nate33 wrote:...there aren't many players from the 2016 draft that I'm depressed about missing out on. The only two first round picks picked #14 or later who have posted even half as many win shares as Morris did the last 2 years are LeVert and Siakam. The only guy picked 14-30 who posted a better WS/100 than Morris (over 1000 minutes or more) is Siakam. And that's using WS/100, which is a stat that I think underrates Morris' true impact a bit.
Win shares?
WS/100?
How are these metrics calculated? If we don't know, then we can't give them any meaning at all. &, in fact, I don't give them any. Win shares in particular is an utterly meaningless stat; it can't be tested in any way.
The only "true impact" -- positive impact -- a player can have on team wins is via the numbers he puts up. We saw Kieff come in 2 years ago & have no effect on wins whatever. We brought him in, gave up no other player that season, & didn't improve at all.
But, I bet you he's credited with some "win shares".
I actually like Kieff. I've objected over & over to people speculating that he's a negative influence in the locker room or, worse, some kind of "thug." So, it's not that I'm some kind of Markieff Morris hater. I'm not. But, I'm also going to call things like they are.
In any case, the key question here isn't Kieff -- it's the trade for Kieff. No matter whether how good or bad a player is, there is still some way to assess his objective value & to work out what might be a reasonable price to pay for him. Or, put the other way, to ask what is reasonable value to
get back for something: in this case for a lottery pick.
Kieff isn't reasonable value back for a lottery pick. Not by a long shot.
Now... you made the point that this move wasn't as bad as signing Mahinmi. That's true. & it wasn't as bad as signing Nicholson for 4 guaranteed years @$6.5m/year. It wasn't as bad as trading a r2 pick for Trey Burke. It wasn't as bad as giving up a R1 pick for 6 weeks of Bojan Bogdanovic. It wasn't as bad as guaranteeing Jason Smith 3 years at more $$ than he'd ever made.
But it was bad all the same.
