.

[spikeslovechild]

Even if they go on a massive losing streak( they won't) we should be fine.

The bottom 8 is set at this point even 9 if you count the Knicks
With a player like isaiah you never know but they are not that awful.

Yeah actually it would be best if they finish 6th but inorder to do that right now they'd need to make up 4 games in 27 contests which isn't likely. Plus Atlanta, Sacramento, Phoenix, and Dallas are locked in they will finish bottom 6. Orlando is tanking but they have talent so it maybe hard for them to remain there. Brooklyn will be a bottom 8 team.

New york just lost Porzingis. CHI is well CHI. So at best maybe if they lose a bunch ORL jumps them CHA jumps them MEM jumps them. Thats what three teams. That's still 8th which gives the Celtics less then a 10% chance at the pick. Also despite ORL and MEM having talent they'd have to make up 5 games in the next 27 with no incentive to win. With LAL having no incentive to lose. In a way it kind of sucks because this pick could have been so much better.

Right now it would have a 90% chance of being 11th. I am hoping they go on a losing run. Even 8th would look a hell of alot better.

[the_process]

Do you all not remember Sacto and Phoenix IT? He could score, but he gave up way more on defense. He didn’t make his teams better.

Boston IT, the MVP candidate, was a function of a top 3 coach hiding his flaws while maximizing his skills. IT on the Lakers will help them lose more. But it will look fancier, and they’ve already pretty much cleared the room for 2 max FA’s. They’re so excited to go shopping they won’t notice anything else right now

[USWAY]

Tradining Nance and getting IT absolutely made them a worse team. No doubt.

[spikeslovechild]

ATL beating Detriot is great news for the pick the the PO. 2 GM's ahead

[broseph13]

I really hope the LA pick conveys within the top 9-10 so we can pick up Kevin Knox with that pick and either Collin Sexton (if he drops to mid 1st round) or Trevon Duval with our own pick. I feel like all three of those guys have enormous potential and can make up for any dissatisfaction people have with the pick trade with Boston last year.

I have a feeling LA will win around 35 games so that should put us somewhere between 8-11.

[Kolkmania]

Losing Larry Nance jr. and replacing Jordan Clarkson with Isaiah Thomas will hurt their defense A LOT. Nance and Randle are so light on their feet, which made their heavy switching scheme effective. With Isaiah Thomas on the floor the entire defensive will be a step late because of his mismatches and Luke Walton won't scheme around it like Brad Stevens.

[Arsenal]

Losing Larry Nance jr. and replacing Jordan Clarkson with Isaiah Thomas will hurt their defense A LOT. Nance and Randle are so light on their feet, which made their heavy switching scheme effective. With Isaiah Thomas on the floor the entire defensive will be a step late because of his mismatches and Luke Walton won't scheme around it like Brad Stevens.

Yep. Hoping for a massive dose of IT hero ball in a last ditch effort for him to bring back that Brinks Truck this summer.

[Sixerscan]

5th worst record last year had 29 wins. This year the 5th worst team is on pace for 27 wins.

Lakers have 23 in the bank. So they probably need to go like 5-22 or 7-20 to stay out of the bottom 5? Seems fairly safe.

On a related note, I'm sure the Knicks wish they hadn't banked so many wins prior to the Porzingis injury. Gonna be hard to get that high.

[76ciology]

Lakers better or worse after the IT trade? I feel like IT cant reach his level of athleticism and endurance last year that he either play one end of the court to prolong his good play (that i bet wont last) or he play two ends of the court that makes him average at best on both ends (recent play with Cavs)

[spikeslovechild]

Lakers better or worse after the IT trade? I feel like IT cant reach his level of athleticism and endurance last year that he either play one end of the court to prolong his good play (that i bet wont last) or he play two ends of the court that makes him average at best on both ends (recent play with Cavs)

I always felt though the lakers were better then their record last year. Truly bad teams are the ones that can't score. If you can score you'll at least walk into a couple of wins with teams having off shooting nights.

[Sixerfever216]

Thats a great point normally the teams who are terrible cant score. Lakers arent horrible they look worse because they play in the Western conference.

[76ciology]

I’d say its likely we’re going to trade up using our pick and the LAL pick.

[OleSchool]

I’d say its likely we’re going to trade up using our pick and the LAL pick.

safe bet to make. we really wont have the room for 2 1st rounders (not including the 4 2nds we got).

Would REALLY LOVE to get Jaren Jackson (currently 5th in Tankathon mock). I dont know if if the LAL (maybe as high as 9?) and our pick (im assuming 20, currently 17) is going to be enough to get JJ

[XDevilBoiX]

Lakers lost and Hornets won. A good night

[Ericb5]

I’d say its likely we’re going to trade up using our pick and the LAL pick.

We very well could do that. I’m not sure how far we could get though without taking back dead salary as added value.

The Lakers pick is probably going to be about 9th, and if we stay healthy, our pick is going to be 18-20.

How far up could we get with those two picks? It would be extremely dependent on what the teams were above us. 6th tops is my guess.

Who would be worth going to 6 for? If Trae Young falls then he would be worth it, but why would the 6th team trade out if picking him?


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[PLO]

I’d say its likely we’re going to trade up using our pick and the LAL pick.

We very well could do that. I’m not sure how far we could get though without taking back dead salary as added value.

The Lakers pick is probably going to be about 9th, and if we stay healthy, our pick is going to be 18-20.

How far up could we get with those two picks? It would be extremely dependent on what the teams were above us. 6th tops is my guess.

Who would be worth going to 6 for? If Trae Young falls then he would be worth it, but why would the 6th team trade out if picking him?


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The draft is really strong through that stretch of it; many people seem to think it’s like a 10 men draft but it’s not, there will be some ace prospects from 10-25. I’d much prefer to keep both picks tbh.