https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-the-pennsylvania-special-election-could-matter-to-trump-and-pelosi/
The two polls reported by 538 put the candidates in a virtual tie but a 3rd gives Lamb a 4% and turnout and enthusiasm will be the turning point to give Lamb the edge. Unrelated to the story it will give VP. Biden's more centralist approach a advantage over the Bernie wing.
Democrat Conor Lamb leads Republican Rick Saccone by 48 percent to 44 percent in a survey conducted by RABA Research, a bipartisan firm. That would mark a huge upset in a conservative district that stretches from Pittsburgh to the West Virginia border that President Trump won by 20 points in 2016. It would give Democrats their first House special election victory of the Trump era on Tuesday night.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2018/3/9/1747732/-PA-18-BREAKING-New-Poll-Gives-Conor-Lamb-D-A-4-Point-Lead-Over-Rick-Saccone-R






















