pizza guy wrote:For the most part, I agree that rookies, especially those drafted in the 15-25 range, are not likely to make significant contributions to a title contending team in the next two seasons. However, I don't think you can trade them all away to chase established players. First, a title team needs those rookie scale contracts on the roster so they can afford the multiple $20mil+ deals it takes to be a contender. And second, let's say Vic is going to be the guy here in Indy for the rest of his career. He's currently in his fifth season, so ideally he'll stay healthy and perform at a high-level for the next FIVE years, and then potentially play another five as the savvy veteran leader. But to be that veteran leader, he'll need a couple young guns to lead! Trying to be a Finals team in two years is a great goal and I hope we go for it. But we can't afford to give away the entire future for such a narrow window.
Completely agree that it is unwise for a team to trade away it's entire future for a shot at winning right now.
However, Pacers are a little unique, in that arguably the second and third best players on the roster are both just 21.
In the timeline you mentioned, 5 years from now, where Vic starts playing more of a veteran role, Domas and Myles will just be 26. They will be the young guns who step up and takeover the team with Vic providing veteran leadership.
As such, Pacers are in a situation where they can theoretically sit out the next two drafts and still have a solid foundation of young players to build around. It's a luxury. Not that I am saying Pacers should sit out the draft for no reason, just that if opportunities arise for Pacers to upgrade the current roster by trading away picks, either their own or those acquired in a trade, they should take it.
Also, Pacers already have several other projects to invest in for the next few years, like Leaf, Ike, maybe Sumner.
I also do agree that rookie scale contracts are an important part of building a successful roster, and in this regard the Pacers again got lucky with Vic being signed to about 21m a year for the majority of his prime, so the money saved there gives the Pacers a little bit of leeway moving forward