Predict the W/L for the Remaining Schedule

[Pillendreher]

After the Haks game, we'll play 11 straight games vs non-tanking teams with an average SRS of +3.3. That's better than our SRS on the season.

Tie breaker situation:

Portland: 0-3 down in the season series, one game left
New Orleans: 0-2 down in the season series, one game left
Minnesota: 1-3 lost season series
LA Clippers: 2-1 lead in the season series, one game left
Utah: 3-1 won season series
Denver: 1-2 down in the season series, one game left
San Antonio: 2-1 lead in the season series, one game left

Out of our 13 games left, 5 are against our WC opposition. All of those games are basically twice as valuable because it gives us a chance to improve and punish our opposition at the same time. Can't lose any of them.

[bondom34]

Only 2 semi hopeful things to note are that Boston has some guys outb so they might not be as tough as srs makes it look and the Clips will be on the 2nd of a back to back Friday with Houston Thursday.

Need Adams for both of those 2 though and badly

[Pillendreher]

As of right now, we have the fewest games left against the bottom 60 % teams. Gotta make every single one of those count: Heat 2x, Pels, Grizzlies.

Clippers at home on the 2nd night of a back to back after playing at Houston the night before should help us. Raptors in Toronto will be tough - they're 9-1 at home over their last 10. With the Celtics, it will come down to their injury situation. And the Heat are solid, but not really good.

Going 3-1 over this stretch is realistic. That would put us at 44-30 with 8 games to go.

Time to get the job done.

[Dadouv47]

As of right now, we have the fewest games left against the bottom 60 % teams. Gotta make every single one of those count: Heat 2x, Pels, Grizzlies.

Clippers at home on the 2nd night of a back to back after playing at Houston the night before should help us. Raptors in Toronto will be tough - they're 9-1 at home over their last 10. With the Celtics, it will come down to their injury situation. And the Heat are solid, but not really good.

Going 3-1 over this stretch is realistic. That would put us at 44-30 with 8 games to go.

Time to get the job done.

If PG13 (or Adams) plays yes. Without both of them we are screwed. Clippers are fighting for that playoff seed for real

This game against the Clippers is crucial to me. If we win we can go to our road trip with less pressure (even if winning 1 of 2 would be very important).

All of our opponents winning their games. Wasn't expecting the Wolves to win against Gs and @Washington

[Pillendreher]

10 games to go.



538 says 6-4, basketball reference says 5-5. This is every game per 538:

@ BOS: -1.5 BOS
vs MIA: -7.5 OKC
vs POR: -3.0 OKC
@ SAS: -1.5 SAS
vs DEN: -5.5 OKC
@ NOP: -1.0 NOP
vs GSW: -2.0 OKC
@ HOU: -9.5 HOU
@ MIA: -1.0 OKC
vs MEM: -14.5 OKC

Interesting to me that as of today, they are only giving an opponent the clear edge once with Houston on the road. We really need to continue strong and take these next two games as well. Irving's and Brown's status for our game tomorrow seems to be up in the air. If they're out, it is a must win, no excuses. They just got rolled by the Pelicans.

[bondom34]

10 games to go.



538 says 6-4, basketball reference says 5-5. This is every game per 538:

@ BOS: -1.5 BOS
vs MIA: -7.5 MIA
vs POR: -3.0 OKC
@ SAS: -1.5 SAS
vs DEN: -5.5 OKC
@ NOP: -1.0 NOP
vs GSW: -2.0 OKC
@ HOU: -9.5 HOU
@ MIA: -1.0 OKC
vs MEM: -14.5 OKC

Interesting to me that as of today, they are only giving an opponent the clear edge once with Houston on the road. We really need to continue strong and take these next two games as well. Irving's and Brown's status for our game tomorrow seems to be up in the air. If they're out, it is a must win, no excuses. They just got rolled by the Pelicans.

Brown is out. Irving still unknown.

If they end up at 48 I would be pretty happy considering I thought about 50 preseason and didn't expect Dre missing half rhe year.

In just wanting to avoid Utah round 1.

[getrichordie]

10 games to go.



538 says 6-4, basketball reference says 5-5. This is every game per 538:

@ BOS: -1.5 BOS
vs MIA: -7.5 MIA
vs POR: -3.0 OKC
@ SAS: -1.5 SAS
vs DEN: -5.5 OKC
@ NOP: -1.0 NOP
vs GSW: -2.0 OKC
@ HOU: -9.5 HOU
@ MIA: -1.0 OKC
vs MEM: -14.5 OKC

Interesting to me that as of today, they are only giving an opponent the clear edge once with Houston on the road. We really need to continue strong and take these next two games as well. Irving's and Brown's status for our game tomorrow seems to be up in the air. If they're out, it is a must win, no excuses. They just got rolled by the Pelicans.

Brown is out. Irving still unknown.

If they end up at 48 I would be pretty happy considering I thought about 50 preseason and didn't expect Dre missing half rhe year.

In just wanting to avoid Utah round 1.

Pretty great coaching job by Donovan, amirite?

Sorry, you know I had to.

But yeah, I personally believe we will reach 50 (barring more injury) which is outstanding. I wonder what our record is after that rough start to the beginning of the year.


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[bondom34]

10 games to go.



538 says 6-4, basketball reference says 5-5. This is every game per 538:

@ BOS: -1.5 BOS
vs MIA: -7.5 MIA
vs POR: -3.0 OKC
@ SAS: -1.5 SAS
vs DEN: -5.5 OKC
@ NOP: -1.0 NOP
vs GSW: -2.0 OKC
@ HOU: -9.5 HOU
@ MIA: -1.0 OKC
vs MEM: -14.5 OKC

Interesting to me that as of today, they are only giving an opponent the clear edge once with Houston on the road. We really need to continue strong and take these next two games as well. Irving's and Brown's status for our game tomorrow seems to be up in the air. If they're out, it is a must win, no excuses. They just got rolled by the Pelicans.

Brown is out. Irving still unknown.

If they end up at 48 I would be pretty happy considering I thought about 50 preseason and didn't expect Dre missing half rhe year.

In just wanting to avoid Utah round 1.

Pretty great coaching job by Donovan, amirite?

Sorry, you know I had to.

But yeah, I personally believe we will reach 50 (barring more injury) which is outstanding. I wonder what our record is after that rough start to the beginning of the year.


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Yeah. Brewer turning into Klay Thompson is great coaching....

They would be at 50 already with a decent coach

[hardenASG13]

7-10 seems as good as possible. I’m hoping for worse. Someone needs to be accountable for what might go down as one of the bigger failed experiments in nba history.

This might sound idiotic, but one could argue that we could feel better about this season if the team 'imploded'. If it's a failure, at least it should be a proper failure, not bull like this. We're basically stuck in the middle, being too talented for being really, but also being too poorly coached and constructed to be actually good.

Nah

[WestbrookGOATed]

Road vs. Celtics (Win)
Home vs. Heat (Win)
Home vs. Portland (Loss)
Road vs. Spurs (Win)
Home vs. Nuggets (Win)
Road vs. Pelicans (Win)
Home vs. Warriors (Win)
Road vs. Rockets (Loss)
Road vs. Heat (Win)
Home vs. Memphis (Win)

[Pillendreher]

[bondom34]

7 or 8 seed.

Great

[hardenASG13]

7-10 seems like a ridiculously pessimistic prediction, since they have Westbrook, George, adams, and melo, and they are must win games!. Someone needs to be accountable for what might go down as one of the bigger failed experiments in nba history.

FIFY. 7-2 since this nonsense thread. Think they will lose all the rest? This is what I keep telling you guys, gotta learn how a team develops, and what's important in the NBA (playoffs, end of RS) before panicking all the time. It's just a really bad look. Go thunder!

[hardenASG13]

I proudly present my latest Excel experiment:



I will keep this updated as the games go on.

What's the latest update, do they have a chance in any games coming up? I know SRS is a better predictor than urgency, veterans turning it up after the ASB of an 82 game season, and how there are basically 2 teams with a better starting 5!

[Pillendreher]

The next 4 are all absolute must wins for seeding purposes. Basketball reference and 538 both have us going 4-4 over the last 8. Per 538:

vs POR: -3.5 OKC
@ SAS: -2 SAS
vs DEN: -4.5 OKC
@ NOP: -1.5 NOP
vs GSW: -2 OKC
@ HOU: -10 HOU
@ MIA: -0.5 OKC
vs MEM: -15 OKC

Can't lose vs these seeding rivals.

[spearsy23]

Winning 3 out of 4 would put is in a good position even with the GS and hou games on the horizon.

[RunOKC]

Next 3 are for the season pretty much. If we can knock all of them down another game we can afford to lose 2/4 to end the season I think.

[Thundershock88]

Winning 3 out of 4 would put is in a good position even with the GS and hou games on the horizon.

I'd think they'd be resting players too, at this point.