King of Empty stats

Moderators: Clav, Domejandro, ken6199, bisme37, Dirk, KingDavid, cupcakesnake, bwgood77, zimpy27, infinite11285

JonFromVA
RealGM
Posts: 15,130
And1: 5,030
Joined: Dec 08, 2009
     

Re: Empty stat players 

Post#261 » by JonFromVA » Wed Dec 13, 2017 8:26 pm

Ainosterhaspie wrote:One example is the scorer who gets a lot of points, but does so shooting under 45% overall and under 34% from three. These guys are wasting team possessions by converting at so low a rate, but if they are averaging 28+ per game, they are generally viewed as great scorers. It's an empty stat though.


Usually the case, but you have to look at impact stats as well; because sometimes what a team needs to win is that raw scoring, and the required efficiency to beat their opponent comes from elsewhere.
ZariaWarrier
Ballboy
Posts: 7
And1: 2
Joined: Jan 30, 2018
Location: CANADA
       

Re: King of Empty stats 

Post#262 » by ZariaWarrier » Wed May 30, 2018 9:02 am

Wow what a beautiful essay! Thanks Taiki! My Hero! :banghead: :lol:

taikibansei wrote:
JunkYardDog6ix wrote:
leolozon wrote:
Weird that someone without an argument finds a way to be sarcastic.


I have yet to see an argument from you. Wow his true shooting percentage is amazing , must be nice shooting wide open 3s when the offense is focused on LeBron. I was talking about his Minny days anyways , he was not nearly the impactful player his stats say he was.


In 2014, Love finished with a 26.9 PER (same as Duncan’s 2003 MVP season, higher than Barkley’s MVP season, and higher than all three of Bird’s MVP seasons) and .245 win shares per 48 minutes (higher than Bird’s three MVP seasons, LeBron’s first Miami season and Barkley’s MVP season). The 2014 Wolves were 6.1 points better than opponents when Love played...and 5.6 points worse than opponents when he rested. That's just about a 12-point swing.

http://grantland.com/features/kevin-love-lebron-james-trade-minnesota-timberwolves/

Who takes it from this site:
http://stats.nba.com/teamOnOffSummary.html?TeamID=1610612750

As for the seasons prior to that, I've posted on this before. His first two years, Love was a back-up to Al Jefferson. Who were the other starters? On the 2008-9 roster, it was Ryan Gomes, Randy Foye, Mike Miller and Sebastian Telfair. Of that starting line-up, only two players were NBA caliber starters—and one (Al Jefferson) played Love’s position. (This was one of the hallmarks of the Twolves throughout the "Love" era…Love’s most capable "help" almost invariably played Love’s position.) Keep in mind that Love--as a rookie coming off the bench and playing just 25 minutes a game--led that Twolves team in win shares (5.3 to Jefferson’s 4.9), and was second in rebounding, second in blocked shots and fourth in points.

In 2009-10, the starting line-up featured Al Jefferson, Corey Brewer, Ryan Gomes, Jonny Flynn...and Darko Milicic. Just one NBA caliber starter in that line-up, and (yet again) he played Love's position. Yet Kahn, ignoring Love, would argue that Milicic was the key, seeing him as the second coming of both Vlade and Webber (e.g., below):
http://deadspin.com/5588342/darko-milicic-is-bread-from-god-and-other-crazy-things-david-kahn-believes
This was part of another Twolves pattern--overvaluing the quality and contributions of the players besides Love. Oh, despite coming off the bench and playing just 28 minutes a game, Love led that Twolves team in win shares (4.9 to Jefferson’s 4.6) and rebounds, and was second in points. Keep in mind that Love also led the league in offensive rebound rate and posted a per-36-minute line of 15.8 points and 12.9 rebounds per game, yet coach Kurt Rambis (whom Kahn hired before the season) refused to start Love.

So, for the first two years, Love was coming off the bench behind the only NBA starter-caliber player on the roster. Then, in 2010-11, Love won the MIP award--and people on REALGM exploded in multiple threads about Love's supposedly "empty" stats and how "his" team had never made the playoffs. However, from March 20 of that season (when he left the game injured) until the season's bitter end, the Wolves went 0-12, losing by almost 15 points per game without Love. The box score for the last Twolves' victory that season is below:
http://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/201103110MIN.html

Look at that starting lineup for the Twolves: Beasley, Milicic, Ridnour and Wesley Johnson, with Jonny Flynn the first guy off the bench. Face it, outside of Love, the construction of that team was historically bad. The second best player on that team overall was Beasley...who would go on to lose his starting job in 2012 on the 23-46 (.333) Suns, for heck's sake! I.e., that that year's Twolves didn’t set futility records of some sort or other testifies to Love's greatness, frankly.

Did this make Love the franchise player? Nope. Everyone here knows about the contract, the short-changing in years given, and how it was given to Love in the locker room after a loss:

I have heard from people I trust that David Kahn presented Love with a contract offer in the training room -- not sure if it was the only formal offer ever made or the latest -- after Monday's loss to Houston and that Love was seen leaving Target Center with it crumpled in his hand and visibly angry.


http://www.startribune.com/sports/blogs/138024983.html

Keep in mind that Kevin Love was averaging 24.9 points and 13.9 rebounds per game at that time. If he had finished the season with those averages, he'd have been the first player to do so since Moses Malone in 1981-82.

Note also that the crux of the matter was that Taylor and Kahn wanted to save the "designated player" money for either Rubio...or Derrick Williams.

The four-year deal gives the Timberwolves some flexibility going forward and keeps that maximum offer available for point guard Ricky Rubio, No. 2 overall pick Derrick Williams or another player down the road.


http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/id/7502324/kevin-love-minnesota-timberwolves-reach-four-year-deal-opt-out

Understandably, because Kahn thought Ricky Rubio and Jonny Flynn were going to be the next Walt Frazier and Earl Monroe:
https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nba-ball-dont-lie/ex-timberwolves-gm-david-kahn-reportedly-thought-ricky-154255546.html

And Taylor thought Love was not a star:

Sometime during all of this, Wolves owner Glen Taylor -- who in 2007 accused Garnett of “tanking” -- said Love wasn’t a star because he hadn’t led the team to the playoffs, a sentiment so delusional it begs the question of if Taylor had ever looked at his own roster.

http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/post/_/id/70176/kevin-love-lost-in-minnesota

This link also gives a good summary of things:
http://www.sbnation.com/nba/2013/5/3/4296498/david-kahn-fired-timberwolves-kevin-love-jonny-flynn" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Now, Ricky Rubio was a good player overall, with the potential to improve--I thought at the time that he could even become a perennial all-star. Still, you needed to watch the games to fully understand the problems. I was actually at this game:
http://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/201312220LAC.html
Rubio went for zero (0) points against the Clippers in 39 minutes (while Love went for 45/19/6/1 on 60% shooting against Griffin ) and some Twolves fans (links available if necessary) were blaming the loss on Love/Adelman. Note that the Clippers were double-teaming Love with Rubio's guy--i.e., Rubio was basically being left unguarded (and still couldn't hit a shot). Repeatedly, I watched the Clippers bench actually LAUGH at Rubio for being too scared to/unable to score. Also, look at Pek’s stats—the guy was a potential stud, but his game was redundant with Love on there. Both were above average scorers/rebounders (with Love being obviously the better of the two). Both were also actually decent man-to-man defenders in the post--just sucked at help defense and at protecting the rim in rotations. I.e., their strengths/weaknesses were redundant—which again was a common theme of the Twolves drafts/trades over most of the Love years. Beasley (really a PF), Dante Cunningham, Derrick Williams (really a PF), Anthony Randolph, Anthony Tolliver--the common theme under Kahn was to bring in people with the same skills as Love, then force either him or them to play out of position.

So, yeah, I think Love did have a positive impact on the Twolves. However, there's only so much that one player can do.
ZariaWarrier
Ballboy
Posts: 7
And1: 2
Joined: Jan 30, 2018
Location: CANADA
       

Re: King of Empty stats 

Post#263 » by ZariaWarrier » Wed May 30, 2018 9:09 am

Wow what a beautiful essay! Thanks Taiki! My Hero! :banghead: :lol:

taikibansei wrote:
JunkYardDog6ix wrote:
leolozon wrote:
Weird that someone without an argument finds a way to be sarcastic.


I have yet to see an argument from you. Wow his true shooting percentage is amazing , must be nice shooting wide open 3s when the offense is focused on LeBron. I was talking about his Minny days anyways , he was not nearly the impactful player his stats say he was.


In 2014, Love finished with a 26.9 PER (same as Duncan’s 2003 MVP season, higher than Barkley’s MVP season, and higher than all three of Bird’s MVP seasons) and .245 win shares per 48 minutes (higher than Bird’s three MVP seasons, LeBron’s first Miami season and Barkley’s MVP season). The 2014 Wolves were 6.1 points better than opponents when Love played...and 5.6 points worse than opponents when he rested. That's just about a 12-point swing.

http://grantland.com/features/kevin-love-lebron-james-trade-minnesota-timberwolves/

Who takes it from this site:
http://stats.nba.com/teamOnOffSummary.html?TeamID=1610612750

As for the seasons prior to that, I've posted on this before. His first two years, Love was a back-up to Al Jefferson. Who were the other starters? On the 2008-9 roster, it was Ryan Gomes, Randy Foye, Mike Miller and Sebastian Telfair. Of that starting line-up, only two players were NBA caliber starters—and one (Al Jefferson) played Love’s position. (This was one of the hallmarks of the Twolves throughout the "Love" era…Love’s most capable "help" almost invariably played Love’s position.) Keep in mind that Love--as a rookie coming off the bench and playing just 25 minutes a game--led that Twolves team in win shares (5.3 to Jefferson’s 4.9), and was second in rebounding, second in blocked shots and fourth in points.

In 2009-10, the starting line-up featured Al Jefferson, Corey Brewer, Ryan Gomes, Jonny Flynn...and Darko Milicic. Just one NBA caliber starter in that line-up, and (yet again) he played Love's position. Yet Kahn, ignoring Love, would argue that Milicic was the key, seeing him as the second coming of both Vlade and Webber (e.g., below):
http://deadspin.com/5588342/darko-milicic-is-bread-from-god-and-other-crazy-things-david-kahn-believes
This was part of another Twolves pattern--overvaluing the quality and contributions of the players besides Love. Oh, despite coming off the bench and playing just 28 minutes a game, Love led that Twolves team in win shares (4.9 to Jefferson’s 4.6) and rebounds, and was second in points. Keep in mind that Love also led the league in offensive rebound rate and posted a per-36-minute line of 15.8 points and 12.9 rebounds per game, yet coach Kurt Rambis (whom Kahn hired before the season) refused to start Love.

So, for the first two years, Love was coming off the bench behind the only NBA starter-caliber player on the roster. Then, in 2010-11, Love won the MIP award--and people on REALGM exploded in multiple threads about Love's supposedly "empty" stats and how "his" team had never made the playoffs. However, from March 20 of that season (when he left the game injured) until the season's bitter end, the Wolves went 0-12, losing by almost 15 points per game without Love. The box score for the last Twolves' victory that season is below:
http://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/201103110MIN.html

Look at that starting lineup for the Twolves: Beasley, Milicic, Ridnour and Wesley Johnson, with Jonny Flynn the first guy off the bench. Face it, outside of Love, the construction of that team was historically bad. The second best player on that team overall was Beasley...who would go on to lose his starting job in 2012 on the 23-46 (.333) Suns, for heck's sake! I.e., that that year's Twolves didn’t set futility records of some sort or other testifies to Love's greatness, frankly.

Did this make Love the franchise player? Nope. Everyone here knows about the contract, the short-changing in years given, and how it was given to Love in the locker room after a loss:

I have heard from people I trust that David Kahn presented Love with a contract offer in the training room -- not sure if it was the only formal offer ever made or the latest -- after Monday's loss to Houston and that Love was seen leaving Target Center with it crumpled in his hand and visibly angry.


http://www.startribune.com/sports/blogs/138024983.html

Keep in mind that Kevin Love was averaging 24.9 points and 13.9 rebounds per game at that time. If he had finished the season with those averages, he'd have been the first player to do so since Moses Malone in 1981-82.

Note also that the crux of the matter was that Taylor and Kahn wanted to save the "designated player" money for either Rubio...or Derrick Williams.

The four-year deal gives the Timberwolves some flexibility going forward and keeps that maximum offer available for point guard Ricky Rubio, No. 2 overall pick Derrick Williams or another player down the road.


http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/id/7502324/kevin-love-minnesota-timberwolves-reach-four-year-deal-opt-out

Understandably, because Kahn thought Ricky Rubio and Jonny Flynn were going to be the next Walt Frazier and Earl Monroe:
https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nba-ball-dont-lie/ex-timberwolves-gm-david-kahn-reportedly-thought-ricky-154255546.html

And Taylor thought Love was not a star:

Sometime during all of this, Wolves owner Glen Taylor -- who in 2007 accused Garnett of “tanking” -- said Love wasn’t a star because he hadn’t led the team to the playoffs, a sentiment so delusional it begs the question of if Taylor had ever looked at his own roster.

http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/post/_/id/70176/kevin-love-lost-in-minnesota

This link also gives a good summary of things:
http://www.sbnation.com/nba/2013/5/3/4296498/david-kahn-fired-timberwolves-kevin-love-jonny-flynn" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Now, Ricky Rubio was a good player overall, with the potential to improve--I thought at the time that he could even become a perennial all-star. Still, you needed to watch the games to fully understand the problems. I was actually at this game:
http://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/201312220LAC.html
Rubio went for zero (0) points against the Clippers in 39 minutes (while Love went for 45/19/6/1 on 60% shooting against Griffin ) and some Twolves fans (links available if necessary) were blaming the loss on Love/Adelman. Note that the Clippers were double-teaming Love with Rubio's guy--i.e., Rubio was basically being left unguarded (and still couldn't hit a shot). Repeatedly, I watched the Clippers bench actually LAUGH at Rubio for being too scared to/unable to score. Also, look at Pek’s stats—the guy was a potential stud, but his game was redundant with Love on there. Both were above average scorers/rebounders (with Love being obviously the better of the two). Both were also actually decent man-to-man defenders in the post--just sucked at help defense and at protecting the rim in rotations. I.e., their strengths/weaknesses were redundant—which again was a common theme of the Twolves drafts/trades over most of the Love years. Beasley (really a PF), Dante Cunningham, Derrick Williams (really a PF), Anthony Randolph, Anthony Tolliver--the common theme under Kahn was to bring in people with the same skills as Love, then force either him or them to play out of position.

So, yeah, I think Love did have a positive impact on the Twolves. However, there's only so much that one player can do.

Return to The General Board