'17-'18 POY discussion

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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4961 » by iggymcfrack » Mon Jun 18, 2018 9:03 pm

From voting thread:

4. Kevin Durant. Yeah i'm not putting Oladipo over him lol, he's hated here and i get it i'm not a big fan myself but come on he was a top 5 player this season. Aside from a few bad games against Houston he seemed pretty consistent and impactful in the playoffs. People say his impact stats were weak in the regular season, but yet give Lebron a pass? Lebron on/off +2.4, KD +1.4 for their regular seasons. If we don't care what Lebron does in the regular season why shouldn't KD get the same benefit of the doubt as long as he delivers in the playoffs? And i hope someone responds to this because if you have Lebron number 1, KD can't go lower than 5th.


Postseason stats
LeBron James: 32.2 PER, .619 TS%, .269 WS/48, 14.0 BPM
Kevin Durant: 25.1 PER, .606 TS%, .237 WS/48, 6.4 BPM
Victor Oladipo: 22.0 PER, .548 TS%, .160 WS/48, 7.6 BPM

There's a pretty huge difference between what Durant did and James did. Durant's numbers actually dipped from the regular season by about the same amount as Oladipo's. Given that Oladipo outperformed him during hte regular season in impact stats largely due to his wing defense (4th best DRPM in the league among wings), and that Oladipo's on/off during the playoffs was +19.7 compared to +10.8 for KD, I don't even see any reason to think Durant outperformed Oladipo in the playoffs.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4962 » by MyUniBroDavis » Mon Jun 18, 2018 9:56 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:Lebron breaking his hand was an idiotic move but he played better than harden did against the warriors with a broken hand

I don’t really buy the arguements defending hardens offensive performance against the warriors, and even if those arguements were valid lebron essentially did some of those things that people are defending harden for to a greater degree

(Such as the turnover and fast break arguements, I would think that Chris Paul would be the main reason for this considering the teams turnover rate went up with harden on the floor throughout the playoffs and Paul was he player who has a reputation of consistently decreasing the turnover rate his entire career. And it went back up whenever Paul was hurt. Regardless, when it comes to stopping fast breaks the warriors had a lower steals rate against the cavs than the rockets. I think he just missed shots honestly, most were harder than before because they were trying to slow the game down. The only thing that has some merit is the three pointers not leading to fast breaks, but that’s hardly enough of an excuse to salvage his performance imo).


I think there's a real danger of essentially separating offense from defense like they don't effect each other. The finals were an extremely offensive series while the WCF was much more defensive. The WCF saw everyone on both sides utterly spent and putting up weaker numbers. The finals essentially was a stats bonanza.

If LeBron keeps playing like he did in Game 1 that's different, but LeBron's Game 2-4 performances? That defensive context looks pretty dang large to me there. Then you get into the general idiocy, the damage to vibe, and the fact that this is just a recurrence of what was going on all year with the soap opera that is LeBron now.


Oh I totally understand that, like I didn’t deny that hardens offense led to less fastbreak opportunities. I don’t understand what you mean from the game 2-4 performances though, he took some possessions off on D but he was good when called upon and I think the positives probably outweighed the negatives, and offensively he still performed. It wasn’t the best of lebron but I think he did fine.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4963 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Jun 18, 2018 10:14 pm

MyUniBroDavis wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:Lebron breaking his hand was an idiotic move but he played better than harden did against the warriors with a broken hand

I don’t really buy the arguements defending hardens offensive performance against the warriors, and even if those arguements were valid lebron essentially did some of those things that people are defending harden for to a greater degree

(Such as the turnover and fast break arguements, I would think that Chris Paul would be the main reason for this considering the teams turnover rate went up with harden on the floor throughout the playoffs and Paul was he player who has a reputation of consistently decreasing the turnover rate his entire career. And it went back up whenever Paul was hurt. Regardless, when it comes to stopping fast breaks the warriors had a lower steals rate against the cavs than the rockets. I think he just missed shots honestly, most were harder than before because they were trying to slow the game down. The only thing that has some merit is the three pointers not leading to fast breaks, but that’s hardly enough of an excuse to salvage his performance imo).


I think there's a real danger of essentially separating offense from defense like they don't effect each other. The finals were an extremely offensive series while the WCF was much more defensive. The WCF saw everyone on both sides utterly spent and putting up weaker numbers. The finals essentially was a stats bonanza.

If LeBron keeps playing like he did in Game 1 that's different, but LeBron's Game 2-4 performances? That defensive context looks pretty dang large to me there. Then you get into the general idiocy, the damage to vibe, and the fact that this is just a recurrence of what was going on all year with the soap opera that is LeBron now.


Oh I totally understand that, like I didn’t deny that hardens offense led to less fastbreak opportunities. I don’t understand what you mean from the game 2-4 performances though, he took some possessions off on D but he was good when called upon and I think the positives probably outweighed the negatives, and offensively he still performed. It wasn’t the best of lebron but I think he did fine.


LeBron scored 51 points in the first game. He averaged barely more than half of that over the rest of the series.

Not saying that was bad, but people are making the case that LeBron was clear-cut better than Harden in those 3 games, and I don't think it is so clear-cut.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4964 » by pelifan » Mon Jun 18, 2018 10:22 pm

eminence wrote:3. Draymond Green - Storyline similar to LBJ in many ways, unimpressive regular season, went to work in the playoffs. Thought he was the best player in the two biggest series of the playoffs (vs Rockets/Pelicans). His/the Warriors defense through the playoffs was absolutely phenomenal.

4. Anthony Davis - Better regular season than the two above him and a monstrous first round. Think he's really made some defensive strides in recent seasons, seems like you can really count on him on that end even if he's not quite at the very top of the heap. Dray outplayed him head to head come 2nd round though and didn't have the cushion Harden did to stay ahead.


Your Green homerism has reached a ridiculous level. I'd like to hear your actual argument here because as someone who watched this series this take feels absurd.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4965 » by MyUniBroDavis » Mon Jun 18, 2018 11:31 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
I think there's a real danger of essentially separating offense from defense like they don't effect each other. The finals were an extremely offensive series while the WCF was much more defensive. The WCF saw everyone on both sides utterly spent and putting up weaker numbers. The finals essentially was a stats bonanza.

If LeBron keeps playing like he did in Game 1 that's different, but LeBron's Game 2-4 performances? That defensive context looks pretty dang large to me there. Then you get into the general idiocy, the damage to vibe, and the fact that this is just a recurrence of what was going on all year with the soap opera that is LeBron now.


Oh I totally understand that, like I didn’t deny that hardens offense led to less fastbreak opportunities. I don’t understand what you mean from the game 2-4 performances though, he took some possessions off on D but he was good when called upon and I think the positives probably outweighed the negatives, and offensively he still performed. It wasn’t the best of lebron but I think he did fine.


LeBron scored 51 points in the first game. He averaged barely more than half of that over the rest of the series.

Not saying that was bad, but people are making the case that LeBron was clear-cut better than Harden in those 3 games, and I don't think it is so clear-cut.



My main thing is

I’m willing to concede that hardens defense was more important than lebrons in their respective series, because he was being targeted and generally stepped up which kinda killed the warriors game plan for the first 5-6 games, but not neccessarily better.

But my problem is that the lebrons style not only arguably does more in terms of trying to do what harden might be trying to do on offense more efficiently (allowing teammates to rest for defense). With the only gripe being that his long contested step backs might lead to less fast break opportunities for the warriors than lebrons mismatch drive or kick offense (which I don’t believe personally, and lebron generally carries a higher offensive load while having less live ball turnovers anyway) but it does this while attacking the warriors defense pretty well anyway.

Like, the cavs iirc had a comparable number of open and wide open three point shots to the rockets vs the warriors anyway. (And the rockets warriors games had a faster pace as well, and this is also taking into account the cavs inability to force live ball steals which lead to fast break opportunities which lead to more open break threes or open layups)

But the cavs managed to shoot 7% contested three pointers, and 31% on open three pointers. They only shot wide open three point shots well, and it was at 40%, which is expected for a three point shooting team for wide open shots

We know almost all of these open shots are generated by lebron, either by a secondary assist from his drives or when him driving in causes rotations and destroys the defense and lets loose an open three.

I mean a lot of people like to say “curry guarded lebron really well” but from what I saw, lebron could have easily scored more on curry but he didn’t because the defense has to hella rotate to stop that mismatch, leaving an open three. The problem is the open three keeps bricking.

In terms of assists for creation load, considering the cavs generally didn’t shoot contested shots (they attempted 9 contested jump shots per game in the last 3, 4.4 of these were threes) that means they must have gotten good shots (either paint shots or open jump shots, mostly threes) meaning that lebrons offense worked in terms of getting players good shots and his potential assists aren’t he throws it and player x has to shoot it and this is a potential assist for lebron even though he doesent deserve it

This is important because lebron averaged a whopping 25.7 potential assists per game for the last 3 games.

Paul and harden combined averaged 23.6 potential assists the entire series

I understand the box score vs impact argument when it comes to players that prevent an offense from getting good shots because of the way they play, but

If lebron scores far more efficiently (harden was woefully effecient), creates more efficiently (less turnovers on higher creation load) and the offense gets shots just as good, arguably better, performs better against the same team, while doing all the same things of the offense stopping the opposing offense but as good or better (limiting live ball turnovers to prevent fast breaks, three point shots to prevent fast breaks from drives which they didn’t really do against lebron drives anyw, allowing players to rest on offense for more available defensive intensity and stamina)

I mean we are talking about a cavs team where they have maybe 3 playoff level rotation players (korver, nance, hill) and the only other all star a stretch 4 with a broken thumb that seems to clearly have effected his shot, and lebron took this team to the finals, with a game 1 where his own teammates betrayed him and a game 3 where Durant finally Duranted (and when Durant Durant’s obviously nothing is gonna stop him).
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4966 » by eminence » Tue Jun 19, 2018 12:26 am

pelifan wrote:
eminence wrote:3. Draymond Green - Storyline similar to LBJ in many ways, unimpressive regular season, went to work in the playoffs. Thought he was the best player in the two biggest series of the playoffs (vs Rockets/Pelicans). His/the Warriors defense through the playoffs was absolutely phenomenal.

4. Anthony Davis - Better regular season than the two above him and a monstrous first round. Think he's really made some defensive strides in recent seasons, seems like you can really count on him on that end even if he's not quite at the very top of the heap. Dray outplayed him head to head come 2nd round though and didn't have the cushion Harden did to stay ahead.


Your Green homerism has reached a ridiculous level. I'd like to hear your actual argument here because as someone who watched this series this take feels absurd.


Which part is confusing to you? Seems pretty straightforward to me.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4967 » by dhsilv2 » Tue Jun 19, 2018 12:40 am

pelifan wrote:
eminence wrote:3. Draymond Green - Storyline similar to LBJ in many ways, unimpressive regular season, went to work in the playoffs. Thought he was the best player in the two biggest series of the playoffs (vs Rockets/Pelicans). His/the Warriors defense through the playoffs was absolutely phenomenal.

4. Anthony Davis - Better regular season than the two above him and a monstrous first round. Think he's really made some defensive strides in recent seasons, seems like you can really count on him on that end even if he's not quite at the very top of the heap. Dray outplayed him head to head come 2nd round though and didn't have the cushion Harden did to stay ahead.


Your Green homerism has reached a ridiculous level. I'd like to hear your actual argument here because as someone who watched this series this take feels absurd.


I strongly considered green for the 5 spot and 2 on DPOY based on similar thinking. Green was the key piece for the warriors against the rockets. He had an outstanding playoffs overall.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4968 » by pelifan » Tue Jun 19, 2018 1:02 am

eminence wrote:
pelifan wrote:
eminence wrote:3. Draymond Green - Storyline similar to LBJ in many ways, unimpressive regular season, went to work in the playoffs. Thought he was the best player in the two biggest series of the playoffs (vs Rockets/Pelicans). His/the Warriors defense through the playoffs was absolutely phenomenal.

4. Anthony Davis - Better regular season than the two above him and a monstrous first round. Think he's really made some defensive strides in recent seasons, seems like you can really count on him on that end even if he's not quite at the very top of the heap. Dray outplayed him head to head come 2nd round though and didn't have the cushion Harden did to stay ahead.


Your Green homerism has reached a ridiculous level. I'd like to hear your actual argument here because as someone who watched this series this take feels absurd.


Which part is confusing to you? Seems pretty straightforward to me.


your Green outplayed Davis has no evidence
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4969 » by eminence » Tue Jun 19, 2018 1:07 am

PCProductions wrote:
mischievous wrote:
eminence wrote:
3. Draymond Green - Storyline similar to LBJ in many ways, unimpressive regular season, went to work in the playoffs. Thought he was the best player in the two biggest series of the playoffs (vs Rockets/Pelicans). His/the Warriors defense through the playoffs was absolutely phenomenal.

Do you really believe this Draymond stuff, or are you just daring to be different?

The Warriors had the best defense of any team in the playoffs and they played seven of their games against Houston.


Yeah, they were something dumb like a -7 rDrating through the playoffs.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4970 » by eminence » Tue Jun 19, 2018 1:22 am

pelifan wrote:
eminence wrote:
pelifan wrote:
Your Green homerism has reached a ridiculous level. I'd like to hear your actual argument here because as someone who watched this series this take feels absurd.


Which part is confusing to you? Seems pretty straightforward to me.


your Green outplayed Davis has no evidence


Pels offense consistently being blown up? Ran the Warriors offense while Curry eased back in and held it together.

What evidence would you give to the contrary?
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4971 » by pelifan » Tue Jun 19, 2018 1:34 am

eminence wrote:
pelifan wrote:
eminence wrote:
Which part is confusing to you? Seems pretty straightforward to me.


your Green outplayed Davis has no evidence


Pels offense consistently being blown up? Ran the Warriors offense while Curry eased back in and held it together.

What evidence would you give to the contrary?


Anthony Davis had 28 and 15 while getting hosed on foul calls. He's a much better player than Green and it showed. The Pelicans didnt even guard Green, and he hurt them for it but Davis is so much better than Green.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4972 » by Missing Rings » Tue Jun 19, 2018 1:54 am

pelifan wrote:
eminence wrote:
pelifan wrote:
your Green outplayed Davis has no evidence


Pels offense consistently being blown up? Ran the Warriors offense while Curry eased back in and held it together.

What evidence would you give to the contrary?


Anthony Davis had 28 and 15 while getting hosed on foul calls. He's a much better player than Green and it showed. The Pelicans didnt even guard Green, and he hurt them for it but Davis is so much better than Green.


1. Anthony Davis led the Pelicans to a whopping 100.3 Offensive Rating (down 9.3 from the regular season)
2. His 53.3 TS% was only slightly better than his teams 52.4 TS%
3. He wasn't able to create for others (more turnovers than assists)
4. Davis wasn't able to exploit Golden State in the post. He still isn't great at post-ups and isn't a good passer.

All said, Green has a case over Davis, but I personally wouldn't argue it. I had Davis #3 this season and Draymond #4 with a decent gap between them.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4973 » by pelifan » Tue Jun 19, 2018 2:23 am

Missing Rings wrote:
pelifan wrote:
eminence wrote:
Pels offense consistently being blown up? Ran the Warriors offense while Curry eased back in and held it together.

What evidence would you give to the contrary?


Anthony Davis had 28 and 15 while getting hosed on foul calls. He's a much better player than Green and it showed. The Pelicans didnt even guard Green, and he hurt them for it but Davis is so much better than Green.


1. Anthony Davis led the Pelicans to a whopping 100.3 Offensive Rating (down 9.3 from the regular season)
2. His 53.3 TS% was only slightly better than his teams 52.4 TS%
3. He wasn't able to create for others (more turnovers than assists)
4. Davis wasn't able to exploit Golden State in the post. He still isn't great at post-ups and isn't a good passer.

All said, Green has a case over Davis, but I personally wouldn't argue it. I had Davis #3 this season and Draymond #4 with a decent gap between them.


Davis was the focus of GS's entire defensive gameplan. Davis did a good job considering he couldnt rely on team offense and had to do most of it himself. He went away from the post because he wasnt getting foul calls and was getting doubled before the ball showed up. The fact Davis was able to do as much as he did was the product of his own greatness.

The rest of the team should have taken advantage of this. Especially Niko who didnt show up this series.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4974 » by dhsilv2 » Tue Jun 19, 2018 4:13 am

pelifan wrote:
Missing Rings wrote:
pelifan wrote:
Anthony Davis had 28 and 15 while getting hosed on foul calls. He's a much better player than Green and it showed. The Pelicans didnt even guard Green, and he hurt them for it but Davis is so much better than Green.


1. Anthony Davis led the Pelicans to a whopping 100.3 Offensive Rating (down 9.3 from the regular season)
2. His 53.3 TS% was only slightly better than his teams 52.4 TS%
3. He wasn't able to create for others (more turnovers than assists)
4. Davis wasn't able to exploit Golden State in the post. He still isn't great at post-ups and isn't a good passer.

All said, Green has a case over Davis, but I personally wouldn't argue it. I had Davis #3 this season and Draymond #4 with a decent gap between them.


Davis was the focus of GS's entire defensive gameplan. Davis did a good job considering he couldnt rely on team offense and had to do most of it himself. He went away from the post because he wasnt getting foul calls and was getting doubled before the ball showed up. The fact Davis was able to do as much as he did was the product of his own greatness.

The rest of the team should have taken advantage of this. Especially Niko who didnt show up this series.


A 30 point scorer was the focus of a defense? You don't say?

The problem is Davis can't make the passes that allow his teammates to exploit double teams like well...really just about any other star in the league. I'm a huge AD fan, but he still has some glaring holes in his game on both ends of the court. It's always why he STILL might have the most upside of any player in the league, but passing (court vision, timing, knowing when to give the ball up, reading the zone) is still a huge issue and why the warriors were able to do what they did to the Pelicans.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4975 » by HeartBreakKid » Tue Jun 19, 2018 4:28 am

Missing Rings wrote:
4. Draymond Green

Ahh, the player who wouldn't be "top 20" without Curry. The guy who is only good because he plays with good teammates, yada yada yada. He was the best defensive player in the post-season leading the post-season in Steals, 2nd in Blocks, 1st in Defensive Rebounds, Charges Drawn, Deflections, Contested 2 pointers, Contested 3 pointers, and box-outs. We are looking a modern day Dennis Rodman who is also the vocal leader of his team on and off the court. Combined with his ability to run point-forward for stretches of the game makes him one of the most versatile players in the Game.



Is this per game? If this is total then it's not that impressive when you take into account he played a lot of PS games.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4976 » by clyde21 » Tue Jun 19, 2018 4:37 am

dhsilv2 wrote:
pelifan wrote:
Missing Rings wrote:
1. Anthony Davis led the Pelicans to a whopping 100.3 Offensive Rating (down 9.3 from the regular season)
2. His 53.3 TS% was only slightly better than his teams 52.4 TS%
3. He wasn't able to create for others (more turnovers than assists)
4. Davis wasn't able to exploit Golden State in the post. He still isn't great at post-ups and isn't a good passer.

All said, Green has a case over Davis, but I personally wouldn't argue it. I had Davis #3 this season and Draymond #4 with a decent gap between them.


Davis was the focus of GS's entire defensive gameplan. Davis did a good job considering he couldnt rely on team offense and had to do most of it himself. He went away from the post because he wasnt getting foul calls and was getting doubled before the ball showed up. The fact Davis was able to do as much as he did was the product of his own greatness.

The rest of the team should have taken advantage of this. Especially Niko who didnt show up this series.


A 30 point scorer was the focus of a defense? You don't say?

The problem is Davis can't make the passes that allow his teammates to exploit double teams like well...really just about any other star in the league. I'm a huge AD fan, but he still has some glaring holes in his game on both ends of the court. It's always why he STILL might have the most upside of any player in the league, but passing (court vision, timing, knowing when to give the ball up, reading the zone) is still a huge issue and why the warriors were able to do what they did to the Pelicans.


This is true. Being double-teamed doesn't matter if you don't know how to exploit it.

Davis still has room for improvement, which is scary to think about.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4977 » by NinjaSheppard » Tue Jun 19, 2018 5:04 am

Whatever glaring hole Davis has in his offensive game doesn't compare to the fact that teams pretend Draymond Green isn't on the basketball court when the Warriors are on offense.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4978 » by Missing Rings » Tue Jun 19, 2018 5:43 am

HeartBreakKid wrote:
Missing Rings wrote:
4. Draymond Green

Ahh, the player who wouldn't be "top 20" without Curry. The guy who is only good because he plays with good teammates, yada yada yada. He was the best defensive player in the post-season leading the post-season in Steals, 2nd in Blocks, 1st in Defensive Rebounds, Charges Drawn, Deflections, Contested 2 pointers, Contested 3 pointers, and box-outs. We are looking a modern day Dennis Rodman who is also the vocal leader of his team on and off the court. Combined with his ability to run point-forward for stretches of the game makes him one of the most versatile players in the Game.



Is this per game? If this is total then it's not that impressive when you take into account he played a lot of PS games.


It isn't that impressive that he was a key reason his team won the NBA Championship and held the best offense (one of the best ever) to a -9.8 Offensive Rating?
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4979 » by Missing Rings » Tue Jun 19, 2018 5:44 am

NinjaSheppard wrote:Whatever glaring hole Davis has in his offensive game doesn't compare to the fact that teams pretend Draymond Green isn't on the basketball court when the Warriors are on offense.


And Draymond Green makes them pay for it by being a fantastic passer.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#4980 » by pelifan » Tue Jun 19, 2018 5:44 am

clyde21 wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
pelifan wrote:
Davis was the focus of GS's entire defensive gameplan. Davis did a good job considering he couldnt rely on team offense and had to do most of it himself. He went away from the post because he wasnt getting foul calls and was getting doubled before the ball showed up. The fact Davis was able to do as much as he did was the product of his own greatness.

The rest of the team should have taken advantage of this. Especially Niko who didnt show up this series.


A 30 point scorer was the focus of a defense? You don't say?

The problem is Davis can't make the passes that allow his teammates to exploit double teams like well...really just about any other star in the league. I'm a huge AD fan, but he still has some glaring holes in his game on both ends of the court. It's always why he STILL might have the most upside of any player in the league, but passing (court vision, timing, knowing when to give the ball up, reading the zone) is still a huge issue and why the warriors were able to do what they did to the Pelicans.


This is true. Being double-teamed doesn't matter if you don't know how to exploit it.

Davis still has room for improvement, which is scary to think about.


Think you're underrating the ability of modern defensive schemes to swallow post players. The Warriors would shade help to AD offball in order for Davis to catch the ball in unadvantageous position and then let him go one on one.

Davis as a passer isnt Duncan, Jokic or KG, but he's far from a bad passer, better than many other offensive star bigmen. He just doesn't have a create for others on ball game. He's an offball offensive superstar that creates spacing with cuts and attacks mismatches. Asking him to go onball and hold/pound the ball while reading the defense is the wrong step in his development. If he had Jokic's gifts in that department fine, go on ball but otherwise on a team with any offensive talent that needs the ball at all he's just too valuable offball attacking scrambling defenses with his athleticism and skill offensively.

Just as it would be silly to say Harden needs to improve his offball game as a cutter and shooter off of screens it's silly to say Davis should be an onball player. The ideal offense if you took todays players is Davis offball at the 5, not Nikola Jokic onball. There's only one basketball and while I dont think the ball is sticky with Jokic at all, it's best to have a player that impacts the offensive side of the ball without even touching it like Davis or Curry.
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